and can he get closer here than donald trump did against hillary clinton or joe biden? because this is why right here is why joe biden won the common health. hillary clinton just lost it and joe biden won it right here. yeah. and it will be interesting to see again as we re looking in georgia the ticket splitting. it will be interesting to see the people that vote for the attorney general josh shapiro who is a democrat but then cross the aisle and vote for this is what county? i switched it over. this is the state? this is we don t we didn t expect this to be the result. it will be interesting to see how many people vote for shapiro and then oz for senate because that will be a phenomenon as well. we will look here and we will look up here. northampton county, luzerne county, lehigh county and the philadelphia suburban counties to see if you get split tickets like in georgia and we will see if we see it when we get more results in ohio. that race, the governor s race
counties that tend to be overwhelmingly republican. i am not being dismissive. we have a lot of votes to come in. again this early vote here. but again cheri beasley she ran a great race. we are watching the map. keep an open mind about things. in georgia, this is, you know, a landmark senate race right now. raphael warnock at the note ten points ahead in this race. i am going to point to this number. it doesn t seem like it matters now. georgia 50% a runoff in december. warnock is above that now. a third of the vote counted here of the libertarian numbers later in the night, is it big you have in to pull the two leading candidates under 50%? we will have to watch. that s one of the calculations at the moment. senator warnock is above 50ers. on the governor s race, the democrat leading it s early, this is freedom nebltly early wrote, but raphael warnock at
vote count here. you come through here. and then you come over here to philadelphia. let me come here. you have 91%. 11%. fetterman is not going to get 92% of the vote in philadelphia. you need to keep it way, way up. this is interesting. you heard kate baldwin earlier tonight, you know, when donald trump came last to pennsylvania they were out here. they were out here in latrobe, right? back to 2020 and let s look at the presidential race. come with me here. when donald trump comes, they go here. you see why. yeah. right? so latrobe, that s where oz is standing in front of trump s plane with trump trying to turn out vote because he needs to run it up in trump country pennsylvania. where was he last night? over here. allentown, you come down here, penceberg, right here. just south of lehigh county, 25
the senate. we come to north carolina. cheri beasley remains ahead. this is a static count. 53-45. most of this is still early? yes. disproportionately. if you are a democrat looking at this map saying, okay, mecklenburg county, number one. running it up. that s great, it s 50% of the vote, the challenge for ted budd he is not going to win that county. narrow that margin because it s the number one county, almost 11% of the state population. charlotte. up here again subsidies and it gets more exurbia. up to raleigh, democrats have high hopes about north carolina. why? they win the african american vote, younger voters and college educated voters.
donald trump won this county by 32 points. we have no votes yet. let s go to david to tell us where this vote is coming from. he is at the battleground desk. is this an early vote? it is. you ve identified this correctly. this may be an important factor here when you re looking apt these vote totals. cheri beasley right now 784,000 votes in the vote count to ted bud s 527,000. we think about a third of the overall vote is already in. but how much of this is pre-election vote that is in this total? 100% of it and we think at the end of the day only 55% of the north carolina vote is going to be early vote pre-election vote. so right now it is this heavily inflated beasley vote, jake, because 100% of what you see nearly 100% is pre-election and early vote where democrats tend to participate that way. we have barely any election day vote, which is likely going to be a ted budd big category of