Front. Caroline the question is whatd you miss . Data shows that the u. S. Retail sales rose in september at the fastest pace in three months. Numbers released next week and china are expected to reveal that the nation is on pace to grow this year, with Industrial Production on fire. When you look at the big picture, joe, economic reports confirm that china needs the u. S. And the u. S. Needs china. Their economies are linked handinhand on the industrial and consumption levels. There are many issues between these governments, that we would see. But there is a link between the two economies and it is remarkable. Joe it is pretty striking because so much of the story of the economy, the Global Economy some overproduction in china, it is the opposite. You see this in our charts that Cameron Crise made. Industrialine is recovery of precrisis levels, very impressive. On the consumption side, it is very far below precrisis trends. Chinasuction side of economy is roaring back a lot faster. Ca
Data in the u. S. Is bouncing back. Factory orders coming through stronger than anticipated and we are up 6. 4 versus 6. 2 last time. And it is actually a little bit softer than last time. 11. 4, that isat stronger than anticipated. And transportation is a stronger than last time. Orders,tal goods nondefense, 1. 9, bang in line with expectations. Ookare going to get the b a little bit later on. That will give us a good idea about what is happening for the back into july into august backend of july into august. We will carry on the conversation about what is happening in the markets. We have great guests coming up. This hour, we will speak to the ceo of lands end. They have a big digital presence. Have. Ffect they will we will talk with Jerome Griffith about that. And for more on what is markets we have Brian Weinstein from morgan stanley. This talk about what is happening broadly right now. Youre in fixed income guide, you are watching what is happening broadly in these markets, what d
September. What is interesting, with the this on the screen, unconventional transaction of tesla. Additional 5an billion of shares geared toward perhaps the nonmainstream, the nonwall street crowd. Tesla is interesting because people using bubble with stocks. 2 tesla. Tom a recent secondary, even with moonshot on the markets. This will not be publicly offered. It will be Equity Distribution and distributed by banks as tesla chooses. Somewhat akin to what we saw with lesser successes. Here,l be widely studied the why of this transaction as well as the need for 5 million they are looking for. Here andarkably up big still elevated from where they were. What else are you looking at . Ina the story today markets, aside from tesla, is the dollar and the question of whether people are going to say this is the end of dollar supremacy or if this is just an indication of the low yield, the negative real yield and this idea of global trade. It is the two sides of the story. Tom not only yields do
Attention to that, with the ecb coming up thats a huge deal. Delivers more stimulus, and the bcp will be really under pressure, down by 4 10 of 1 , but its all about the dollar and its driving Global Equities higher. And the tension between the weaker dollar driving risk themete, and the overall has been the protest here in the u. S. Under covid. Lets break down that disconnect. Torsten, what is your best explanation for the markets versus the headlines . We have discussed why markets are doing well, and we continue to believe that the answer is on the significant firepower coming from the fed. If you change the credit market as dramatically as they have , i spreads are very close to where they were before. All of that is, in plain english, making this look a lot better today than it did a month or two ago. And you have the equity of companies with the support to the credit markets, this is probably an important reason why the equity markets continue to do well. Think the fed is making
The last halfhour or so. The morning started out on a grim note with initial jobless claims very close to 3 million once again. Of smallerixth week jobless claims, but nevertheless , at those rates, it is still pretty dire. The dollar index is stronger today. Weaker euro and weaker sterling, too. We continue to see gains in the oil patch. 37, and brent crude trading above 30 a barrel. Governor Andrew Bailey also seeing the bank of england is not currently considering lowering Interest Rates below zero. His comments coming a day after fed chair Jerome Powell pushed back against the idea. Lets get to our guest, patrick chiefong, Plurimi Wealth investment officer. Expected. Ire as we maybe u. K. Data wasnt quite as bad as we were looking for, but still a contraction of nearly 1. 6 . Of 5. 6 . Do the Central Banks need to start considering negative rates . Patrick i think it is a bit of a mixed bag. I dont think the benefits of negative rates are that compelling at this point. If we see it