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Thanks very much. We have a puzzle here. I have the rapid update of gdp in the Fourth Quarter but the data which leads to a downgrade also makes economists optimistic. Here is the data. Q4 tracking 2 . That is down 0. 3 because of the data this morning. Q3 gdp 2. 1 . Thats tracking right now. Here is the Fourth Quarter outlook. Bank of tokyo mitsubishi at the high end at 2. 8 . Goldman sachs, barclays at 2 . Atlanta fed gdp, 1. 8 . Morgan stanley at 0. 9 . Here is the data that brought down the growth forecast despite the down grades though some see reasons for optimism for the Holiday Shopping season. Jobless claims ticking down 12,000 to 260,000. Thats back in that low range weve had before making people optimistic about consumers have jobs for the Holiday Season. Durable goods up better than expected, 3 , and here is the big numbers here. Personal income up 0. 4 but spending doesnt keep pace. Up just 0. 1 which can only mean one thing. The savings rate ticks up. 5. 6 . So whats the

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