Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Test. Captioning performed by vitac there are some well known differences in the current economic environment compared to past environments that make the yield curve a little less of an indicator. The probabilities are pretty high. If you take the unjusted measure, and the other financial variabilities, a year from now, the Second Quarter of 2020, the probability of recession is roughly twothirds. If i make an adjustment, its still high, its not far away. The shaded bars represent recessions. Every time this measure goes over 40 , weve had a recession. And theres a lot of more fundamental reasons to be a little nervous about whats going on out there and why recession risks are high. If you look globally, a number of Major Economies are already in recession or pretty close. Germany, italy, the uk, brexit is complicating things for them. Mexico, brazil, singapore, its small but most open economy on
mubarak in prison. and a football star with a scholarship on the horizon but he went in to make a tackle and never got up again. we ll talk about his coach and ask what went so terribly wrong? i m jake tapper. welcome to the lead. we ll begin with the national lead. you might think volcanos are erupting over the horizon. this is not the pacific room. this is smack dab in the middle of idaho. right now nine wildfires are burning across the state. this is the biggest one, the beaver creek fire, 1,000 acres and growing. 2,200 homes are under a mandatory evacuation. sun valley is a ski area, some homes owned by actors. beth lund, you ve described this fire as having an angry personality. is it different from fires that
he went in to make a tackle and never got up again. we ll talk about his coach and ask what went so terribly wrong? i m jake tapper. welcome to the lead. we ll begin with the national lead. you might think volcanos are erupting over the horizon. this is not the pacific room. this is smack dab in the middle of idaho. right now nine wildfires are burning across the state. this is the biggest one, the beaver creek fire, 1,000 acres and growing. 2,200 homes are under a mandatory evacuation. sun valley is a ski area, some homes owned by actors. beth lund, you ve described this fire as having an angry personality. is it different from fires that you ve dealt with in the past? well, jake, it s similar to fires it s just that on this situation we just have some really extreme weather conditions. extremely dry fuels and wind, unstable air mass and all of those things combined have just made this fire just go all directions some days and it s really been hard to get the troops in
0 play dead. petting it didn t work. not great advice. she s okay now. my goodness. amy la porte, thank you very much. that will do it for me. i m brooke baldwin. to washington. the lead with jake tapper starts now. imagine a fire the size of denver. that s how big the beaver creek wildfire is right now. i m jake tapper and this is the lead. the national lead began with a bolt of lightning. 12 days later, 1,000 acres in idaho are toast. that s only one are nine fires in the state threatening thousands of homes. the world lead. his was a pinnacle of the arab spring movement. many waited so long to see hosni mubarak in prison. and a football star with a scholarship on the horizon but he went in to make a tackle and never got up again. we ll talk about his coach and ask what went so terribly wrong? i m jake tapper. welcome to the lead. we ll begin with the national lead. you might think volcanos are erupting over the horizon. this is not the pacific room. this is smack dab in