A very warm welcome to Worldwide Exchange, im wilfred profit. Along with susan lee sitting in for sara eisen. Good morning. Lets get straight to the markets. Futures why not a decent end to the week. A very strong rally friday as people digested that ecb decision and decided it was positive risk assets. Today, theyre looking at profit taking. The dow by four points, s p by about 5. Nasdaq by 10. Following strong gains on friday, not too much of a correction expected today. A quick look at the tenyear note, interestingly, back close to 2 for the treasury, highlighting that riskon sentiment that weve seen in the last couple of weeks. Good monday morning, lets get to this mornings top stories. The bank of japan beginning its twoday meeting today. A federal decision on wednesday Central Banks in england and switzerland will also meet this week. Other global news, an attack in the turkish capital of ankara leaving 24 dead. Officials say car bomb targeted civilians in a busy bus stop in the city. No one so far has claimed responsibility for this attack. In europe meantime, Germanys Angela Merkel suffering big losses in Regional Elections and protesting the open government refugee stance. And out of the midwest, an amtrak train traveling from kansas to chicago derailed in kansas. Local Emergency Services are at the scene. There are reports of injuries. Well have more on that, as we have it. Switching gears. Lets check in on Global Markets this morning. Asia first up showing a positive session. We do have mixed data out of china. Industrial production slightly lower than expected. Retail sales slightly lower than expected. Fixed Asset Investment much better than expected. And that of course one of the fiscal maneuvers that the government could be pulling. Nonetheless, you can see positive take on this. Heres a look at europe. European trade is looking pretty positive itself at the moment, albeit a little more muted than friday. Friday, great performance for the banks deciding that that was in fact a positive session from the ecb the day before, when thursday was mixed performance. Fridays strong gains just put the week in posted territory. Were looking at a decent start. Germany at 1. 6 . Interesting that merkels position in the election, the market struggling this morning. Oil has been up four straight weeks, the same thing for u. S. Markets so it seems that the trend is still intact, as oil goes so goes the benchmarks. Were losing 2 . 37. 72. And barrel brent crude, down 2 or so. Lets check on the dollar and the performance as we have so many Central Banks meeting, boj, boe, smb. The u. S. Dollar against the common currency, 1. 11. Versus the yen, its interesting that were looking at more strength. The pound sitting at 1. 43 and change. Gold, on the safe haven play. Gold prices there you go, 1257 an ounce. Clearly, the ecb was center stage last week. But i think we cant get away from the fact that all of is this having such big impact as youre saying. Thats highlighted this morning. Because oil is down, thats why u. S. Futures are pointing down lower. Oil still leads the market. I would also say its a commodity story. As we mentioned last night, production may have missed. I think the story that everyone is taking from what im hearing is the property bill. Infrastructure spending 51 in the month of january. Thats why weve seen the likes of iron prices again, right. Thats right. Were constantly focusing on monetary policy. The big lever, and big infrastructure boosting the numbers there. Lets get back to market data. Theres no Economic Data but plenty of key reports in the week ahead. Tuesday, february retail sales, ppi, and the fed begins its twoday policy meetinging. On wednesday, cpi, Housing Starts and the feds decision. Economic forecasts and Janet Yellens forecast. Lets get you to continue news. Blackstone selling Strategic Hotels and resources and for a price tag of 6. 5 billion. Blackstone completed it less than a year ago. And buying new yorks waldorf astoria for 2 million last february. Theyre still on the acquisition trail. And a lawsuit claims he sexually, physically and emotionally abused a woman over a period of 13 years. He calls the suit extortion and says he plans to file a cross suit. The lawsuit said he had a Sexual Partner forge a deck indicate and could not longer tolerate his behavior. After paying her 10 million, he refused to honor the relevant of this agreement. Hes seeing for breach of contract. I believe it contains graphic details that he raped the woman. Yeah, this was an explosive story going across silicon valley. And were something is attacked especially hellaciously, people pay attention. Lets get to stocks to watch. Pfizer abbott taking a hit after people in india pose a ban against codeinebased medicine. Chipotle, with a recent filing and activists investigators, opposing a plan to give oscar munoz an additional role as chairman. More stocks to watch, alibaba announcing that logisticss arm is completing a funding round. They did not suggest how much money is raised. Michael kors continues to rally as the retailer continues to expand in asia and menswear. Thats barge to barrons. And Ingersoll Rand could rise 20 in next year. Despite the plunge which has weighed on its investors. Im excited. Its basket season. Thats right, march madness has arrived. As fans watch the games and participate in office polls, the ncaa tournaments can also drive employers mad. Lets get to landon dowdy. Good morning. A big welcome to Worldwide Exchange. It may be a high point for ncaa fans across the country but time is money for their employers. The action between the 68 universities sets off tuesday and wednesday with the playin games. It starts thursday with North Carolina, virginia, kansas and oregon as the number one seeds and about to get expensive your boss. With an average salary of 25, every hour spent on march madness could cost employers a total of nearly 4 million in lost productivity. Workers will have more activity than ever to games streaming across apple tv, road crew and amazon tv. Thats likely to be 51 million to participate in office polls. However, outplacement firms say employers should think twice in reigning in the madness. Sources say that could result in longterm awareness in morale. Wilfred, welcome to america. I dont know if you know the ncaa tournament, but susan, youre a big fan, right . I am a big fan. Im not a tar heel like you. You are a tar heel. You were telling me that people paid 1,000 for the seats if they took on the blue devils. They do get expensive. I went to a tournament. They took on the wahoos, had a big win. I did not pay for those big seats. Im looking forward to ive got until tomorrow, right . As soon as possible. Still to come, a live report from beijing. Well tell what you the countrys new top regulator wants the Global Markets to know. Stay tuned. Youre watching cnbc. Nger to fly and a passion to build something better. And what an amazing time its been, decade after decade of innovation, inspiration and wonder. So, we say thank you america for a century of trust, for the privilege of flying higher and higher, together. Hey hows it going, hotcakes . Hotcakes. This place has hotcakes. So why arent they selling like hotcakes . With comcast Business Internet and wifi pro, they could be. Just add a customized message to your wifi pro splash page and youll reach your customers where their eyes are already on their devices. Order up. Its more than just wifi, it can help grow your business. You dont see that every day. Introducing wifi pro, wifi that helps grow your business. Comcast business. Built for business. Welcome back to Worldwide Exchange. A very good morning to you. Lets go to the screens. Green across the screens in asia. We had mixeded data. A big Infrastructure Spending boost. Thats sent markets high there. Also decent machinery orders out of japan. Decent data there, best part of 2 . Europe also performing well. Of course, we go to to fridays markets. Thats continuing a little bit today. Interesting to see germany at 1. 4 despite disappointing Regional Election results for Angela Merkel. And oil prices a slightly negative open to the tune of about 40 points to the dow. Susan. A host of chinese officials speaking over the weekend including the new securities chief. He seems to believe that it will continue to support the markets. Lets get to beijing with eunice yoon. Eunice. Thanks a lot, susan, the new chief of the Regulatory Commission the crsc met with the chief over the weekend. He replaces the former boss, mr. Shellgon, a man basically blamed for mishandling the market turmoil with various steps of the government. More specifically the circuit break eer system that was put i place in january. He was very much blamed for it. It ended up creating a lot more volatility rather than calming the markets down. He wanted to reassure investors saying he vowed it was going to help step it up and help the recovery by not putting in place a Circuit Breaker system anytime soon. And he also said that reforms to the ipo system are going to take some time. He also mentioned that its still too early for a lot of the state funds to withdraw from the markets. All of those are comments that local investors really wanted to hear. And he also at the same time defended the governments past actions. This is what he had to say. The government responsibility remains with transparency and fairness or justice of Chinese Government market can never be shaken. We can only Carry Forward the healthy part of the government to investors. In the future where we fall where the markets constantly fails the government should make a decisive move to step in. And investors are taking the comments to mean that authorities here are placing a priority on market stability. Theyre also a lot of people are expecting that the authorities are also placing priority on social stability. Because over the weekend, we had thousands of protesters in the northeast rust belt of the country which is an area that has a lost coal mining. There were several people out on the streets demanding more unpaid wages. And they also were protesting these reforms saying that the government, when theyre addressing these overcapacity issues need to make sure that they take care of workers. And actually over the weekend as well, we had heard from the regulator of the Stateowned Enterprises and he actually had said that investors really should not expect to see radical restructuring here. Because they want to make sure that workers come first. So, again, wilfred, susan, a message out of the authorities here that eireiterate and reinforce the overall in tone of this conference that growth is going to take precedence and that reforms will take a backseat. Guys. Eunice yoon there in beijing. We did see the rallies last night in asia. In talking to trading guys, its not volume thats coming on to the market. In fact, theyre being very tepid with their buys. They want to see where the currency is going. The overhang in china is where did the yuen go. It has managed to gain a sense in their minds that theyre controlling the currency better than they had at the tart of the year. Have a look at c nbc. Com to see that. Still to come here on Worldwide Exchange new polls this morning find donald trump ahead in florida and illinois. But john kasich holds an edge in his home state of ohio. We have the latest from the campaign trail of tomorrows key primary contests. But first, the National Forecast from the weather channels jen carfagno. Good monday, susan and wilfred. How about an average day. Thats what the temperatures are going to the northeast. A bit chilly actually with some rain coming in as well. Well add a little bit of snow even in parts of new england so, yes, march can be a very sort of crazy month when it comes to different weather. We do have thunderstorms. Same thing that brought thunderstorms or tornadoes last evening. Moving through the midatlantic, bringing damaging hail. And northwest has got a big system blowing in literally, strong winds, Hurricane Force over the weekend. Winds coming down a bit into the northwest. Temperaturewise, a lot of the country either at or above average especially through the middle. Were well above average, nearly 90 for this day in dallas, texas. Im meteorologist jen carfagno for weather channel. Cnbcs Worldwide Exchange continues after this. Earth hour is about empowering people making a difference to change Climate Change with passion and excitement earth hour is about inspiring Climate Action celebrating a Global Movement and impact join us at earthhour. Org 19th march at 8 30pm karl, dont you have fryeah, so . Ng over . It stinks in here. Youve got to wash this whole room are you kidding . Wash it . Lets wash it with febreze. For all the things you cant wash, use. Febreze fabric refresher whoa hey mrs. Webber inhales hey, it smells nice in here and try pluggable febreze. To continuously eliminate odors for. Up to 45 days of freshness pluggable febreze and fabric refresher. [inhale exhale mnemonic]. Two more ways to breathe happy the dow might be down 29 points. The s p 500 look at losses of 5 points. Nasdaq, just about 8 points or so. Lets check out oil prices. Oil prices have sentence four straight weeks of gains, hence, four straight weeks of gains for benchmarking. Looking at 37. 72. And brent trading off at 39. 73. Gas coming off 1. 8. Susan, thank you. Lets go to politics, theres only one full day of campaigning, hundreds of delegates are awarded on mega tuesday. This is after a few days of shoving and yelling between donald Trump Supporters and others in the crowd. Tracie potts joins us. Hi, good morning. Donald trump has a rally overnight, after three rallies that we saw over the weekend that were not so peaceful. Trump that the rally denied that he had anything to do with being responsible for these protesters. Five states vote tomorrow with hundreds of delegates on both sides. Florida and ohio, the biggest prizes, winner take all. Donald trump is leading florida by double digit. I think were going to do great in florida. Reporter hes in tampa tonight after a week of violent protests. Bernie sanders denies hes sending them. Donald trump is a pathological liar. Reporter Hillary Clinton said trump is inciting them. Hes lighting a fire. Holds his hands up and claims he shouldnt be responsible and he should be held responsible. Reporter clinton has got a big lead in florida, but its marco rubio who really needs the sunshine states. The words of a president are consequences. Reporter slamming trump as he continues his bus tour today. In ohio i believe were rising. Reporter john kasich is now leading in his home state. Ted cruz is claiming a tie in North Carolina despite the polls. Its going to depend on time, who knows up and votes on tuesday. Reporter in florida, nearly 2 Million People have already voted. Back to ohio today, well see mitt romney, the former republican nominee, hes been outspoken on anybody but trump campaign. Hes going to be campaigning with john kasich in ohio today. Tracie, is it make for break for rubio and kasich if they fail to win those florida and ohio contests respectively, are they go to be put out . Reporter well, they certainly could. Numbers indicate theres certainly reason that they might want to, especially rubio, so far behind in florida. Maybe not as much for kasich. Hes insisting hes going to win. Knowing even if you win, that doesnt get him much closer to the nomination. The numbers just dont seem to be working for him, but what it could do allow him to hang in there. It slows down donald trump so he can hang in there until the convention in the summer perhaps for the nomination. In other words, it just leaves him in the game. Tracie, thanks very much. The independent on sunday in london reporting that president barack obama will visit london in april to urge british voters to stay in the european union. Obama has previously said he want s britain to stay in the e to maintain the transatlantic partnership. Meantime, obama is getting ready to visit cuba this coming sunday. Starwood hotels, at t and merrimar marriott are reportedly looking to complete a deal. At t looking to get a deal with monopoly. Selection sunday has come and gone were just days away from the start of the big dance. The field has been set for the ncaa Mens College Basketball tournament. 68 teams are setting their sights on reaching the final four in houston this year. The top seeds, kansas jayhawks, North Carolina tar heels, oregon ducks and virginia cavaliers. Whos the favorite, liking kansas followed by michigan and North Carolina. Before the names are revealed by cbs on sunday. Halfway through, a filled in bracket was leaked on twitter. Some people were skeptical it was real. But there were signs when the matchups on television aligned with those on the brackets. The ncaa says it take the matter very seriously and it looks into it. Cbs meantime has no comment. Disneys Animal Kingdom roars again at the box office as zootopia claimed the number one spot. The animate film raising 50 million. 10 clover field lane the lowbudget film by abe bra hara respectly start with healthy 25. 2 million. And the question today will the fed or bank of japan cause as much of a stir this week as the ecb did last week . Or is it much about oil markets . Get in touch with us on Worldwide Exchange. Do cast your vote. Well be bringing you the results of that poll. And the boj is probably going to move in july and probably expanding their asset services. And a lot of pressure on the boj, first the performance they hoped. Youstronger yen, right . Confidence at least. Were going to a break here. Coming up next, this mornings top stories. Plus a busy week ahead. Well get perspectives from jj kin that hand, right after this. When youre on hold, your business is on hold. Thats why comcast business doesnt leave you there. When you call, a Small Business expert will answer you in about 30 seconds. No annoying hold music. Just a real person, real fast. Whenever you need them. Great, thats what i said. So your business can get back to business. Sounds like my rides ready. Dont get stuck on hold. Reach an expert fast. Comcast business. Built for business. Good morning, happening now, oil prices under pressure. Wti dropping 2 . Race for the white house. Key primary just a day away. Donald trump ahead in florida and illinois. While john kasich holds an edge in his home state of ohio. Here come the road blocks. Well bring you a story of a antsized machine capable of moving a twoton car. Its monday, march 14, 2016, youre watching Worldwide Exchange on cnbc. A very good morning to you. And a warm welcome to Worldwide Exchange. On cnbc. Im wilfred frost along with susan lee this morning sitting in for sara. Thanks for the music. Whoever does the music on the show does a very good job. Id love to claim the credit. Its got nothing to do with me. Lets check in on Global Markets. Futures futuring to a negative open, all it be a small negative opening. Were looking, though, at today, the dow down about 32 points at the open. S p and nasdaq down similar percentages. They are not following europe and asia where we have green pretty much across the screen. Europe turning in a great finish across the week on friday. And the bank responding well to Mario Draghis easing, one day after easing, mixed. Today, were looking at gains across the board in europe. In particular, germany 1. 6 , despite a disappointing performance of Angela Merkel in local elections. Lets look at asia as well. Asia responding to more infrastructure changes in china as opposed to disappointing retail sales dates da. We also saw machinery in japan with strong gains across the board for asia. And we havent seen this type of buying since october last year. Lets check on the broader markets, wall street with the advance, finishing at really four weeks of gains and seeing their best days since the beginning of this. That does have something to do with oil pricing. Oil prices have been up four straight weeks. And today looking at texas crude coming down a little bit, down 2 . And brent crude, close to. 67 . And with the ten years, lets go with the dollar. So many type of banks meeting, boj, smb, and bank of england. And the euro dollar. And the u. S. Dollar. The yen, as you see, looks like the u. S. S. Losing ground. And the yen is strengthening with the pound, sitting at 1. 43 at change. Gold still about 1200 an ounce. 1256 to be exact. J. J. Kinahan joins us, good morning to you. Good morning. Thanks for joining us. At the end of the last week we saw is a nice rally indeed. What drove that and can it continue this week . I think susan just talked a lot about it, crude oil being up 8 last week. If you look at the correlation between the cnn s p 500 and cash, up about 70 . More interesting correlating to futures, we have almost a 90 correlation between crude oil and the s p 500. So its really interesting to me, everybody is sort of Trading Crude Oil synthetically, whether they realize it or not right now because of how weve seen the year sort of play out. We also have a lot of Central Banks meeting this week. I just wonder where you think the markets are pricing in . Well, if you look at fed fund rates markets are only pricing at 4 probability that the fed is going to do anything right now. In fact, you have to go all the way out to july before you see a 50 50 probability and november, a 70 that theyll raise rates. So, i think this meeting is going to be more about listening for what do they say. Do they give us an earlier indication of what may happen. And also, you know, how they feel things are sort of tracking versus inflation. Because as you know, thats one of the most important things for them. They got a little bit of a bad jolt with the last employment report as we saw wages start to decrease. This week, we get ppi and cpi, we do get a measure of where inflation might be for the consumer and producer. Do they eat an easing or welcome that weve seen elsewhere in europe and japan, clearly it sparks the idea that currency perhaps dont embrace. But in one case, its sort of a de facto tightening . I think it puts them more in a conundrum to be quite honest than anything else. You certainly dont want to be the other one going the other way. Yes, its great that the bank of england or the ecb may sort of be doing your work for you, so to speak. But on the other end of it, you dont want to look weak. But it will put them in a tough spot if inflation levels do start to increase. And they have to start raising while other countries are going the other way. Putting the worldwide economy in a strange spot as you said, starts a currency war that imports and exports start to get screwed up also. I really think they would rather see the rest of the world be able to stop as their economy starts to stabilize. And the u. S. Start continuing, they talked about it for two years also so there is sort of a credibility gap. Maybe theres a dollar trade this week, j. J. , a lot of the economists note from asia last night, a lot of people press the expansion of the stimulus next month. And going into deeper in july. Yeah, absolutely. Whats interesting to me, it took a lot of people by surprise last week was the incredible move out of the euro on thursday, particularly friday where it went from the 1. 0850 to 1. 11. We will continue to watch that, thats part of the reason you guys talked about at the top of the show, rallied and then on friday, its interesting that euro is continuing on its rally as we just talked about the u. S. Dollar crude so high. J. J. Kinahan, thank you for joining us. Lets check in on corporate news. Blackstone reportedly selling Strategic Hotels and resorts. Price tag, 6. 5 billion. Blackstone completed its acquisition of Strategic Hotels less than a years ago now selling it off. And new york waldorf astoria for close to 2 billion last january. Some saying this is an example of a lot of these Chinese Companies looking to put money into the u. S. Stage. Lets stick with global news. Apollo global is reportedly near a deal of 58 billion in shares. Its a fresh market. A fresh week. Jury selection begins in a second trial involving a car accident allegedly caused by faulty gm ignition switches, it led to the recall of 2. 6 million vehicles in 2014. It has been linked to close to 400 serious injuries and deaths. The first trial ended abruptly in january amidst allegations that the plaintiff gave misleading testimony. Gm has already paid 2 billion in settlements and penalties but still faces hundreds of lawsuits. And this trial could be used as a test to see how a jury views evidence and sets the basis for futures set on those. United airlines Ceo Oscar Munoz returns to work today after a heart attack last october. Employees says munoz top of the list is meeting with united labor leaders to resolve outstanding contract issues. In other corporate news, rico is recording yahoo has completed several projects including yahoo games, and strategy and several websearch projects. This is supposed to be in an effort to simplify the business. For todays top trending stories, russias media mogul plans to upload his personality to a robot. Hes bringing top new york scientists together to find a way to upload the human mind by a robot ic character. Very interesting. Maybe bring the avatar to live, right . Pete rose, guess who he is endorsing in the president ial race . Donald trump. Rose was banned from the sport after evidence that he bet on gains he remains a popular figure in his home state of ohio. Trump is heading to a president ial primary in states this tuesday now he has rose getting his endorsement. Then he announced by tweeting a picture of a signed baseball saying make America Great again. New research in favor of team work. Scientists at Stanford University have found a way to use a team of micro robots, the size of ants, to move a twoton car. Quite extraordinary. It is. Okay. We have a custody battle over a picasso piece heating up. The artists daughter allegedly sold the bust twice, first to a family for 46 million. Then to highpowered art dealer for 106 million. Quite a big price. It seems National Happy pi day. March 14, 3 14, of course is the ratio, circumference to diameter. 3 14 is also einsteins birthday. Pi day i was thinking of the edible type. Coming up, why ecb may have ended talk about negative rates it doesnt mean that other forms of alchemy by Central Banks are dead in the water. Well discuss that, still to come. Its more than a network and the cloud. Its reliable uptime. And multilayered security. Its how you stay connected to each other and to your customers. With centurylink you get advanced technology solutions, including an industry leading broadband network, and cloud and hosting services all with dedicated, responsive support. With centurylink as your trusted technology partner, youre free to focus on growing your business. Centurylink. Your link to whats next. Welcome back. Lets get to todays must read stories catching our attention. My pick, the end of negative rates but not central bank alchemy. Author gaven davies writing, the real problem on the profit banks and financial companies, under the impression that tiered system of rates of banks held at the boj will prevent any damage to profits in the financial system, but the markets profoundly disagree with him. Is this a very interesting take on why he thinks the banks arent working. Particularly in response to what i just mentioned, its the fact that going into negative rates its moved bond deals across the board and thats where youre getting banks, hes more supportive of minor taxes. An important like Central Banks global good take on negative rates. Thats interesting in japan because of the boj with their massive program, they own 80 of the curve. So there arent that many bonds. My must read comes from the university of politics and usa today, how can you miss the story of the weekend, right, the editorial boards view titled trump, puncher in chief. The piece reads in part if trump were elected and attempted to carry out his campaign promising such as supporting all of the undocumented immigrants in the u. S. 60 of whom have lived in america for a decade or more the social unrest of the past several days would seem tame by comparison. How scary is that. Over the weekend, he didnt apologize for the fighting. He just always doubles down and refuses to cede to common opinion. Were approaching the top of the hour. That means the team is getting ready for squawk box. Brian sullivan joins us. Brian, good morning to you. Last week and this week meant to be all about Central Banks. Really the story was oil and will it be again this week . Yeah, wilfred, susan as well. Were actually on a fourweek win streak for stocks. Oil has gone up at the same time. Were keeping on eye on oil. We have got a guest that says that 50 oil may be or the horizon. Also talk more about central bank policy. Talk more about policy. Tomorrow, youve got ohio and florida. That can literally settle the gop nomination and by the way, completely unsettle it. I know you guys talked about the brackets, were going to get former new york knick great, charles barkley. Its bracketology, oil, the futures. Who do you got, susan, the hamilton. The argonauts . No. Im going with kansas. Whos your pick . Unc, it pains me to say that because of dowdy because i know shes a tar heel. I think the tar heels are going to take it. Who do you have . The oxford oxes . If the oxford oxes were in it, you know id behind them. Sadly, i havent got a pick. Ill go in detail today and tomorrow. The winner of this thing is always like somebody who liked the uniform colors. Does Warren Buffett have 1 billion for a perfect bracket, its never going to happen. Just guess. Well have to see. Brian, thank you for joining us, 12 minutes to go until squawk box. Coming up, the fed is in focus this week, not for what it does, but for what it may say about future rate hikes this year. Well get insight from Central Banks think john sylvia from wells fargo. Hes coming up next. Om voya. Val from voya . Yeah, val from voya. Quick question, what are voya retirement squirrels doing in my house . Were putting away acorns. You know, to show the importance of saving for the future. So youre sort of like a Spokes Person . No, im more like a metaphor. Okay, a spokesmetaphor. No, im. Youre a spokesmetaphor. Yeah. Ok. See how voya can help you get organized at voya. Com. Sometimes they just drop in. Always obvious. Cme group can help you navigate risks and capture opportunities. We enable you to reach Global Markets and drive forward with broader possibilities. Cme group how the world advances. You can fly across welcome town in minutes16, or across the globe in under an hour. Whole communities are living on mars and solar satellites provide earth with unlimited clean power. In less than a century, boeing took the world from seaplanes to space planes, across the universe and beyond. And if you thought that was amazing, you just wait. Try align for a nonstop,ive sweettreatgoodness holdontoyourtiara, kindofday. Live 24 7 with 24 7 digestive support. Try align, the undisputed 1 ge recommended probiotic. Welcome back to Worldwide Exchange if youre just waking up, lets get up to speed on market asia. Japan up 1. 7 . Good machinery there. Shanghai up. Mixed data. Europe also up continuing the gains from late friday, albeit in more muted fashion and u. S. Equities at the moment in a negative open, following what oil prices are doing and asia is doing. There are plenty of key reports in the week ahead. Tuesday look for february retail sales, ppi, monthly survey and the fed with twoday policy meeting. Wednesday, cpi, Housing Starts and the feds decision. Economic forecasts and Janet Yellens news conference. Thursday, jobless claims. Lots of Central Bank Action this week. Lets go to john sylvia, wells fargo chief economist. John good to see you. Good to see you, susan. Theyre not going to do anything today or this week, but possibly in the next several months . I think you got it right. A trajectory of the federal funds rate that is going to set the tone for the marketplace. Will the fed adjust downward again. Its trajectory over the next year or two or will it leave it alone . At this point, yeah, its probably 50 50 because it may be too early for the fed to play their hand. But my suspicion is, going forwards, over the rest of this year, they will lower the projected funds rate. The trajectory is too aggressive, given the Inflation Numbers that we see. John, were just looking at the u. S. Yield, of course, a tenyear tickup, close to 2 . Yields have been rising over the last few weeks. Is that not down through expectations of a possible rate hike this week or soon after . Yeah, i think it does signal that there will be rate hikes but once again, 2 treasuries this year, 2. 25, whatever, is going to be pretty similar to what it was last year. Whats effectively happening, wilfred, is that its going to be a flatter yield curve overall. Well, i want to touch on gold pricing, because its interesting that were talking about all of the Central Bank Action. And gold is having a great year. It just hit 13week high on friday. Im assuming the market is getting more stimulus from the boj or somewhere else in the world . Absolutely, i think the negative Interest Rates that you just talked about in an earlier segment sets the tone of what are investors going to look at. Well, the risk is that inflation is going to be a little higher, youre not get anything returns on cash so gold is actually a Good Alternative for say lot of people. Lets talk gold for a moment. It seems its lost its safe haven state tuesd status. And it bounced from 1. 08 to 1. 11 in the space of an afternoon . Well, wilfred, the balance, of course, youve got to carry trade. A lot of investors will borrow at inexpensive currency, at this point the euro or the yen and then lend that money in other opportunities for them that is the story for the slightly weaker dollar. But overall, we expect better oil, slightly higher Interest Rates that means that the dollar on average is up 3 to 5 against other currencies for the rest of this year. John, finally, as we look ahead to the rest of the year in the u. S. , what particular data points are you focusing on . Where do you still need to see improvement to get confidence that is a decent recovery happening . Well, i think it has to be inflation number us. The employment numbers are pretty solid. Well see pretty decent retail sales and Consumer Spending numbers for this year. But we want to see something with respect to pricing power, showing up in the marketplaces. And i think the inflation trend has to be a little bit stronger to give us confidence that the economy really is operating closer to capacity and at a solid rate. Do you think this tight correspond lace between the s p and oil which is just about 70 correlated this year, thats going to stay sbakintact for th rest of 2016 . I think, susan, its going to stay intact. I think whats interesting, ohio has become a barometers for the global economy. Stronger oil price, a signal of a stronger global economy. Its interesting how that relationship from developed in terms of investor attitudes. I think thats the key in the next six months to a year in judging Global Economic growth. John sylvia, thank you for joining us from wells fargo. We only have about a minute left to the show. I want to say highlight. I really should say oil, but just look at the days asia trade. We have mixed daylight dta. And yet we saw thank you markets id say the Real Development in the last month or so in asia has a little more confidence back in china, regardless of whats coming out. Weve seen decent performance. Etfs are buying in, once again, according to a lot of asia investors im talking to. Sitting tight and waiting to see what the boj is going to decide in the next 24 hours. Watching the yen as well. Quickly, the answer to the twitter question, we asked if the fed or the bank would if the bank was priced as much as the ecb most of you said oil is the thing to watch. Squawk box is coming up next. Have a great morning. When youre on hold, your business is on hold. Thats why comcast business doesnt leave you there. When you call, a Small Business expert will answer you in about 30 seconds. No annoying hold music. Just a real person, real fast. Whenever you need them. Great, thats what i said. So your business can get back to business. Sounds like my rides ready. Dont get stuck on hold. Reach an expert fast. Comcast business. Built for business. Good morning, the countdown to the feds next decision. Will the upcoming meeting put the bulls in a holds pattern after last weeks surge . And frontrunner donald trump accusing of rallies. And the other march madness. The ncaa brackets they are revealed but not without controversy, selection sunday. Its monday, march 14th, 2016. Squawk box begins right now. Announcer live from new york, where business never sleeps, this is squawk box. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to squawk box here on cnbc. Im becky quick along with Andrew Ross Sorkin and brian sullivan. Joe is off, guess what, today is National Pi Day, thats right, 3. 14. What would pie be without the nations largest pie makers, pizza hut. They are sending one over . Whats that . I want them to send one over. Pizza pie. Looking for pies. Is that why joe is off . Is that why i had to come in, National Pi Day . Could be. The markets are still waiting for the next fed decision. That meeting picks up tomorrow, wraps up wednesday with fed chair Janet Yellen Holding a news conference. After four weeks of gains, dow