Christine lagarde, president of the ecb, moderated by Francine Lacqua. Francine what a great pleasure to be here with Christine Lagarde, president of the European Central bank, and welcome to the forum here at bloomberg. Everyone is talking about the vaccine. How will that actually change your forecast and the economy if we do get a vaccine early next year . Ms. Lagarde it is lovely to see you and to participate. To your question, i am not sure it is going to be a major game changer for our forecast, simply because what we had anticipated in our baseline was that some stage in the first half of 2021, there would be a vaccine, and that it would be rolled out in the course of 2021. So it might be a little back celebrated a little bit accelerated given the news we are receiving from the various horizons, germany, the u. S. , but i dont think it is going to be a game changer, so to speak. I think that our forecast is being revisited all those times we speak, and we will be releasing on dec
What we are get interesting the university of Michigan Sentiment survey. The headline number, way, way weaker than anticipated. That number coming in at 77. Thats down from 81. 8 last time around. When things are good well north of 100. The expectation was for 82. Current conditions, 85. 8. Thats actually ahead of expectations. But its the expectation number, the forwardlooking number here, that is really sharply lower. Coming through at 71. 3, alix, versus 79. 1 in terms of where the market, the economists had forecast that number. Down from 79. 2. A much more gloomy outlook for the u. S. Consumer from the u. S. Consumer. Alix no doubt. As covid cases are spiking everywhere here in the new york, it feels like we are headed for a School Shutdown as well. Get the read on what that means to the consirmse with ajay. Its always good to get your read. You have this more pessimistic expectation outlook from the consumer. Then you have rising covid cases and you have targeted regional shutdow
Tom jon, get out of the sand trap, or whatever he said last night. Just absolutely extraordinary. We have been talking about it all morning. I would think the worldwide audience must be. Just extraordinary. Can we also note there is a job economy coming up, and maybe the next debate they can talk about where this unemployment factor is maybe going . Jonathan and maybe the csuite is still very strategic about when they drop bad news. The Walt Disney Company talking about dropping 28,000 jobs a few hours before debate. Tom well said. Jonathan it is amazing for me to wake up this morning, to watch back at that debate and hear the former Vice President call a sitting president a racist, and it doesnt even register. It is not even a headline this morning. That speaks to where we are at currently in the political discourse in washington, d. C. Tom some of the discussions on the white super missy issue last night are beneath the fold because of the turmoil, the emotion, the rage and the rank
And tom keene. A postdebate bloomberg surveillance. We welcome all of you on bloomberg television, Bloomberg Radio across this nation after an extra ordinary evening observed by all last night. We have good analysis through forward in the view towards october 15 and the second debate. I know we are going to try to focus on where we are in economics, finance, investment and that. Ive just got to go to your observation of seeing the debate from london. Was london engaged in that of a last night in the debate last night . Jonathan it was the talk of breakfast this morning, i can tell you. I was watching it on my phone and the waitress came over and discussed what she thought as well. I think many were surprised come about at the same time, what else did you expect when you were going to put these two people in the same room on the same stage . Tom you are absolutely dead on. When they started in last night with Chris Wallace, at times almost debating with the president , to see what they
Absolutely extraordinary. Thank you for joining us on Bloomberg Radio and Bloomberg Television worldwide. What have we got . Mcdonalds just out with a dividend increase. Ibm with a seismic restructuring. Morgan stanley to take out the venerable eaton vance of boston. On and on we go. Guess what . None of it matters. Someone speaking to maria in two minutes. Jonathan the present will be on fox news. I imagine he will have a reaction to the next debate being virtual. That news out from the commission on president ial debates. Tom i really want to bring up this story, below the fold on the internet sites, but our Jennifer Jacobs reporting that the head of security for the white house is gravely ill with this horrific virus. Really a difficult illness as well. It is amazing how this virus story in the debate last night, commenting ondent this debate. Jonathan the president tweeting, saying that this is not a separable. He is looking forward to doing rallies. He is feeling goods. Those comm