Nasdaq up more than three quarters . The industrials also back on track today. Is there any reason for worry apart from the fact. I worry when i dont worry. I think because you change months doesnt really change the na narrative. There are pockets of the economy that are doing well and recovering housing, auto, parts, consumers, manufacturing. Did you see the numbers . The new orders jumped 5 the ism was the best number since november 2018. Manufacturing is recoverying i would argue is in a v recovery you have pocket of the economy that are not doing well. That are struggling. We have a million job in initial claims thats why i think youre going to see a fiscal package. You still have a lot of trouble in things happening with regards to travel and leisure and restaurants and that sort of thing. I do think that you get the fiscal package i dont think the change is in terms of my investments because as you recover, the economy recovers you get through the elections. I think profits recov
Ed, welcome back. Thank you very much youve been bullish for a while and now youre acting on it why was now the time i had concerns that the market would have some concerns about the pandemic, that we did obviously see somes increase in the outbreaks down in the sunbelt, but the market the tenyear has been below 1 you know, there is no alternative, probably never been more relevant than it has been since the fed adopted what i call qeforever on march 23rd. You have what you call a meltup in the market, but you say as you have more of this melt up, you increase the risk of a meltdown. How does that factor into your broader view well, you know, its one thing to be bullish, but at the same time you have to be aware of where the down side risks are. To the extent that the market has a melt up, it puts more air between stock prices and earnings in other words, the valuation multiple has been on fire. We had a p. E. Led meltup from 4. 9 on a forward p. E. Basis on march 23rd now were over 22
Dow topping 28,000 today for First Time Since february. Its the value trade thats working. Is the rotation for real i think as long as you have confirmation in the bond market, you can believe in it but when that link breaks, the stocks the value stocks probably crash again. We witnessed an episode like this that happened from the middle of may through the middle of june. It was almost a full four weeks. It was violent to the upside value stocks, cyclicals, the quote reopen names Small Cap Value did incredibly well the Growth Stocks took a pause the high flyers corrected but when that ended, it didnt end gently you had crashes in the reopen stocks you had crashes in the value stocks both asbestbsolute and relative to growth its a Real Recovery if that link breaks and i know yields have gone up a bit here and abroad as long as that continues happening, im fine with it. I think you have to watch that more than commentary, more valuation, more than anything else jpmorgan had a great note
That is all ahead but we begin with seema mody and the Market Action today seema, it was record highs to start. Were not there yet, though. Yeah. Thats a great point, dom. Three hours left in trade. Take a look at the screen. Were actually losing a bit of steam. Nasdaq now down just about three points s p 500 higher by four and the Dow Jones Industrial higher by 64 points. Nasdaq, if it gets back into positive territory, it would be on track for its tenth consecutive close. That would be the longest strea since 1997 and it really has been a strong weak lets break down when stocks have been leading the charge as you can see, it is primaril technology apple. Intel. Amazon in fact, amazon stock now playing catchup on track for its biggest oneweek advance of the year in response to those strong Holiday Shopping sales stock up about 6 . Also, want to draw your attention to shares of nike. Sitting on yet another record high this afternoon. Consumer edge overnight raising its price target and
Much as yesterday, of course, when it posted one of it best days since january joining us for the hour is mark tepper, founder and ceo of Strategic Wealth partners. And mark, you know, a rally like this going into year end has got to make your clients feel good but do you tell them not to expect the same thing next year . Thats absolutely the conversation were having with clients right now. I mean, it has been an awesome year markets are up about 30 all on the back of no Earnings Growth whatsoever. So its all been multiple expansion. Its all been an increase in Investor Sentiment so were telling clients right now, manage your expectations for 2020 dont expect a repeat of 2019. I think, unfortunately, a lot of Retail Investors tend to have a shortterm memory when it comes to market performance. So, its not easy. You do have to work at it. Expect good gains in 2020, but nothing like this. Lets focus in on the big stories were watching today Frank Holland is tracking the nasdaqs run to ne