Good to be back with you. You did mention very important piece, which is davids piece and hes a friend of the show. Talking last night i was reading it and thinking can we really go higher he has a piece that says we will blast higher that will be something that i think a lot of people would be suspect, little critical of because were going right into the election he doesnt seem to mind that davids work is high quality and i just really think that he is just saying, it is time. And wouldnt that be something if we have a big, big move here. Its fascinating. He does say, jim, as you point out, the election does remain a risk but 3,600 year end and 3,800 in 12 months is a 6 gain and earnings estimate, jim, for next year 170. I mean, i remember when they thought 150 might be a risk. I just have to tell you, i wish everyone could get goldmans research i was fortunate enough to get that piece because it is a very logical piece because how there are many parts of the economy that are good. Th
Predictions and youre making another big one. Why next week for what you call a monsterous rally into your epicenter stocks happy friday. We took a look at what happened the last time cases peaked which was late april it took 20 days last time. If we look at the current context, daily cases peaked july 27th the 20th day would be august 14th we have been seeing consistent 7day decline in average daily cases but our clients are thinking this is in the middle ground theyre not clear if its a decisive move. I think it takes another week. That will happen next week and i think lit be violent sdp you think people are ready to get out of these stocks that have been so tried and true. Nasdaq closes above 11,000 clearly money wants to go into big megacap growth yes i think megacap growth is cheap as a bond proxy because youre paying 50 times for an investment bond. Paying 30 times for faang isnt expensive. These are the names that have been written off by the market its only 26 of the market ca
Annualized basis. Slightly less bad in the estimates. They do expect a contraction of more than 20 . Nonetheless, the nikkei up 2 . You looking at u. S. Jobless claims and payroll, adding urgency around stimulus in washington. The snp active futures in the u. S. Up 1 10 of 1 . The dollar still a big story in terms of the weakness. 6. 97 . Offshore at stronger data suggesting the economic recovery in China Remains on track your the bloomberg dollar index flat. This is what is happening with the dollaryen, flat essentially. The pound on a tear. Have a the boe that will meeting thursday and no action is expected. We will look at some of the commodities as well. 56,10 year yield below yelled at 55. Today we are expected to get details around a treasury in cash issuance and the economic recovery plans in the united states. Thats whats happening with oil at 43 a barrel, down 6 10 of 1 . Lets get to first word news with Karina Mitchell in new york. Karina global coronavirus cases have topped
Information from dan is taking these new positions in the Second Quarter according to his quarterly letter in disney, amazon, alibaba. Well focus on disney first and foremost josh, i just got off phone with dan who told me the following about why they initiated this position he said theres no close second to disney when it comes to an entertainment company. He says they have slate of tent poll releases. We know the titles they have he said some of the commentary,s the narrative of how disney plus is being thought of in the context with netflix its not a winner take all environment. They have to take market he thinks is easily split between those two and some other players. He also, which was interesting as well likened disney to microsoft 7 or eight yea8 years. You have a time old business and youre able in some respects to reinvent yourself. Much as microsoft has done we know how well that stock has done lately. He seems a similar scenario for shares of disney josh, let me get your ta
33 points and nasdaq is up 92 and the s p is up 8 points. Yesterday the dow industrials snapping a 4session winning streak with decline of the session with 135 points and nasdaq down 76 and s p lower by 11. Warning on china that i reported here first, attorney general bill barr calling out American Companies for caving into the pressure from beijing. Bombshell allegation, 15 employees of the Washington Redskins said they were harassed for years. Mornings with maria is live right now. Maria in europe mixed moves, the ftse 100 is up 21 but cac quarante is down 15 and dax higher by 42. In asia overnight markets mostly higher with the exception of japan, nikkei average overnight down a third of a percent and the other fractionally moving across the board. Some of the top stories we are watching right now, John Hopkins University reporting over 77,000 new cases yesterday. 10,000 higher than the previous high. 969 deaths were also reported. Florida, South Carolina and texas all reporting the