Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected over Andaman and Nicobar islands over the next 48-72 hours. The coastline of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha will come under the influence of the storm around 03rd December.
The tropical cyclone season has no bounds in the North Indian Ocean. This includes Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea. Precariously, it has 2 peaks of activity. The 1st peak when the sun traverse from equator to Tropic of Cancer (March-June) and 2nd one, when northeast monsoon regime accelerates over Bay of Bengal, between Oct-Dec. Typically, the strongest cyclones which impact Indian coastline are during fall peak.
The low-pressure area which is going to form over North Andaman Sea will intensify subsequently into a depression and deep depression. Therefore, it may further intensify into cyclone Jawad. It will move in westerly direction towards south Odisha and north Andhra Pradesh coast.
Cycloen Jawad: Under favorable environmental conditions of warm sea surface temperature and low wind shear, the 1st cyclone of post monsoon season 2021, in the BoB will set the pace for an active stormy season for the Indian Seas.
Cyclone Shaheen is a sequel of tropical storm Gulab, which formed over Bay of Bengal on 26th Sep and crossed Andhra Pradesh coast near Srikakulam. The weakened storm travelled across Chhattisgarh and Maharashtra and its remnant entered Gulf of Cambay and Saurashtra. The weather system got rejuvenated again and turned in to a cyclone, in quick succession of Gulab.