come. hold onto your breeches because here they come. they're coming back. congratulations. >> that was just part of donald trump's anti-immigrant messaging yesterday as he hit the campaign trail for the first time in weeks. we'll bring you more from his stops in michigan and wisconsin. also ahead we'll go through brand new polling on president biden and his predecessor in the states that will likely decide november's election. meanwhile, president biden has more sharp criticism of israel following an air strike that killed several humanitarian workers in gaza. we'll have the latest on that deadly strike and the growing international outrage. good morning and welcome to "way too early" on this wednesday, april 3rd. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for starting your day with us. and we'll begin this morning in the midwest where donald trump appeared on the campaign trail yesterday for the first time in nearly a month. in grand rapids, michigan, trump fear mongered about migrants while discussing what the campaign is now calling biden's border bloodbath. >> it's a border bloodbath and it's destroying our country, it's a very bad thing happening. we'll stop the plunlder, rape, slaughter, and destruction of our american suburb, cities, and towns. thore not humans. they're animals. we don't want them coming into our country with contagious diseases and they have have it. and all of a sudden you see these contagious diseases spreading and everyone is saying i kwunder where they came from. i can tell you where this came from. this is country changing, country threatened, and country reckoned. they have wrecked our country. we are not for you a great country. we are a country in serious decline. if we don't win on november 5th our think our country is going to cease to exist. >> first let's recall the faux outrage a couple weeks ago when those in the media and trump seized upon using the word bloodbath. and let's not let slip by the rhetoric here about migrants, calling them not human. following that michigan event, trump headed for snoert speech. trump delivered another message in a far less coherent way. he also claimed to have stopped the border situation back in to16 when you'll recall it was barack obama who was president. >> you have illegal aliens invading your home, we will deport you. there's never been a border so bad, never been corruption and rape and pillage and loss. so when i fixed it in 2016, i believe this could be like 100 times worse. that was a bad border, that was bad, understandably bad. this was at a level nobody's ever seen a border like this. the treasury will be raped, plundered, and robbed bare to pay for welfare, free health care, free housing, food stamps, medicaid, and countless other public benefits. we are actually becoming if you think about it a third world country. >> very little of that is true. also yesterday voters were voting and donald trump and biden both won primaries, but there were warning signs for both campaigns. in the key battleground of wisconsin more than 40,000 democratic voters cast a ballot for uninstruct said as part of the movement to protest the president's handling of the war in gaza. oerlgers doubled their goal of 20,000 votes, which represented biden's margin of victory over trump in that state four years ago. on the gop side, trump won wisconsin with 79% of the vote last night, but more than 95,000 voters cast a ballot for either nikki haley and ron desantis, both of whom of course dropped out of the race weeks ago. at his rally in green bay yesterday, trump falsely claimed that he won wisconsin in 2020. >> we won this state. we won this state by a lot. and it came out that we won the statement actually. >> it did not come out he won that state. we turn now to new polling that shows bidesen and trump neck and neck in every key state. trump does lead biden in arizona, michigan, north carolina, nevada, and pennsylvania. however, all of his margins are within the poll's margin of error. these leads of only 2, 3 points or so. in wisconsin the survey showed the two candidates are tied at 46 points each. the poll also finds negative perceptions about the economy do remain a problem if the incumbent. 63% of swing state voters say the kmaus u.s. economy is in not so good or poor condition while just 36% say it's an excellent or good condition. but when asked to write the economic conditions in their own states, the majority of voters in five of the seven swing states that were surveyed say it's actually there excellent or in good shape. joining us now reporter and editor at "the wall street journal" who's going to dive into these numbers for us. aaron, good to see you. let's talk about some trend lines here and what you're seeing behind these top line numbers particularly on the economy. give us some take-aways for both men. >> well, overall the polls shows -- let me give you three take-aways. one, joe biden is very unpopular across all seven of these seven states. you're showing the head to head numbers where he's trailing. we also tell used a ballot with third party candidates. people aren't going to see a ballot that just has trump and biden. there's going to be a green party candidate, a libertarian candidate possibly rfk on some of these ballots, and we test that as well. again, biden is losing as of now in six of the seven states. second point, it is close as you said. it's only a couple of points that separates these candidates in most of these states. but the third point to keep in mind is that the electorate is really unsettled. people don't like either of their choices. both of these men are unpopular in battle grnld states. and between a third of the electorate hadn't settled on a candidate. 10% say they're undecided. another 15% say they're voting third party. and we believe most of these people will come home to the major parties, and another few percent say they're likely to vote for trump or biden but not definite. we have seven months of campaign messages to come out, and about a third of the electorate has yet to be persuaded who they're going to pick. >> yeah, it does seem for large portions of of americans they're just now coming to termwise the idea it is going to be biden versus trump again. as you say two men both pretty unpopular, you know, in broad terms. what are some of -- you mentioned the economy there as a potential real obstacle for president biden. what are some other concerns that voters have expressed about both biden and trump? >> yeah, it's interesting to see your setup with trump talking immigration, immigration, immigration. there's a battle i would say on right now for salience. there are a lot of issues in people's minds, and the campaigns are going to try to elevate in the voters minds the issues that they think are most favorable to them. on biden's side it'll be abortion. trump is playing on immigration. but what we found is when you look at these battleground states and compare them to the electorate at large, the whole nation, the voters in these battleground states are really more focused on the economy and more sour on the economy than our voters at large you'll see in national polls. and immigration is a little less salient for them. so, you know, i would say this poll suggests that the battle is going to be over trying to persuade people whether the economy is good and that things are headed in the right direction economically more than some of these other issues. >> and the polls suggest that voters say they trust trump to handle the economy more than biden by 54% to 34%. that's a significant margin. tell us more about why you believe that is and any other under the hood numbers we should be aware of here in this important snapshot of where the race stands. >> well, this poll like many polls finds people think the national economy is terrible. and that's a real puzzle because by objective measures the economy is very good. we have the best labor market we've had since the 1960s by many measures. inflation has come down, consumers are spending. that's a measure of actual behavior. people aren't spending like we're in a bad economy and headed into recession. they're spending as if things are good, and yet people tell us in polls that the economy is bad. and one thing we have to ask ourselves is when we ask these questions are people really answering about the economy, or do they just feel bad about things in general? and there's a lot of evidence that that's what's going on. look, covid scared a lot of people. it shook up everyone's lives. inflation seemed untamable, and there's kind of a general you could almost say malaise and people are being asked to pick a choice at a time when the world seemed unsteady and uncertain and neither of these candidates seemed surefooted and able to guide us into the future, at least that's what we hear from many people. >> real case content. fascinating stuff. thank you for bringing this polling to us. we appreciate it. still ahead here on "way too early," we've learned some new details about how donald trump was able to secure the $175 million bond in his new york civil fraud case. plus, why the former president has taken legal action against the founders of his social media site. we'll get into those stories, the morning's other top headlines as well as check on sports and weather when we come right back. sports and weather when we come right back no, my denture's uncomfortable! dracula, let's fight back against discomfort. with new poligrip power max hold & comfort. it has superior hold plus keeps us comfy all day with it's pressure absording layer. time for a bite! if your mouth could talk it would ask for... poligrip. -remember when i said we need to screen for colon cancer? -was that after i texted the age to screen was now 45? [both] because i said cologuard®! -hey there! -where did he come from? -yup, with me you can screen at home. just talk to your provider. [both] we'll screen with cologuard and do it my way. cologuard is a one-of-a-kind way to screen for colon cancer that's effective and non-invasive. it's for people 45+ at average risk, not high risk. false positive and negative results may occur. ask your provider for me, cologuard. so this is pickleball? it's basically tennis for babies, but for adults. it should be called wiffle tennis. pickle! yeah, aw! whoo! ♪♪ these guys are intense. we got nothing to worry about. with e*trade from morgan stanley, we're ready for whatever gets served up. dude, you gotta work on your trash talk. i'd rather work on saving for retirement. or college, since you like to get schooled. that's a pretty good burn, right? got him. good game. thanks for coming to our clinic, first one's free. business. thanks for coming it's not a nine-to-five proposition. it's all day and into the night. it's all the things that keep this world turning. the go-tos that keep us going. the places we cheer. and check in. they all choose the advanced network solutions and round the clock partnership from comcast business. see why comcast business powers more small businesses than anyone else. get started for $49.99 a month plus ask how to get up to an $800 prepaid card. don't wait- call today. welcome back as we turn to some of the morning's other top headlines. donald trump's legal team has launched yet another effort to get the judge overseeing his hush money trial off the case. attorneys for the former president want to file a motion to have the judge recuse himself arguing that his daughter's political work poses a conflict of interest. trump's team made a very similar request a year ago. prosecutors from the manhattan's d.a.'s office says the judge who denied the request arguing trump's team has identified no circumstances that would warrant to seek another recusal. trump's hush money trial is set to begin in less than two weeks. that start date april 15th. meanwhile, we have some new details about how trump posted the $175 million bond in his new york civil fraud case and the billionaire trump supporter behind it. nbc news has now learned that negotiations were under way to post the initial $557 million bond when an appeals court reduced it. that's according to california billionaire don hank, chairman of knight insurance group, which is the company that posted the reduced bond. hank who made his fortune providing high interest car loans to people with poor credit told nbc news he'd been following trump's struggle securing the original amount, and he reached out to an acquaintance who had ties to trump to let them know the massive bond was something they could consider. after the bond was then reduced, his company covered it with trump putting up cash as collateral. hanky is also the largest investor of axos bank which refinanced loans on trump tower and his doral property back in 2022. he insists covering the baumd was a business decision not a political one adding he'd be happy to do it for a democrat. trump is suing the cofounders of truth social in order to prevent from keeping shares in the company's stock. he claims they made a series of costly mistakes that delayed the company from going public. trump's legal team asked the judge to strip both men of their shares in the company, this after they filed a lawsuit in february claiming that trump and other leaders schemed to dilute their shares prior to merger which would allow the company to then go public. truth social debuted on nasdaq last week resulting in a surge in stock price, but it has fallen substantially after the company disclosed it lost $58 million last year. still ahead, we'll turn to sports and reigning mvp joel embiid's return to the court after knee surgery. we'll show you if he's back in superstar form. and bryce harper who busted out of a slump in grand fashion. those highlights and a check on the forecast when we come right back. ck on the forecast when we come right back bladder leak underwear has one job. i just want to feel protected! especially for those sudden gush moments. always discreet protects like no other. with a rapid dry core that locks in your heaviest gush quickly for up to zero leaks. always discreet- the protection we deserve! here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. lefty on lefty, deep right to center field. no doubt about it a three homer game. he caps it off with a grand slam! >> bryce harper playing three of phillies fist four games this season but broke out of a slump in a bag way with three home runs against the cincinnati reds including that grand slam to cap off the five run seventh inning. phillies beat the reds 5-4. to los angeles now. mooky bets, man he's just so good. he's the early mlb home run hitter. he's gaurld got five. that's his fifth home run right there. that helped the dodgers to their third victory in a row. their 5-4 win over their rival. scoreless in the first six innings of arizona's 7-0 win over the bronx. this marks the first time they've out the ng yankees since game 2 of 2001, one of my favorites. it also knocks the yankees from the rank of unbeaten. a return to action for reigning mvp joel empede. exactly eight weeks after undergoing knee surgery, embiid was back on the court at home in philadelphia last night. he scored 24 points in the game to help philly to 109-105 win and restore hope so the sixers can salvage their season. phillies had slumped to 14 to 17 record. includest last night's victory the team was 27 and 8 when he plays. the team currently sits at number 8 in the eastern conference, 1 1/2 games behind the miami heat. meanwhile iowa's win over lsu in the elite eight a couple days ago was a most watched women's college basketball game of all-time averaging a whopping 12.3 million viewers monday night. according to nielsen data that is all but one nba finals game last season, every major league baseball contest in 2023, and compared to college football last year only rivalled by the sec championship game and the college football playoff game between michigan and ohio state. only one men's ncaa tournament game this year had a larger viewership. that was was nc states pft win over duke in the elite eight. time now for the weather and let's go to meteorologist angie lassman for the forecast. pretty soggy out there. >> pretty soggy indeed. this is going to be something we deal with over the next couple of days. we've still got potential for strong storms to develop particularly over the southeast where right now tornado warnings remain in effect. haefby warning for parts of the midatlantic and north east and, yes, of course the snow across parts of the great lakes. still dealing with that. the severe weather today, it's going to be less of a chance for us to see some of these tornados but still possible. the strong wind gusts, the damaging hail, and that's more than 20 million people indeluded in that in parts of the midatlantic down to the south. we've got 46 million people under flood alerts as we gear up for heavy rain and winter alerts as we expect more snow here for the next couple of days. the winds are going to be difficult, too, not only for travel but also power outage across the region. you can see 40, 50 mile per hour winds across the north east and great lake. we have flooding concerns along the coast. this is going to be something we'll deal with the strong onshore winds even as we get into tomorrow. and there's the rainfall total, 1 to 2 inches, isolated amounts up to 3 inches. not hard to see flooding especially in areas you often see flooding. ponding on the roadways is something to deal with and significant snow maybe a foot, a foot and a half in northern elevations and on top of that those winds is going to create blizzard conditions and this is why we're concerned about the travel, the roads, of course air travel will be difficult and those power outages i mentioned. >> in early april a major storm. thank you as always. next up on "way too early," president joe biden expresses outrage after an israeli strike kills seven humanitarian aid workers in gaza. it's some of the president's strongest criticism of israel to date. we'll dive into it when "way too early" returns. date we'll dive into it when "way too early" returns and stabbing pain in my hands, so i use nervive. nervive's clinical dose of ala reduces nerve discomfort in as little as 14 days. now i can help again. feel the difference with nervive. do you have a life insurance policy you no longer need? now you can sell your policy - even a term policy - for an immediate cash payment. we thought we had planned carefully for our retirement. but we quickly realized we needed a way to supplement our income. if you have $100,000 or more of life insurance, you may qualify to sell your policy. don't cancel or let your policy lapse without finding out what it's worth. visit coventrydirect.com to find out if your policy qualifies. or call the number on your screen. coventry direct, redefining insurance. here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. “look at all those snacks, you must be a king!” “i did just pay 60% less for my ticket with the gametime app.” “it's the best place to get last-minute deals on tickets.” “i guess i'm just a better fan than you.“ "(crowd cheering) i've got to get the gametime app.” “download the gametime app to get great deals on last-minute tickets.” her uncle's unhappy. “down i'm sensing anme app underlying issue.s it's t-mobile. it started when we tried to get him under a new plan. but they they unexpectedly unraveled their “price lock” guarantee. which has made him, a bit... unruly. you called yourself the “un-carrier”. you sing about “price lock” on those commercials. “the price lock, the price lock...” so, if you could change the price, change the name! it's not a lock, i know a lock. so how can we undo the damage? we could all unsubscribe and switch to xfinity. their connection is unreal. and we could all un-experience this whole session. okay, that's uncalled for. welcome back to "way too early." it's a little ahead of 5:30 a.m. on the east coast, 2:30 a.m. out west on this wednesday morning. i'm jonathan lemire. thanks for being with us. we turn now to news overseas, and president biden said he was outraged and heartbroken by the israeli defense forces strike that killed seven world central kitchen aid workers in gaza. the president wrote this. "this conflict has been one of the worst in recent memory in terms of how many aid workers have been killed. this is a major reason why distributing humanitarian aid in gaza has been so difficult because israel has not done enough to protect aid workers trying to deliver desperateply needed help to civilians. incidents like yesterday simply should not happen, the president wrote last night. israel has also not done enough to protect civilians." strong language from president biden. the strike killed several humanitarian workers on monday including dual u.s. citizens from chef jose andres's humanitarian aid group. more than 200 aid workers have been killed so far. prime minister netanyahu posted tuesday israel deeply regrets the tragic incident and we'll do everything in our power to ensure such tragedies do not occur in the future. there's been global outrage about this, and in jerusalem thousands of protesters gather outside israel's parliament for a third straight day calling for early elections and a deal to release the hostages still being held in gaza. sunday will mark six months since the amaus terrorist attack on israel, and public demonstrations in the country have really intensified in recent days. "the new york times" is reporting that a protest yesterday outside of netanyahu's home turned into something of a riot. that's according to israeli police who said hundreds had tried to break through barriers near the prime minister's home but were turned aside. joining us now national security reporter for "the washington post," john hudson. he's traveling alongside u.s. secretary of state antony blinken in brussels right now. john, good to see you as always. let's start with the statement from the president. this was arguably his toughest language to date towards israel. there's been criticism for some time israel has not taken care to limit civilian deaths, and now we can add aid workers to that. talk to us a little more about what went into that statement and do we think this could change some of the dynamic right now between washington and israel going forward? >> yeah, you're right. it is the strongest language they've used to date. it really expresses a level of frustration that they have not been able to convince the israelis to get better at deconfliction. it's, of course, a horrible event that happened on monday, seven dead. but this is not the first time that it's happened to aid workers in this conflict. more than 150 u.n. aid workers have been killed in this conflict so far. it's actually the most aid workers that have been killed in the history of the u.n. in any single conflict. sadly what has happened in world central kitchen has really gavel unders people and galvanized the world largely because host andres who cofounded central kitchen is a larger than life presence and has a bigger western presence than many of the other often palestinian aid workers who have been killed in other instances in this conflict. so this has really galvanized a lot of outrage, and for the administration they felt like they had had to put out a statement. it really resonates with the public -- >> we're losing john hudson's connection there. he is in europe traveling with the secretary of state. we always appreciate. oh, john, are you back? do we have you again? okay, great. let's ask you about this. what's the latest we've heard from the negotiations, you know, in cairo taking place for the deal for these hostage tuesday be released. they seem to be stuck now for months. any signs of progress? >> yeah, it's a really difficult place to be in. there's been a handful of things to be negotiating over. the key sticking points remain the israeli's desire to continue to continue to strike-out against hamas after an initial phase of hostage releases, and they don't want a permanent cease-fire. hamas is pushing for a permanent cease-fire. the other thing hamas continues to push for a higher ratio of hamas fighter and palestinian detainees to be released, and that has caused some fighting back and forth as well. the united states and qatar trying to play the role of being the two sides closer together with the egyptians playing this role as well. but right now it's still the case that the gaps have been too far to bridge, so they continue to have these differences, and of course the united states hopes that an initial hostage deal could be made, that would be critical to ending the entire conflict because you won't be able to extend that and continue it, but that's been illusive at this point. >> as you're talking there, john, we showed footage of the protesters outside netanyahu's home. real angry in israel more has not been done to bring the hostage home. also a world central kitchen van struck a missile went right through the van's roof. he's in brussels with the secretary of state. next up here we'll switch to business news, and we'll get a look at the morning's headlines with insight on the markets from our pals over at cnbc. we'll be right back with that. c. we'll be right back with that. (psst! psst!) ahhh! with flonase, allergies don't have to be scary. spray flonase sensimist daily for non-drowsy long lasting relief in a scent free, gentle mist. flonase all good. also, try our allergy headache and nighttime pills. with the freestyle libre 3 system... know your glucose levels no fingersticks needed. all with the world's smallest and thinnest sensor. manage your diabetes with more confidence and lower your a1c. try it for free at freestylelibre.us. here's to getting better with age. here's to beating these two every thursday. help fuel today with boost high protein, complete nutrition you need... ...without the stuff you don't. so, here's to now. boost. time now for business and for that let's bring in cnbc's mandy drury who joins us live from london. good morning, mandy. investors today will get more insight into the labor market with the adp private payrolls report, which is set to release just before the bell. how is wall street shaping up in the early morning hours? >> hi there, jonathan. well, we're taking a look at the futures right now, and it's showing a little bit of red on the screen suggesting further caution at the beginning of this second quarter for the stock market. and with good reason, jonathan. we're watching the yield on the ten year barch mark note and currently sitting at its highest since november. the fear is if we continue to see good numbers on the economy and continue to see the disinflation trends coming to a bit of an obstacle, that could push yields higher and has a trickle down effect for all the things we use for borrowing like student debt and cars and homes and everything out there in the economy. you're right, the adp private payroll support is going to be coming out shortly and that is ahead of the big number, the nonpharm payrolls monday. what does he think about the situation in the u.s. and inflation progress as well. we're going to be passing for anything he says for clues on the timing of the first cut from the federal reserve. >> it has been been known by many as the most interesting man in the world. we'll certainly be watching that. demand for workers in the u.s. did rise slightly for workers, though layoffs also ticked up during that same period. what can we deduce about the labor market? >> yes, really interesting numbers there. job openings total 8.75 million in february. it was a little higher, in other words, more job openings available in the month of january but also above the pre-covid levels of approximately 7 million openings. it is i should say hard to get a very clear read on what's going on in the labor market just from this number alone because what we're seeing in these numbers is a bit of walk in from the fact so many work from home aren't necessarily counted. i personally from australia also work from home and broadcast from cnbc in my spare bedroom. on the whole i think the bottom line here is the labor market in the united states has been resilient, and wage gains in certain sectors have also been notable. >> lastly and briefly tesla posted its first annual drop in sales since the beginning of the pandemic. what do we think happened there? >> you know, this is quite disappointing. i think we thought it was going to not going to be a great number, but this is actually a much worse number than expected. as you say covid deliveries fell for the first time since 2020 and the shares have been sort of kind of anticipating a negative number. and so they were already down, you know, 20 odd percent ahead of the numbers year to date, but now i think they've lost a third of their value year to date, and we've seen a number of analysts also come out and cut the share price target further on tesla. it's a bit of a difficult playing field. there's a lot of competition out there particularly from the chinese ev makers like byd. and also, you know, there have been a number of price cuts, which do definitely hurt the margins not just of tesla but also the other ev makers. so it's going to be potentially a rocky road ahead at least in the short-term. jonathan, back to you. >> all right, cnbc's mandy drury live from london, thank you very much. next up here we'll turn to politics with more from donald trump's campaign events yesterday in two key swing states. the former president, though, dodged a question on what will be a important issue in november's election. we'll show you that moment straight ahead. if you have chronic kidney disease you can reduce the risk of kidney failure with farxiga. because there are places you'd like to be. farxiga can cause serious side effects, including ketoacidosis that may be fatal, dehydration, urinary tract, or genital yeast infections, and low blood sugar. a rare, life-threatening bacterial infection in the skin of the perineum could occur. stop taking farxiga and call your doctor right away if you have symptoms of this infection, an allergic reaction, or ketoacidosis. ♪ far-xi-ga ♪ ♪3, 4♪ ♪ an allergic reaction, or ketoacidosis. ♪hey♪ ♪ ♪are you ready for me♪ ♪are you ready♪ ♪are you ready♪ not all caitlin clarks are the same. caitlin clark. city planner. just like not all internet providers are the same. don't settle. you want fast. get fast. you want reliable. get reliable. you want powerful. get powerful. get real deal speed, reliability and power with xfinity. she shoots from here? that's kinda my thing. welcome back. as we turn to politics now, former president donald trump says he'll clarify his stance on abortion some time next week. in a campaign rally yesterday yesterday in michigan trump was asked if he supported his home state of florida's restrictive six-week abortion ban. >> mr. president, do you support the six-week abortion ban that the florida supreme court just upheld? >> we'll be back with a statement next week on abortion. we're going to make a statement next week. >> trump saying he'll make a statement next week. president biden responded on social media with a quote from trump where he bragged about overturning roe v. wade captioned with, quote, you already made your statement, donald. joining us now national politics reporter for the hill, julia manchester. good to see you, julia. trump's saying he'll make a statement next week is reminiscent when he was in office and he didn't want to answer and he said i'll have a plan for you in two weeks time, and it would never occur. we'll see how long he can dodge this, and abortion front and center now because of what's happening in his home state of florida. that state supreme court ruling that at least temporarily enforces that six-week abortion ban and puts abortion access on the ballot again in that state in november. abortion we know a big deal. talk to us about how the biden campaign plans to highlight it and also how do we expect trump to try to navigate? >> right, jonathan, a very big deal particularly in a state like florida, a state where many of us are saying is it really going to be in play this election, but now we're starting to talk about it because of this issue of abortion. look, donald trump understands this is a vulnerable issue for republicans. and we really just need to look at down ballot races, and, you know, special elections across the country where we've seen in red states like alabama, for example, or even that ballot measure in ohio last year where, you know, democrats and abortion rights activists really campaigned and were able to get victories on this issue. so we know that donald trump has been very careful to navigate this in a post-roe v. wade world, but right now he's really being put on the spot, and delaying answering that question is only giving i guess thought or ammunition in a way to his critics and president biden. now, the biden campaign is full steam ahead on this issue. they want to talk about this issue. they want to make this front and center. and while democrats, you know, are optimistic about florida but temper that optimism saying they won't necessarily win the state on abortion, there is a feeling this measure in florida could very well pass, and at the same time democrats could run up the score in florida and sort of distract republicans making them spend more money on florida because of the abortion issue. and, you know, essentially tying up the resources there. >> yeah, that's a good point. florida has become very red in recent cycles, but if the gop has to spend money there, it's worth it in itself for democrats. in your latest piece for the hill the biden campaign is courting voters. >> in those efforts it's interesting because when i was on the ground particularly in new hampshire, which nikki haley she did pretty well. and she didn't win new hampshire but he came in second and was able to hold her own against former president trump. there were a number of haley supporters, republican and independent that i chatted with who said that they liked her stance on abortion, saying they liked that she said she wanted consensus on the issue, that this wasn't going to be decided at the federal level. so she really took a step back as opposed to other republicans like ron desantis who signed that six-week abortion ban and question into law in florida. so i think a lot of nikki haley supporters might be more moderate on the issue as compared to trump and biden's campaign sees an opening there particularly in the suburbs. over the past few election cycles we've seen democrats really run up the score with women but also with suurb been women in the suburbs. and abortion is an area i think they feel they can do that. >> it, so key, suburban women, tell us more about the republicans' ongoing struggle with those group. >> we've seen republicans struggling with that group really going back to 2018, you know the first election cycle donald trump faced his first midterm cycle as president. the republicans have continued to lose that group and when you look not only at the presidential level 2020 when biden was running against trump but in 2022, democrats were really able to run up the score with the suburban women in various key states like arizona, like pennsylvania for example, 2020 georgia, senate race suburban as well. republican women have been on the defense with this group. one of the main reasons is because of abortion. we know that this group might have ten defendsy to lean more conservatively or right leaning when it comes to the economy, however on these social issues and on donald trump himself, you know, they're very much more likely to support democrats or seem more likely to support democrats. an uphill climb for republicans with this group. >> julia manchester, thank you for joining us. up next, donald trump's latest attempt to hijack christian theemts for his political purposes and quest for power. coming up, the ex-president returns to the campaign trail with stops in the battleground states of michigan and wisconsin, he once again railed against migrants and spread more election lies. plus, which battleground states now show president biden and former president trump in a very tight race, we'll dig into those numbers. and actresses jillian anderson and billie piper will be in studio to talk about their upcoming netflix film "scoop." you don't want to miss that. and you know i didn't. it makes my running shoe look like new! it's amazing. it's so good. it makes it look like i have magical powers. magic eraser and sheets make cleaning look easy. (♪♪) (♪♪) try dietary supplements from voltaren, for healthy joints. what the hell biden thinking when he declared easter sunday to be trans visibility day. such total disrespect to christians and november 5th is going to be called something else. you know what it's going to be called? christian visibility day, when christians turn out in numbers that no one has ever seen before. >> that was former president trump in wisconsin yesterday, criticizing the biden white house for recognizing transjrnd day visibility day which just happened to fall on easter sunday day. joining us now former aide to the george w. bush white house and state department, elise jordan. this day is always held on march 31st, just happened to fall on easter sunday. >> listen, this is the kind of proclamation that the white house issues ten a day. no one ever notices until it happens to happen on easter day and unfortunately for the biden white house this was an unforced day. maybe do it at 12:01 for the optics of it since easter is one of two holidays for christians. this is the kind of thing that works perfectly for that. >> certainly a bad faith argument from trump and his supporters there. also a piece of a larger plan what they're trying to do, whip up religious themes. about how trump is leaning in to almost this idea he's a christ-like figure complete with selling bible and he autographed bibles one time after an earthquake or hurricane in alabama and that just hit hit southern baptist faith in an ouch way. they separate the man and his values from his values and they see what he did in office, appoint supreme court justices who overturned roe v. wade, that's what they wanted, huge, huge carrot to vote for them. >> he did. the man isn't shy of autographing flags as well. you mentioned roe v. wade, we just talked to julia manchester about this decision in florida is really once again putting abortion front and center. for this one it's pretty tricky for trump who's tried to have it both ways. bragging about the supreme court justices who overturned roe v. wade but other moments trying to distance himself from it. governor desantis's restrictive regulation is tied around trump's neck. >> donald trump will be what's politically expedient for donald trump. he'll probably wedge himself at the 15-week marker. with the majority of voters, it's not going necessarily change florida into a red state but certainly beneficial for democrats. >> certainly at minimum makes republicans spend resources they don't have. trump was off the campaign trail for nearly a month before he got back on it yesterday. we played at top of show much of his message was really hateful, offensive comments about migrants, do we still think, you know, that -- polls suggest immigration isn't a big issue for some americans, how do you think is going to play out. >> still a loft polls two-thirds of americans think president biden is mishandling the border crisis of course donald trump is going to use this. plenty of americans feel like the wall didn't happen, so perhaps biden can use that he didn't build the first time. there are also other americans who think that biden isn't doing enough. he'll exploit it for every inch he can as so many blue states and sanctuary cities are straining fe resources because of the influx. >> elise jordan, thank you. thanks to all of you for getting up way too early. "morning joe" starts right now. trump has been going after the judge's daughter, which is just nuts. the judge ordered him to stop, he declined this morning. this morning, he wrote another whole diatribe. and