swing. >> there may be 25, 30, truly competitive house seats. that is it. there aren't that many. and republicans, well, they exceeded expectations to 2020. they got the low hanging fruit in the last election. so the picnic would be hard. they're not gonna have a big's wave is 2010. maybe if they win 2025 seats they will have 240, which is 37 states, maybe. that's a pretty big majority. if they perform at that level. >> if you look at the trends, this year, and the house specials. democrats have completely overperformed. if you look at new york 19, republican should've won there. pat ride one, focus on abortion. i think there's underlying career that people are discounting that the dobbs energy is absolutely still. there >> special elections really have no impact on what's going to happen in the fall. we saw that in 2010. we lost a special election --