Nation, and Bloomberg Television as well. I love how we end our opening withistopher Christopher Verrone of strategas. A lot of people rationalizing where we are and beginning to rationalize outcome a way utes come on down 30,000 where we are and beginning to rationalize out, wait a minute 30,000. Jonathan lets be clear about something, they have been bullish and right through most of the last eight months. Most hatedlked about bull market, but this recovery has been underappreciated. I have sat here many times waiting for it to fade. It hasnt. But i think now things have changed. Restrictions are back. It is our closing indoor dining. The letdowns wont be the same as early spring, but the restrictions are there for all to see. The question is how much of this do you tolerate. ,om what is just as important moments ago at Deutsche Bank on the fact of a weaker dollar. How weak is weak . What do you see was in the literature . Jonathan if you are ecb president Christine Lagarde, too weak
Worldwide, and television as well. A bit of a fog and rain in new york. A fog towards the election seven days on. After the carnage we saw yesterday, we really have to recalibrate where we are because we advanced so nicely for it yesterday. It really isnt all that much of a pull back to, is it pullback technically, is it . Jonathan lets be clear, the s p 500 might be bouncing back by about 0. 5 , europe is not as all. Not just the caseload, but also the restrictions around the continent. Europe has a problem. I keep talking about this. Theres a real issue in the european economy. The recovery had already lost moment him just lost momentum. Then you throw this on top already lost momentum. They need for this on top . It doesnt look good. Ecb that gets to in meeting. S of freedom that Christine Lagarde has gets ever more narrow, doesnt it . Jonathan keep financial conditions loose. What i found fascinating, and guy and i went back and forth on this yesterday, if you ask people whether we
The news flow absolutely extraordinary. I want to get to the markets in a moment. The president tweeting. Weve got two longer tweets today. Both tweets say get out and vote. We will leave it at that. I am sure we will hear much more from a president in the white house today, masked or massless, as well. I want to go to it is clearly the market story, and a nice recovery here with yields getting right back to the enthusiasm of yesterday. Jonathan i think the three issues youve got to look at, one is the improving health of the president , according to his doctors. Another is the momentum. Three if the prospect that we dont have a contested outcome. Going off of the national polls, and i know the risks around that, this is a snapshot of where things are, not a production of where they will be. The snapshot right now, 57 40 1 , according to the poll yesterday. Cnn, the 57 being joe biden, and 41 being donald trump, that poll conducted from october 4. That is important because we have been
5, 6, seven major stories, are driving us forward. Simply an open question with all that is going on, what has your eye this morning . Jonathan the italian bond market. I know that feels a bit off the beaten road, but right now rallying aggressively over the less capital weeks. Look at the spread of btps to german debt at the moment. It is about 20 basis point. That was about 280 earlier in the year. That is one to watch in the debt markets. Tom bond price up, yield down. What is the why . Is it a flight to quality . Jonathan reduced redenomination risk, i am not sure we are completely there yet where we can say that this market now trades like a proper sovereign. What that means, we used to question how long some of these countries would play into the euro zone. The risk of redenomination, moving out of the euro and being repriced in a different currency. The fiscal backstop of a couple of months ago, even though it has not been fully implement it, i think that gave people some confid
Radio and Bloomberg Television across this nation. It is not a usual august. It is highly unusual, different from 1998. Certainly some of these trends are draw dropping are jawdropping. Bonds participate. It is decidedly risk on. Lisa although you have to say, when you got a 10 year yield below 1 , to say it is a decidedly different tone with yields going up indicates just where we are in this cycle. I will say, also important to note that is yields rise, bond prices down, you are seeing real yields remain deeply negative. Tom deeply negative and plunging right now. 1. 00s the right word, at and now at 1. 03 on the u. S. Tenyear. That is a really extraordinary drop. Saw,own near the lows we but this will be a huge theme. What will you listen for from chairman powell on thursday . Lisa basically, how much they are going to keep yields low and how much they perceive themselves looking at the reality of the economy today. I really think it is important to note that even as yields move up,