He boosted his ear and forecast by 24 , writing a fall in erp, adjusted risk premiums will be offset by a rise in bond yields. The combination will boost the end,o already 600 by years 3800 in 12 months time. This represents a significant increase driven by valuation. What do the technicals have to say about that . Joining me now is katie stockton, founder of fairlead strategies. Off of the highs now. What does that tell you about the next direction . Is flirting with that resistance. The level im watching is 3394, the intraday high from february. For a breakout to be decisive, we need to see a couple of closeouts above that level. Highs onct new positive shortterm momentum but also looking for momentum to falter before the end of the month. You have some overextended readings in some of , alsoternal measures sentiment. Basedrcentage of stocks on their 50day moving averages reaching levels often associated with pullbacks in the s p 500. At the same time, sentiment reaching exceedingly
Coming up for the rest of the hour. The chairman and ceo of train technologies trane technologies, they do hvac. We will talk about how you recondition all of the airconditioning units that we have to allow us to basically eat and drink inside. A really important conversation as we think what will happen as we approach the autumn and fall. What will happen to the service side of the economy. The banks are in big focus. 93 man sachs reporting a surge in revenue on the stocks and bond trading in the Second Quarter. Highlights is our bloomberg wall street reporter. They have a lot of questions about the m a environment. Goldman the lead m a advisor. The backlogn saying is higher, but he expects activity to continue in the next two to four quarters. , but we will see them come back. There are a lot of uncertainties. One question was about the election season. Solomon warned that is a ways away. As we know in the u. S. There are major uncertainties with how largescale deals are viewed among
Find a bid. We wait for more gloomy Economic Data at 8 30. Time now for our market moving news from our new york team. We are going to start with oil. The iea says the outlook for oil demand has improved somewhat, yet it sees crude production on track for historic decline this month, at the lowest level in nine months. Annmarie hordern joined me now for more. Annmarie this report is still bleak, but slowly but surely improving. They had to say is that outlook for the oil markets are improving somewhat. Amanda little stronger than what they were expecting, but really, the big take away from this report demand a little bit stronger than what they were expecting, but really, the big take away is that this month is on track for historic decline, the most in nine years. This week alone, we saw the kingdom, the uae, and kuwait deepen cuts for june. The same time, the iea is looking at producers outside the group like the united eights that are just being forced due to supply and demand the U
Measure a lot of people look to to get a gauge of consumer spending. 172. 3. Ll to 166. 9 from we can get a quick check of what is happening in the u. S. Equity after coming off of the 24th record high for the s p 500 for the year. If youre looking for leadership in this market, youre not really going to find it. Consumer discretionary getting a little bit of a bop, but most of the strength is in real estate. Also seeing that play out in some of the havens. You see the tlt here. More buying there. Across the treasury curve, seeing a bit of steepening, but because buying is across the front end of the curve. Gold, interesting. A lot of bearish calls out on gold, failing to hold that 1500 level. You see it breaking below that. A lot of data out of china showing that imports not quite holding up. Interesting story on the brazilian rial, bouncing around all day. It hit a record low earlier in the day. Comments from president bolsonaro on whether they would support the rial. They have not r
If you are looking for leadership in the market, you are going to find it in real estate. That is not necessarily encouraging. Secondbest performing sector is consumer discretionary. This is typical this time of year. You see a lot of retailers being bid up ahead of the black friday shopping season. You are also seeing a lot of the big retailers and apparel makers getting bids higher here. Then we take a look at treasuries. Third straight day weve seen a bid going back into treasuries. A lot of this is actually a little more on the short end of the curve. Seeing a lot more bids in the twoyear space rather than the 10. That is creating steepening, but still, the flattening over the past six or seven weeks still pretty dramatic. Gold rebounding off its lows for the day. It had been down. A lot of bearish notes coming out saying that the gold rally may finally have run out of steam. We got some data out of china showing purchases there, imports into the country have fallen. We also had so