It will be almost impossible to justify having any restrictions in place at all by that point.
The Prime Minister has vowed to set out his roadmap to ending lockdown the week beginning February 22.
It is thought outdoor team and individual sports, as well as outdoor gatherings, could be possible within weeks of a planned return of schools from March 8.
However, further relaxations may remain for months longers, with some scientists even suggesting social distancing will be required until spring 2022.
He is facing the challenge of keeping his own MPs happy while also sticking to the guidance of the scientists based on the latest data.
Covid: Don t ease lockdown restrictions too soon - Starmer
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Lockdown restrictions should not be lifted too early, Sir Keir Starmer has said as he warned the government not to repeat the mistakes of last time .
The Labour leader called on the government to ensure the current lockdown is the last lockdown.
Boris Johnson has said that the earliest schools in England could start to reopen is the 8 March.
But he is coming under pressure from some of his own backbenchers to bring that date forward.
Chair of the Covid Recovery Group of Tory MPs, Mark Harper, argues that if Scotland and Wales are able to allow the return of some primary school children this month, then it should be possible to allow schools in England to re-open sooner than 8 March.
Last modified on Thu 4 Feb 2021 17.10 EST
Boris Johnson has been urged to act after two more Conservative MPs were linked to figures spreading Covid conspiracy theories or making discredited claims.
Last week it emerged that Desmond Swayne, a former Tory minister, encouraged anti-lockdown street protesters to “persist” and suggested NHS capacity figures were being “manipulated” to exaggerate the impact of the virus.
Questions are now being asked about the judgment of a further two MPs: Andrew Bridgen – who defended Swayne in an interview on the YouTube channel of a controversial former BBC journalist whose posts have been taken down by YouTube for spreading false information about Covid – and Adam Afriyie, MP for Windsor.
Boris Johnson tonight refused to bow to growing Tory pressure to bring forward the reopening of schools in England as he said he intends to stick to his date of March 8 at the earliest for a return to classrooms.
The Prime Minister warned that reopening schools too soon could force the country into reverse and threaten the progress made during lockdown.
He said his March 8 date represents the prudent and cautious approach and that he does not intend to deviate from it.
An increasing number of Conservative MPs are pushing for the PM to bring back schools earlier than planned as coronavirus cases continue to fall while a crucial study found the AstraZeneca vaccine cuts transmission of the disease.