A bit too early still to encored the champagne but have you at least put the bottle into the fridge. It looks pretty good for. This years many paths to 270 electoral votes and the president really only has one yes whenever they get slapped and that seems a bit unlikely given that hes behind in arizona. And. No bother to be counted are currently. Biggest in reno which are big democratic areas and then your brain has gotten quite close and most of the votes out in pennsylvania are Senate Absentee which are generally. 7520. Georgias not down 216000 votes with many votes in fulton county. Area to be found. So it looks pretty good for the democrats and their republican cement bit upset the Trump Campaign is calling for some recounts and i know Many Democrats whined quite offended by. These calls but shouldnt they insist that count that black things and hope that all the disagreements they within billygoat feel isnt that a safer way to proceed the rather than i mean the e. U. No there are some worrisome predictions going into this elections with you know the stores boarding up their windows and you know weapon sales going through there oh so it isnt that its you go the recount way rather than anything else yeah the well theres the so yes the law actually was amazingly. Enough addictions of violence that we did not happen theres 2 kinds of recounts that your listeners should know 1st kind of 1st recount when its mandated by law so its a wisconsin burzum bill the election binding will inspire less than one percent then theres an automatic recount in the state pays for yes. There is no true for an automatic recount you get or crestor recount but if you request a recount and you lose then you pay for the recount which is you know use of dollars you know they have no money to do that but in general in the last i think the study out miller of the last 10 or 12 recounts. The total low change was average 380. 00 so vote recounts never really changed. Yet but on the other hand this is also a pretty unusual election. Especially considering a big a number of mail in votes i mean over a 100000000 people voted early isnt that actually i mean putting trump aside isnt that actually a Pretty Healthy prudent thing when you have such a major procedural change just to go back and revisit what have or not has and im not disagreeing with you that certainly its better to recount them than to go out in the streets and protest i was just pointing out theres 2 kinds and generally or you can go back and do them there overwhelming evidence is they dont really change anything. Because theyre out by machines and ballots are their own and so its very hard and electoral process they have both republicans and democrats there when they feed a minimal or so you switched which is a good thing meaning when you do recount it doesnt change things very often going to shoot. Now i come from a country of a low level of social trust and its a pretty rich history of electoral manipulation saw forgive me in my skepticism but i wouldnt while want that be may have votes you take on such proportions here in russia but given that the United States considers itself a chance at our of democratic practices for the rest of the well what do you actually like other countries to follow suit and to use the mail in both inside huge numbers i mean the main concerns that i have about privacy and integrity of the vote not my job to. How anybody else votes i think the male vote system idea in the United States where turnout is 5565 percent the idea was if you said. Not mail balance and made it easier on people that you and increase turnout that turns out not to be sometimes true but it does what you want you do as in california washington and oregon send everybody your mailbox you can go back on it because it makes voting so much easier now we get it there was a study by a colleague of mine at stanford n. D. Hall that looked at 2 elections in the state of washington which is all mail in and because a new sandy technologies you can do this 40000000 ballots mailed in they found maybe 14 that could end dead people and they couldnt even be sure about those because of same names etc but only 40 so i think. I think probably mail in voting in the United States does not really dramatically affect anything i do think in the long run that as Computer Technology and face recognition thumbprint we will go to more electronic forms of. Work were not there yet because theyre too easy to act well i dont hear i disagree with that but this is what i get from American Media that the mail in ballot seems to have favorite joe biden for the time being at least who has already amassed 7070. 00 goalie and thats because democrats by far feared coronavirus and were much more likely to wear face masks etc so if there is a beginning going on and you got a male ballot and you dont want to go outside and be around other people you mail it into the republican strategy was to in fact have their people go to the polls on election day then a day end of the day actually tuesday election over 30 then the vote would look is over republican because you can count that vote for hastert and the way mail votes are counted in the United States differs dramatically say florida could start. Processing in crimea on october 14th North Carolina can start processing them earlier pennsylvania because they are even starting process until election day so it was part of the republican strategy to how to lead on Election Night as it turns out to him they do not have a lead so that didnt work and now youre getting a little drift which has been true over the past 4 elections i. E. As the mail ballots come in theyre more democrat because more democrats vote from home well joe biden is clearly leading so far but i think we can also see that trans base has increased he has a stronger showing that he had that back in 2016 and why the that gets you 2nd athlete minorities hispanics i heard that. The black well it is higher for him than it wasnt just 1016. 00 even the jewish vote is higher how do you explain that why it is 1st of all its too early or too early to know because when people are going on are going to exit polls that work out that are out on the internet now in either of those polls a better actor because as you might expect i mean not coronavirus as you walk out of the voting booth you might not want to stop and ask somebody for questions well hell wait for a couple of hours in line its just to get your you know anything that you find and answering a few questions ive got exit polls. For example in 2000 when florida was there claire on the basis of the exit polls 1st or noise denver go or and what happened was they there were 2 way too many women stop to talk and too many men want by so dont give incomplete you cant just take whoever it is you have to have a sample and if you take too many of women are joining and so in terms of the n. I suppose im coronavirus we have no previous record on that and so those exit polls are under question. Under their under question like the polls work well in every case and i think we will have to wait and see but i am very interested in the issue of race here because going into this election the democrats i guessed that main charge against donald trump was that either he is racist or hes lying abetting racist even though the democrats themselves acting in their electoral politics will make any secret of. Claiming certain athlete groups or certain racial groups as their own in fact that racial or ethnic sensibilities have been instrumental ised and exploited and american politics for quite some time by both parties what does racism even mean in what in day amharic especially when it comes to politics well clear i mean you said well 1st of all you said trump is based there quite a bit better i mean there are more votes turned out but theres going to going to be granted diversity going to 16 and only johnny jump one and ronnie 60 who looks very much like hes not going to win so so whatever the turnout was he may have got more turnout but he is losing this time so 2820 is a replay of 2016 is unfolding this time but it is still best seen perfect ben 1000000 people voted for him so that conference and go through but it lessons are about winning or losing and so he not if youre from iran and women thats a great thing but if i want to lose and you want to call out a victory right but from a politicians 1st are you running you lose i do trust people are are happier now than they were in 26 im not did i know his vote is there but if he lost this time thats different and the same thing is in regard to race i dont think we know yet but last. Overwhelmingly voted for democrats it may have been 2 or 3 points higher among black male structural and it had been 26 c. But we dont know for sure because theres lots of we havent counted all of boccia and the 2nd thing in regard to the hispanic vote it does learn why they feel hispanic vote are issues you just look like is more pro trump good jewish vote may may have i dont know where youre getting those numbers thats an exit poll and the number of Jewish Voters is a start through 4 percent the United States its hard to pull down poll jurors for its accurately unless youre overshoot i think there are some indications and i guess we have will have to confirm them later that. Some non wides dont consider donald trump a racist in fact you know i once used to be a student in the United States i sat in in kansas which overwhelmingly voted for trump i think with their 15 percent margin and i you know i talked to a lot of my friends there are a lot of dissent hardworking people who had to hide that political preferences specifically because of that fears of being outed as racist as unseen of folks and i know for a fact that they are not you know because im a foreigner myself and i had interactions with that do you think thats going to change in an average of 4 years here john we are taught it is a state for years and years on the republicans are republicans he changes are not democrats where theres about 30 democrats i dont doubt are belief well i think there are many many studies supporting my claim that many people who voted for some or other reason for dont tromp celt. Secretive about that in fact i mean there is a great effort on the part of polling agencies to gather those. Local shy voters out at specific like because they are stigmatized you got a problem we asked yet there are state occasions it goes both ways if you go we asked the following question we said when your neighbors be surprised by how youre going to vote and we get find some john 11 percent of truck owners said their neighbors would be surprised but we found chandras. Voters saying their neighbors would be surprised and guess what was related to you lived in a rural area and you are abiding by water your neighbor would be surprised if you live in a urban area and you are trying your neighbors at least. So i doubt it cuts both ways well professor brady we have to take a short break right now but maybe ill be back in just a few moments they chant. Cancer Survival Guide dog stacy gives a goal to start simply credible research. Be sure there are you going to get him back. Oh good no good says a Repatriation Team will get the rest in 7 years. Elizabeth you guys are of course. Welcome back to worlds apart david brady a professor of Political Science and literature values at Stanford University at senior fellow at the Hoover Institution professor brady just before the break ever asking your questions about racism and how its been instrumental lives and politics and there was a reason why a focus on that so much is because i think that its become a convenient way for some american politicians especially you know where globalist leaning joe boyd and one conversation about the economy and the purpose of the state because in most countries around the world putting your country 1st is not a controversial proposition thats in fact considered to be the main purpose to all of the government. Do you think trafford have every reason to such prominence if at Pearl National and to globalist sentiments were given fair in presentation in american politics during the previous election cycles thats its way beyond my pay grade i dont theres no evidence other than anecdotal evidence that you might cite here and there i know of no studies. That went either corroborate that or disprove it if the truck leaves the white house come 2821. 00 do you think he strand of politics not in style but in substance representing the concerns all 5 rowel or suburban voters do you think that kind of politics thats kind of politics will have to remain i do what do you think will represent it ok now or not its a great question so. Knows there are 7 voters in the midwest and other places who have due to trade International Trade and globalization have lost their jobs and they have moved from the Democratic Party because they feel the Democratic Party abandoned many of them voted for obama trice because he said he was going to change things and then when they didnt change they moved to and so thats thats like my hometown my own towns one of those gangs the only town that you know how a lot of Industrial Work and father good job in a factory and support his family and those jobs are gone so that is a problem and i agree with you sorry if i misunderstood your question i agree with you that donald trump donald trump much of downtime support comes from that white males where high school or less education so if he leaves the white house down what happens to the Republican Party which is no change but i think that the republicans will try. They will some republicans term hot remark and so be some people try to come up and take translates i think that will be exceedingly difficult because trump is sui generous way and he struck me very its very hard to duplicate him so theres going to be that element you know american politics floating around there and if the democrats get in and push too hard to politics of the left and neglect those people the ones you were just talking about and dont deal with them then thats a very bad thing you have you dont press cant talk about those people as clinton did the corals or as barack obama did now why they believe in guns and god they cant be treated that way otherwise there are a session of the vote is going to be very upset unhappy and floating around election election so i think what happens to them is absolutely crucial and there will be a fight among republicans 1st place in the melee or democrats to see who can pick them up and then drop trump but was uniquely able to do that he did 8 years ago described as unique but i want a few that big of a genius because you know as i was preparing for this conversation i came across every cent gallup hall which essentially suggested that while the majority of respondents find joe biden more appealing on that personal level theyre far more in tune with all when it comes to Economic Policy and i have an impression that the democrats all the way through are sort of puzzling why people of voting for trump given his moral transgressions they put so much emphasis on his moral. Character rather than understanding that you know they damn merican electorate is behaving as if all. Place has been behaving that is voting on the economy and thats actually the clintons message its all about the economy stupid hasnt done a. Crowd that i think i think youre right not analysis when we look at the we ran sophisticated algorithms and evidence on this data we found that it was 3 out of the coronavirus did her trump obviously but over time peoples concerns grew about the economy and the economy and trump was seen as better for the economy and biden was and that it did in fact make the election closer and not the blue wave that was predicted and i think in large part it was it was because of the economy and by the way the same gallup poll found that despite call it 19 and all the losses associated with it the majority of respondents believe that they are now so better off than 4 years ago this is Pretty Amazing given that you know the poll that was taken after the it below you know we we hired as i was astounded by we did economist hugo call which i have. Found the same thing it was i found a surge that there was 4150 percent who said theyre better off now than they were 4 years ago so same same basic point. I havent had time to go back and look at that it was the case it was more republicans that said that i havent i havent been able to go back and look but my guess is if i express hard on that. You know it will be those former democrats who are trump republicans in midwestern states would be my guess and thats something were going to look at. The since we have much in the last 2 days were closer look to see. I think youre probably or youre right on that the economy of the and the economy is an issue came up drone virus struck down thats also why the election so much closer now joe biden position himself as the back to normality kind of candidate but when you look at his social and economic problems a program hes quite bold if not to say radical but at least by the american standards not by the standards of lets say euro but what he proposes is pretty. People fund Many Americans and i mean closing oil and gas industry by 2035 youre a College Education for low income kids extending it for the full care act do you think you can deliver on all those points if youre really back to the same all kind of candidate or is he actually proposing something that america has never yet seen before. Again another good question i think he cant deliver on that you know the reason he cant one of the reasons he is so appealing one night he had a Democratic Senate and the market was quite worried because the bush policies too far left and and my view is if they push those things too far out of our tree too as medicare for all. Then what would have happened is 2022 would have been like 2010 where obama lost 67 seats in the house all in 2022 would have been worse for the democrats but with a Republican Senate is not going to be able to do those things so i think that. Maybe they can get some stuff going on the infrastructure middle have to be a deal there will be some sort of a stimulus package but it will be lower than what it i dont think that even if the democrats sent out a majority in the senate that they would have come in and anybody who thinks that because its by and islam the election we are problems are over that thats simply not sure the problems were there before d President Trump theyre not going away you have problems for the economy and why arent you going to have huge debt to pay for the things youre going to do there are we still have a problem in the United States with racism we have too many young africanamerican and hispanic men in jail for drug possessions etc so those problems are in there or trauma and simply electing a democrat is not does not solve them. Now. I heard you say in one of your lectures that the current level. Within the United States has structural reasons and despite all the calls for unity its extremely difficult to bring people together because you know to bring them together they have to at least agree on one thing and its amazing for me to observe from russia now that the united them erica is no longer a agree on their past that america is a land of opportunity is that treats everybody fairly i mean president obama was delivering all those speeches in 2013 about how everybody has an equal shot i think nowadays he wont be able to be to rate his own speeches and in fact the only person who can subscribe to that vision of america is trump and his supporters thats what i find extremely ironic but given that there is no agreement on the past on the path forward and a bible on what america stands for how do you think this divide be overcome and can it ever be overcome how do you envision the next or our a. P. R. s Going Forward so i think thats again you make a very good point so. They i say said one point did have did at some yesterday. Some agreement on just area that ok we have problems with africanamericans weve made progress and proper areas this idea of continual progress which is in contrast to france right which has street different interpretations of the french revolution and thats a fact and that about whether the french political system i i think there is some reason to believe that the United States as now you know position where we have 2 or 3 different understandings one as elite universities and then there is the interpretation of conservatives who believe they are old you know that things are but i think probably the real truth is somewhere in between but over the next 4 to 8 years. The way the American Economy has always brought people in right now. Is that they bring them and they make money so if you look at people who came from. Our land or italy theyve been absorbed theyve been been absorbed into the culture there are cultures are part of it now you can get all sorts of the value or so on chinese but question as it has to be economically successful and in the globalized were allowed the United States still has a very successful economy. Is that economy going to be successful over the next 20 years in the same way that it has thats a crucial question and is going to have to be done at the economy go in youre going to have a hard time because youve got Global Warming and youve got globalization now where 85 percent of the world is in competition and those questions are i think you rightly pointed out upper graps i dont think anybody has an answer if the economy doesnt do well then and then you know that you dont allow the halacha got. The next president has a few challenges that come for him so im not sure that thats such an i am default position after all at this point of time and American History anyway professor brady its been great pleasure talking to you thank you very much for your time and for your candor thank you good questions and thank you all watching us hope this year again next week on the part. Of. The world is driven by a dream shaped by one person. Who dares thinks. We dare to ask. This is the time to heal in america. After 4 functions days of weight joe biden claims victory to become the 46. 00 us president those projections in the vote take him over the electoral threshold. Twists and turns lawyer head though as a defiant donald