Theres some interesting things in the Options Market that could keep the market down for a bit of time. I do think people are underestimating, a, youve got a good economy with a tremendous amount of stimulus coming in and i think that will continue to drive the market higher. Plus youve got a dynamic where the fed has made much of the fixed income market on investable with treasury and mortgages where they are today, when you take the earnings yield well into the 4 off next years earnings that is a pretty attractive asset class and i think it will propel the market higher so election uncertainty doesnt matter much in the near term stimulus talks, negotiations may not. How does that factor in . Its a big call that you make. Youre the one that suggests in our notes today that it mossably could happen or at least start before the election. Yeah. I mean, so listen, the election the election does matter i think what people have started to realize, since the last time i was on your show weve
Joe, its these mnuchin headlines getting something done in terms of stimulus by the election, he says, is tough. That caused a bit more of a selloff in stocks and it underscores why the nasdaq continues to have a bit under it yes, it does clearly and youre also seeing a little bit of a fallback in yield, scott. The tenyear is pushing back towards 70 basis points, somewhat troubling, i would think the market needs a little bit of some of the Forward Momentum that its been carrying in the last week or so to really cool off a little. I think we were getting a little too vertical in the way we were appreciating so the negative news that youre getting on the stimulus aligns with maybe a much needed little bit of pause in that rate of appreciation im not overly concerned by it. Yeah, rates are falling you see it there 71 basis points is where we are on the tenyear, an issue to deal with, tiffany, or perhaps the message in the fall. Everything is coming down on the mnuchin comments but its mo
Into correction. Meaning theyre more than 10 down from the highs. Selling has been hard, fast and really until late today a bit indiscriminate hard to believe that just last wednesday we were talking on this very show about alltime highs. Since then, the Broader Market down 13 18 s p 500 stocks lost more than 20 this week. All told, the s p 500 wiped out nearly four trillion dlarps in market value over the past ten sessions thats the budget of the United States of america. So, guy adami heading to the weekend, im pulling a fast one on you fast money one on you you. Fire away. The big violent move up into the day you know the chatter im not saying anything out of school maybe the fed steps in over the weekend and does something do you think we see something from jay powell and company this weekend your buddies. A consolidated Global Central Bank thing which the answer is yes why they think that will be effective in this is jond my scope. Im not an economist its more madness on top of th
Jim terranova, Jim Lebenthal, jon najarian jpmorgans top strategist saying stocks will return to their highs. Lets bring in one of them today from new york. Welcome. Thank you got the note in front of me after this wild and turbulent week, why do you think were going back to the highs . Well, look. I think that the market is set up, when you look at just the market, when you look at the Business Cycle and so forth, its set up for further upside i think the profit cycle is going to get easier as we go to 4q, something to say about the cycle accelerating positioning is very low. Sentiment is extremely negative. I think theres a setup or a case to be made for upside obviously, the market is currently being held positive by policy, trade uncertainty and so forth, and thats where ultimately we need to make a call, and were sort of thinking we wont necessarily get much more trade escalation as far as the next layer of tariffs go some people, with all due respect, think were going to get a lo
Uber is down 9 . Its been a great performer. You and josh have talked about how great this stock has been. Does this tell us anything about the state of the growth trade in the here and now its not like the Earnings Report was that bad. I think its a great example of a measurement for sentiment and positioning. If you think about growth, s p growth over the last year is up 30 . You think about s p value, its only up about 18 . So where are our speculators positioned theyre positioned more towards the growth trade, and clearly uber is a classic example of that look at the analyst community. Scott, 92 buys on uber. 12month price target, 90. Today, after the Earnings Report, none of the analysts really budged on that price target so, yeah, i think its indicative of setting expectations, and i think right now where we are, weve had a very strong recovery off of the 100day moving average selling pressure in the early part of april. Now youre coming into a period where youre absent significa