and, yet, right now democrats are projected to we ve already called two of them in northern virginia and in florida. flipping from republican control to democratic control. now democrats only need to flip 21 more and mait s only 8:30. they re leading in 15 of those districts right now. so there s potential that the democrats clearly have. let s look at how close the contest for florida senate, florida governor, are right now. we ll put the numbers up on the screen so our viewers can see them because it s getting very, very close in both. there s still plenty of votes jout sta outstanding. rick scott ahead 50.4% to 49.6%. he s ahead by 56,000 votes. 92% of the vote is in. but there s still plenty of democratic votes out in those southern florida counties, mi i miami-da miami-dade, and broward county. we ll see what happens in florida. that s the senate contest. in the gubernatorial contest, look at how close it is right now. 49.9%-48.8%. 92% of the vote is in.
little more than 13,000 votes. sir sten sin ma is trying to snatch it and make this a rare democratic pickup for today. now let s go on to missouri. this is big-time trump country. josh hauly, the republican challenge ser ahead, 54.8%. claire mccaskill is trailing in a big, big way, 42.2%. % of the vote in there. this could be a pickup for the republicans, as well. same goes for florida. look at how the tight this is. rick scott, the republican challenger is ahead though. 50.4%. the incumbent bill nelson is trying to go for a fourth term in the u.s. senate. he is trailing rick scott in this race in florida. 99% of the vote in. montana, let s look at this. this is another one of those states that is trump country. the democrat jon tester is the incumbent trying to keep it in democratic hands.
which has not happened in the last 25 years. and you re not even mentioning that. in florida, both the senate race and the governor s race too close to call. and look at how much percent of the vote it is? 98% of the vote in that senate race. 50.4% for rick scott, a difference over 60,000 votes. a race too close to call in the florida governor s race. ron desantis at 50%. andrew gillum at 48.8%. a difference of just under 100,000 votes with 90% in, which means desantis is in a slightly better position than rick scott is, but both of these races too close to call, and coming down to the end of the end of the end of the wire. and yet, if you re chris matthews, whose boss famously uttered all politics is local when he worked for tip o neill, if you ask chris his lead story at this hour, bucks county, pennsylvania. can i get back about beto?
they can pack voters in a smaller number of districts or by fracturing them into many districts to weaken their collective power in any one district. how does this play itself out? take the 2016 congressional elections. of the votes cast by major party candidates. republicans held less than a one point edge. 50.4% to 49.5. but republicans walked away 241 seats. that is a large seat advantage despite a less than one point edge in the house popular vote. here s how this dynamic unfolded in the state of pennsylvania in 2016. republicans had 54% of overall congressional popular vote and ended up with 13 of 18 seats. and democrats captured the majority of seats but due to gerrymandering republicans
another key race alert. look how tight it s getting right now. 87% of the vote is in. the democrat, conor lamb, he has a slight advantage over rick saccone, the republican, right now, by almost 2,500 votes. 50.4% more conor lamb. 459% for rick saccone. 13% of the vote still outstanding. let s go over to john king and a lot will depend where those outstanding votes are. the absentee ballots, as well. this could end up being a real nail biter. yeah, time to make some espresso. just show of 2,500-vote lead for the democrat, conor lamb. he has that lead because of this. a big lead so far in allegheny county. this is south of pittsburgh. not all of the counties in the district. this slice of the county is in the 18th congressional district. suburban voters, most of the democrats who live in the district registered democrats, more of them are here, more people here. 91% reporting. 57%, 58%, if you round that up