The winners. I asked all people to this day to stay calm. The process is working. Annmarie down to the wire, President Trumps lead in pennsylvania and georgia narrows. The president says the election is being stolen despite no evidence. Jay powell says it is a good time for the institutions of democracy to do their job. Cases top 100,000. A very good morning teal. It is 6 00 a. M. In the city of london. We just had her a weinberg join us in the last hour from new york city. I want to take a look at the election map. Where we stand right now. Joe biden, 264. Remember, the key number is 270. The thing to focus on is heavily near. It was a state that went for President Donald Trump in 2016 along with michigan wisconsin and michigan. Ining back this blue wall pennsylvania will be key to watch today and its 20 electoral votes. Right now, the president maintains a lead but as more mail in ballots continue to be counted, they largely scale towards the ride and camp. The democrats towards the
Profits would benefit under that scenario. Tom what is the theoretical justification now for owning such a low coupon . Caroline so this is the big debate, isnt it . Beijing provides stability in portfolios when you do get the downturns, the bonds still act in that manner. With the help of that perspective, in terms of our preferences in the bond space, going to areas where youre getting more yield, so emerging market bonds, for example, where the income is a bit more attractive. Are, theok at where we reset in q4. Is this a moment of drama for you in terms of reset and reallocation, or is it a q4 steady as she goes . Caroline i think it is important to have a continual rebound and seeing portfolios throughout the year on a regular basis as markets move. Whether we are into one quarter or another doesnt matter so much. We have had the peak economic upping if you like from the virus lockdown, so that is quite helpful, but it will fade as we go forward. But our expectation is that we ret
Outperformance of a lot of these subsectors, you are looking at transports, small caps up almost 3 on the day. These other good signs we want to see. Obviously a lot of optimism that a deal between the u. S. And china is being worked out. A lot of this predicated on a couple of tweets i President Trump that seem to intimate that something is imminent. We dont know what, but right now that is enough for the market to rally on. In the bond market here, your 10 year yield 1. 75 . Keep in mind where we were it week ago today, about 21 basis points lower than that. Your three months10 year yield curve spread, we inverted back in may. We inverted for the First Time Since we inverted we uninverted for the first time today since may. Your dollar a little lower today. We will keep an eye on what is going on in the oil market. A little bit of negative news with regards to what we heard with that iranian tanker. Guy the pound trading sharply higher. Feels like a squeeze. Probably is a squeeze. We
Positive things in the jobs report as well. S p up 0. 2 now, but of stocks making big moves on good news, including lululemon, up 8. 5 on analyst comments. Conagra, even though it got a downgrade and started the day lower, is up 0. 6 now. Guy lets get some insight on todays payroll number. It wasnt a headline level miss, but it kind of felt like pretty much what the market was looking for. With us is ira jersey. Ira, did todays number change anything . Ira i dont think it changed much. Like you mentioned, it was really a mixed bag. The number of hours worked, as well as hourly average earnings, was ok. When you look at what i call the paycheck of the economy, the some product of all of those the sum product of all of those things, it is higher than it was last month. Not much, but maybe we are stabilizing here considering average wages were falling for the bulk of the year so far. Vonnie larry kudlow mentioned that in terms of wages, we are now 4 plus over the last three months. Im won
Im Francine Lacqua here in london. These are your markets. You see a little bit of a lift to the markets. 0. 2 . 600 gaining a little bit of optimism that the trade war between the u. S. And. China is not getting worse. There. Worse. Ing there is also a little bit of optimism after we spoke to the boston fed president , Eric Rosengren. Conte, thecting mr. Prime minister of italy, to address the senate later on. Coming up, our exclusive conversation with bostons fed president , Eric Rosengren. We will hear a lot more from him about the inverted yield curve. Lets get to the bloomberg first word news. Leader,kongs embattled carrie lam, is trying to end over two months of protests during new dialogue. The protest began over opposition to a controversial extradition legislation. They grew to a wider antigovernment movement. We will start immediately a platform for dialogue with people from all walks of life. This is something that we want to do in a very sincere and humble manner. I and my