thursday, who knows. let s take a look at some of the key states that will be voting and ultimately determine the shape of congress. let s start out in arizona. a state that took days to project the 2020 presidential winner. interestingly in arizona, the later ballots were good for the gop in 2020, which was a reversal of what happened in 2018. and this one they re going to be talking about. some states, later ballots are related to gop. and some states are good for the democrats. let s go to one of those states where it s better for the democrats in 2020 and 2021. you may remember there was in fact a 2021 senate runoff in georgia. and it was not determined who won those runoffs, and told the wednesday after the election. so it took a long time to count. it took even longer that general election back in november of 2020. here, the later counted ballots were good for the democrats in 2021, and in 2020. remember biden keeps getting gaining gaining. then ultimately biden over to
Swing. there may be 25, 30, truly competitive house seats. that is it. there aren t that many. and republicans, well, they exceeded expectations to 2020. they got the low hanging fruit in the last election. so the picnic would be hard. they re not gonna have a big s wave is 2010. maybe if they win 2025 seats they will have 240, which is 37 states, maybe. that s a pretty big majority. if they perform at that level. if you look at the trends, this year, and the house specials. democrats have completely overperformed. if you look at new york 19, republican should ve won there. pat ride one, focus on abortion. i think there s underlying career that people are discounting that the dobbs energy is absolutely still. there special elections really have no impact on what s going to happen in the fall. we saw that in 2010. we lost a special election