Foreign competition for treasuries. When you add in the 700 billion next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is it likely the curve ends steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If they were to correct, they would go back down. I want to see them stay there after the first of the year.
Is it likely the curve ends steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If they were to correct, they would go back down. I want to see them stay there after the first of the year. Jonathan joining me in new york city is greg peters, george goncalves, plus matt toms. Thank you very much for giving us your
The reality is this curve should stephen steepen because of less foreign competition for treasuries. When you add in the 700 billion next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is it likely the curve ends next year steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. Does not get out of control, so the yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If
Of evidence. The comments come after u. S. Satellites allegedly spotted chinese ships on the lets see around 30 times since october. In liberias National Election commission, expected to release provisional approvals today. More than 2 million voters are the soccer star and the countrys vice president. He led the first round of voting on october 10 but did not get enough votes to win outright. Ellen johnson steps down in january. Global news 24 hours a day powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. This is bloomberg. Julie live from bloomberg World Headquarters in new york, im julia julie hyman. We are 30 minutes from the close of trading in the u. S. The dollar weakened against most peers. What taxwe are 30 minutes from e of trading in the u. S. Reform could mean for private equity firm, we look at a question of how leon black post and how it could alter the wall street model. Plus, betting against boredom, 2017 going down is the least exciting year
Lets get you up to speed on these markets. European stocks. The dollar has dipped. It has transferred to a mild complexion of a dying day this thursday morning in europe. European equity markets are the lead protagonists. Pessimist guide on bloomberg for 2018 is about technology, facebook and disinformation. You can still make money as bitcoin drops. The bloomberg dollar index down. The bloomberg dollar index is looking at a fairly tortured year. Do you buy that story that it is all about adjustments . Im not so sure. Yields drop. Were down to a threeweek low. You are looking at the bloomberg dollar index. The worst year since we started collecting data in 2004. Copper is rising to a fairly big level. Fouryear high. China has halted production. We know that. Youre looking at the eighth straight quarter of gains. You could see copper trade up to 10,000. U. B. S. A little more sedate. The swriss known for their sedate approach. It has outperformed pretty much every other commodity this y