he seems to be settled at 70% odds or 68% odds this morning. news iinteresting because newsom is not even a declared candidate, but he s running around the country giving speeches on biden s behalf. he says he s not a presidential candidate, but of course he is a presidential candidate. you have kennedy, who i think has some room to grow. he s at 13% odds. and it s interesting to see where his support is coming from, but kennedy could be the wild card here on issues such as vax and other issues where the other two above him aren t cutting the mustard. the democratic and the republican races are wide open still. but there s a clear front runner on the republican and democratic side, but their loss is the gain of those below them. finally then, two quick slides. when you look at the election winner by personality, biden 43,
which has jurisdiction for much of the western united states and all of california. the ninth circuit has been regarded as a progressive bastion, but elections have consequences. president trump has able to appoint ten judges to the ninth circuit, president biden seven. it limited what idaho could do with regard to its homeless. this time a three-judge panel similarly ruled against a city s effort to regulate its homeless population. when grants pass then sought to have the matter considered by the entire ninth circuit, it could not get the required majority vote from all active members of the bench. that s when all hell broke loose among the judges. there are 29 active judges, the denial of a fullw drew 1 dissents and other stements. many were blistering. as the oregonian reported, many who dissented argued that the grants pass ruling created a confusing set of rules based on a flawed interpretation of the