Arab countries. The Peace Agreement was put on pause by our program materials. This is a full scale war. This is how Israeli Defense minister mashe dayan called the invasion of syria and egypt on the dutch heights and eastern bank of the soetsky canal. Sudden. In this issue we were going to remember the arabisraeli war of 73, it broke out half a century ago, but historical studies had to be postponed. The Palestinian Islamic movement hamas, which controls the gaza strip, timed its attack on israel to coincide with the anniversary. An attack of unprecedented audacity, truly barbaric cruelty, caught the Israeli Security forces by surprise. Even more than 50 years ago, when the government was also reproached for its unpreparedness for battle. The frontline city of sderot, located just 2 km from the border of the gaza strip, surfacetosurface missiles from the palestinian enclave reach the city limits in 45 seconds, so City Residents clearly know where bomb shelters and construction sites are. And daytime routes Pay Attention to security measures. In just 2 days these walls, buildings, streets will become decorations. The authorities announced the upcoming evacuation of the city of thirty thousand, this coming sunday, and everyone who has not left sdyrot over the past week will leave. The israelis suddenly lost confidence in albeit relative, but security. The first tragic lesson of the events of october 7 was the collapse of illusions. It turned out that the complex, multistage security system, which until recently they were so proud of, cannot contain saboteurs , the moment will come, it will come very soon, and of course, there will be a debriefing to understand how this could even happen, because for ten years there has been no in this border area, as they say, where the border is, where the fence is, a fly could fly by, when a dove flew by, they called a whole detachment, so firstly, no one understands, today, no one, well, no one from, lets say, not from. None of the residents and citizens of israel understands how this could happen. I would say this, it most likely was, it was the action of hamas, not because he became very selfconfident or selfconfident, most likely, in my opinion, these were death convulsions, since hamas understands that it will come to an end one way or another, here Peace Agreements were to be concluded, agreements on close cooperation between. Arabia and state of israel. Saudi arabia, as we know, is actually a state, the leader of the sunni part of the islamic world. Until recently, no one here could have imagined such a daring, exceptionally brutal raid by militants. And experts are trying to understand the logic of the islamists actions, why hamas needed all this. Tons of humanitarian aid, medical equipment and Construction Materials from Construction Equipment were delivered to the gas strip, that is, in other words, there was a discrepancy between israels agenda hamas plans. Israel tried to appease hamas, hamas regarded this as weakness and realized that the time had come to carry out such a massive attack. This paradox was noticed only recently, as soon as the social and Economic Situation in gaza, in this overpopulated palestinian enclave of almost three Million People, begins to improve, but the Islamist Hamas government in the eyes of the population begins to fall sharply. Hamas has never wanted to retreat from its idea of resistance as a strategy for its existence. Palestinian government which is controlled by the west bank, has been trying for many years not to escalate the conflict against israel; on the contrary, they want to change everything for the better. The palestinians in ramallah want security and confidence, but hamas, on the contrary , feels that in this way it is losing its idea, the idea of resistance. In israel, they realized that the enemies perceive street protests, pickets, clashes with the police, rallies of thousands and an irreconcilable struggle of ideas as weakness, choosing the moment to attack. I dont know what the fault is, as they say, but at least, judging by the results, judging according to the results, we were really caught, this is our weakest moment , definitely, maybe there were some overlaps connected somewhere with the political, somewhere with the military, but in fact, in fact, this political weakness is somehow. That way was in parallel connected with our military weakness, so as they say, it led to such disastrous results, im not an analyst on the trip of the day today. But the war, although according to experts, it was precisely mistakes in analyzing the situation and misunderstanding the logic of the enemy that made the country vulnerable, at some point and defenseless against ruthless terrorists. Sergey pashkov, alexander ivanyuk, anastasia demyanets, especially for International Viewing from israel. The arabisraeli confrontation has been going on for many decades, its core is palestinian. Question everything came together here, religious passions rooted in the distant past and the fruits of the colonial policy of europe, the ideological battle of the cold war and the recklessness of the builders of the world after its end, the tragedies of peoples and the cynicism of their leaders, and most importantly, no one ever wanted to give in, confident in ones rightness and strength. The state of israel was created. The will of the majority of the population of the then palestine and contrary to the will of all surrounding countries, therefore the state of israel had to always rely on military force in order to survive and control those who do not agree with their existence or with their policies, including the palestinians, who are well basically. Expelled, some left themselves in 1948, these are the people who are now, their descendants, naturally, uh, in the gaza strip, many are in the western bank of the jordan, and they live in completely different conditions than citizens of the state of israel, although israel controls both the economy and the military, of course, aspects of both, and the israeli currency operates throughout this entire territory, that is, you can look at it as one state, in where half the population exists without political rights. According to official israeli historiography, the jewish kingdom in palestine was destroyed by the romans in the 1st century ad. The jews were expelled and jerusalem was destroyed along with the second slaves came to palestine from the Arabian Peninsula only 700 years later. Palestine first became part of the arab muslim caliphate, from the 19th century on the outskirts of the ottoman empire, with its collapse after the first world war, Great Britain received the mandate to govern palestine. In 1917, British Foreign secretary Arthur Balfour wrote to a representative of the british jewish community, althar rothschold. Expressed support for the idea of a Jewish National home in palestine. The document was called the balfour declaration. Then in jews from europe began to emigrate en masse to palestine. Their banner was zionism, a movement that set as its goal the revival of a jewish state in the promised land. In november 47, the Un General Assembly adopted resolution 181. On the division of palestine. Two independent states, arab and jewish. Jerusalem, as the holy city of three religions, was to become an international zone. Arab countries rejected this decision. Then, in response to this, on may 14 , 1948, the jewish state of israel was proclaimed. The very next day arab countries started a war against him, but lost. Israeli troops occupied most of the land allocated to the arabs. Which was never created, and that part of palestine that the israelis did not manage to occupy was annexed to jordan, and the gaza sector to egypt. As a result, the arabs. About 700,000 palestinian arabs fled their homes or were expelled by the israelis. They went to egypt, jordan, syria and lebanon. This is how the problem of Palestinian Refugees arose. During the arabisraeli wars of 67 and 73, israel captured the remaining parts of the palestinian territories and the syrian dutch heights. The number of Palestinian Refugees increased by another 350,000. Over the past 30 years, attempts have been made to resolve the palestinian issue many times, but none of them have been successful. In ninetythree, after peace negotiations in oslo , Peace Agreements were signed between yaser arafat and Yitzhak Rabin. They cost israeli Prime MinisterYitzhak Rabin his life. He was killed at a rally in tel aviv. The Palestinian Authority was created in 94 national administration, but a second one began in 2000. An intifada that ended only with the death of arafat. After his death, israel completely transferred control of jericho and four other west bank cities to the Palestinian Authority, and then withdrew jewish settler troops from the gaza strip. Jewish settlements are settlements where Israeli Citizens settle, but they are located in territories occupied after 67, which were supposed to go to the palestinian state. They continue to be built on the west bank around jerusalem, but the un and a number of countries consider them occupied territories. The interests of the major powers have always intersected here, but now Regional Forces are beginning to behave independently, external players themselves, it seems, have not yet fully understood what they want, that they can be drawn into a risky. Collision, olive stop, from austria, the drawing is called cunning iran, a man who looks like ali himnei plays a piano that says middle east. Patrick chapat from switzerland, customs and rules of war, hamas version grab women and children first, shouts the man in the pickup truck, imat hajaj from jordan, works for the arabic newspaper alarabi. Which is published in britain, the drawing is very briefly called palestinian parachutes. Giuseppe la michela from italy. The israelipalestinian confrontation, a person representing the United States condemningly says, well, look what you did, hamas . The work of another italian, marc de angelis, the drawing is called eternity, made 35 years ago, but was re published this week. Save. The developing crisis is dramatic and incredible multifaceted, you cant cover everything, perhaps the most intriguing point is who is behind the hamas movement, which turned out to be capable of such a largescale act, created back in 64, the Palestine Liberation Organization or plo, united about 40 militants. There were never any groups or unity in it; in ninety three , the Palestinian National authority was formed in the gaza strip. All leadership positions in it were occupied by the old guard of Yasser Arrafat from the fatah movement. They were opposed by the Younger Generation of palestinians, supporters of those banned in egypt brothers of muslims who united in the Islamic Resistance movement, abbreviated in arabic as hamas. Inside palestine, they relied on the poorest sections of the population. After all , fatah representatives recognized by the un still receive and distribute the lions share of funds from international sponsors. Essentially the only legal source of livelihood for palestinians. Fatah functionaries are regularly exposed to corruption. By speaking out against this, the islamists won the support of ordinary palestinians, and, oddly enough, Israeli Intelligence services that supported them in opposition to fatah. Charitable and religious. The activities of the future hamas leader ahmed yassin, his organization almujama alislamiya, received funding from israel. Another source of money was arab countries, among which quatre can be distinguished. The movement created a network of schools, hospitals, kindergartens, as well as an Islamic University in gaza. Islamist sentiments intensified in palestinian society, which previously had nationalist or even leftist views. The plo abandoned terrorist methods back in the eightyeighth year, which made it possible to sign the ninetythird vosl agreement. Hamas, on the contrary, the organizer and spiritual inspirer of hamas, sheikh ahmed yassin, who was confined to a chair from birth, was liquidated in a gas rocket fired from an israeli helicopter in 2004, but then the confrontation between the two sides did not reach open hostility, it began in 2006 after the parliamentary elections. Hamas supporters won, but fatah did not give up power. Leaders, mahmoud. And ismail hanye agreed to form a coalition government, but the agreement did not last six months, hamas activists carried out a military coup in gaza, and then expelled all fatah leadership structures from the sector. Then arafats supporters moved to ramala, where fatah has since ruled the west bank and hamas has ruled the gaza strip. In israel. Have no doubt, hamas is a facade, behind it is the sworn enemy iran , this is what the iranians have been planning for a long time, they understand that they cannot defeat israel in a direct war, so the tactic is to bleed us dry in constant skirmishes, we see the first act, i i know that there is coordination between various groups, they are all connected with iran in one way or another, hamas partially exists at the expense of iranian money, hamas and iran have always been, have always existed, but the dynamics of these connections have been in recent years, and not only in recent years , the last 20 years, it has changed, it is enough to recall that in the same syrian war, hamas initially opposed bashar alassad, that is , the main ally, iran, but at the same time, of course, the iranians understood that hamas as such is still defined them investment, this is a certain lever that they can use, again in counteraction against israel, they have always supported in principle its military wing, they have always trained it, another thing is that hamas itself cannot in any case be perceived as some kind of an organization that is, is completely subordinate to tehran, after all, it is an independent organization, and it receives foreign funding not only from tehran, there may be questions here, including to some persian and arab countries for this reason, the persian gulf countries should say that the current performance was the result of some direct order from tehran, well, we cannot, most likely tehran knew what we could agree to from the preparation of a certain action, but again, taking into account what is currently happening in the region, taking into account the difficult relations that iran has with western countries, taking into account the difficult Economic Situation within the country, i think that the conflict is of the nature that is unfolding now, but it does not coincide with the interests of iran in everything, although it does not always contradict them, that iran supports Islamic Jihad and hamas in palestine, this has been happening for many years and is not hidden, the amount of support is 300 Million Dollars annually. Iran is a sovereign state that has its own interests and its own network of contacts. Whether this war opens up more opportunities for iran or creates new threats depends largely on its behavior and its choice to get involved. The shia crescent is a state with a significant portion of the population of whom are shiite muslims. Lebanon, syria, iran, iraq, bahrain and yemen. Few sheets live even in saudi arabia, the cradle of sunni islam. The term shiite crescent was first used by the king of jordan, the second was in 2004 in relation to iraq, and in 2006, former egyptian president hosni mubararak uttered a historical phrase. Shiites throughout the middle east are more loyal to iran than to their own countries. This is very close to the truth. Indeed, after the overthrow of sunni saddam hussein, all subsequent iraqi president s were kurds, and the Prime Ministers are shiats, much more inclined towards iran than towards the usa. In multireligious lebanon, since the assassination of rafik hariri in 2005, the proiranian shiite Party Hezbollah and its military wing have wielded much more influence than the current and all previous saudi and usaligned premiers. Hezbollah completely controls the south of lebanon and declares to open a second front against israel, despite the presence of over 10,000 un peacekeepers on the lebaneseisraeli border. Syria, even under assad the elder, had a special relationship with iran, but with the outbreak of the civil war in 2011 after the loss of significant territories to the American Occupation of the oil fields beyond the eifrat, tehrans influence on damascus increased significantly. In bahrain in 2011, local shiites attempted to overthrow. But troops from saudi arabia arrived on the island via the king fahd bridge. The shia uprising was crushed. The Shiite Houthi Group in Yemen Remains a big problem for the saudi dynasty on the arraway peninsula. Houthis believe yemens sunni majority ignores the interests of the shia minority. Since march 2015, a Coalition Led by saudi arabia has been fighting the houthis. Riyadh says it is acting at the request of the expresident of yemen, abt rabbah mansu hadi, who fled the country in january 1915. Saudi arabia and the United States claim that shiite iran is secretly sending money and weapons to the houthis, and this despite the fact that american ships and aircraft completely control the gulf of adon and yemeni airspace. A fullfledged war with israel. They dont need it and here we are most likely we will see, on the one hand, an increase in its risks, since iran also cannot stand aside, the antizionist policy , support for, lets say, the palestinian movement, is part of the Iranian National ideology, which it cannot refuse, the current iran cannot refuse, but with on the other hand, most likely we will see an active statement from tehran, maybe somewhere. From hezbollah , again with the support of the iranians, but they are being drawn into a fullfledged conflict, i think they will try to avoid such a scenario, although again, in the current unpredictable situation, anything is possible. Iran, of course, is involved, but not in planning the operation, but in supplying weapons, training personnel, and expanding hamas missile capabilities. As for the attack itself, it appears to have been designed. A very small group, two or three people, those who participated in the preparation did not know what exactly was being prepared, so here i think they managed without iran, but the american neoconservatives are trying their best to realize their dream, to provoke a war against iran, a blow by nuclear facilities, i dont think it will work out, secretary of state blinken spoke cautiously, saying there is no evidence against tehran , american officials actually at blinken say that they have no evidence of iranian participation, because they want to save the nuclear deal, this is their strategy, so they and an Aircraft Carrier was sent to the eastern mediterranean, hoping to keep iran and hezbollah from taking direct action against israel; further involvement of pro Iranian Forces would torpedo the nuclear deal that washington was committed to concluding. Obama, its essence is that iran is given special importance as a regional player who should be given a special role, the assessment is controversial and harsh, but in general can israel rely on america . I will quote the american president , trust but verify. In international relations. Everyone works only for their own interests, we live in an anarchic environment, everyone behaves selfishly, the usa is no exception. America is a good ally of israel, we have many of the same interests, but we had, for example, a good ally france, and then they decided that their priorities have changed. I am a realist, one of the common versions of why the attack happened and. Right now is to disrupt the normalization of relations between israel and saudi arabia, as the pinnacle of the Abraham Accords started by trump. Any country that now tries to leave the arab world will try to flirt with israel to one degree or another, but it is doomed to receive the status of, well, such a renegade, will be rejected. Against the background of the abrahamic accords, the influx of Financial Assistance to hamas, and in principle to palestine, he decreased very seriously. That is, if we look at these last few months, the palestinians have been actively traveling around the region, well, actually with an outstretched hand, and taking into account the fact that, unfortunately, the struggle for the creation of an independent palestinian state there has already turned into an outright business in the last decade , then the unleashing of the current instability, again, was primarily in the interests of the same hamas, in order to remind of itself, and also to remind of what could happen if this organization does not will receive money, including from external sponsors, because again , according to those, well, unfortunately, we are operating on rumors, according to those rumors. There is, idegiranta was not very generous in helping hamas in recent years, not to mention already there about the egyptians, and the arab monarchies of the persian gulf, some of them, the gaza sector is a small palestinian enclave on the shores of the mediterranean sea, in the north and east it borders with israel, from which it is separated by a fence with a checkpoint, in the south there is a border with egypt , concrete wall, another checkpoint. Rafah, the length of the enclave is only 40 km, and the width is from 6 to 12. At the same time, according to the Research Center rent corporation, it is the Third Largest population density in the world. Almost 2. 5 Million People live on a piece of land slightly smaller than hong kong. For comparison, if on average 400 souls live per square kilometer in israel, then in the gas sector there are about 5,500. These are mainly descendants of refugees who left israel after the war of 1948, and according to the world book of facts, their average age is 18 years, and about 40 of the local population is not and 15. The birth rate here is one of the highest in the world. For example, here is a list of countries by total fertility rate, which is the average number of children a woman gives birth to in her lifetime. According to the world bank, this is. From 15 to 50 , so in this list palestine is in fortythird place, but if we exclude africa from it, which is the leader in this indicator, then gaza will be in fourth place. Only afghanistan, Solomon Islands and samoa are ahead. Per woman, there is an average of 3. 5 child, because of this the population doubles every quarter century. The majority live in the north of the region, in gaza city. According to some. According to data, life there without taking into account rent is almost 17 more expensive than in moscow. The local economy is based on smallscale production, fishing, agriculture, and citrus cultivation. The Palestinian Ministry of economy reported that amid the escalating conflict in ukraine, prices for flour and sugar in gas rose by more than 20 . Eggs, meat and Vegetable Oil became more expensive, and fuel costs increased by almost 10 . It is noteworthy that in the 2000s, during the second antifada, many residents of gaza could go to work in israel, but after the coup in 2007, when hamas came to power, israel established a complete economic blockade, there was no opportunity to work in israel, and without that , low exports have ground to a halt and many Small Businesses have gone under as israeli restrictions on palestinians travel, Human Rights Watch has repeatedly compared life in gas with an openair prison. The shock experienced by israel is so great that the ruthlessness of the response is not only not hidden, but emphasized in every possible way. Now the mood in israel is one of gigantic rage over the atrocities that we discovered when we cleared the areas where there were terrorists. And the second element is a general , Firm Understanding that a ground military operation is necessary. In gaza, because this is the only way to destroy the hamas war machine, and the people will support the government in this. What hamas did, committing a terrible murder, reminded the world of the existence of the palestinian conflict, and most importantly, this is not a problem with hamas, the organization can be destroyed , and israel will most likely do this, but Something Else will appear in its place. The question of what next is now at the peak of the war and it is not the great problems, but the implementation of the un decision to create two states in palestine, the path to finding a settlement. Some diplomats say the two state formula is no longer applicable after recent events. I personally believe that this is not the case. A two state scheme remains a possible option, but of course, there must be solutions