Transcripts For RT Boom Bust 20240713

Got down worldwide today it was yesterday because everything seems further apart than ever but the thing is like we were never close to phase one to begin with nothing has changed the narrative has not changed since i was even earlier this march the end furthermore everyone now theyre looking at the december 15th deadline because thats really the backstop for the entire phase one deal right now thats the backstop and thats the leverage at present temporarily has and right now analysts are saying that if this tariff goes into place that will be terrorism 156000000000. 00 worth of goods and for the 1st time ever this will affect consumer goods and electronics so its funny because both sides keep sounding like phase one is close were almost there beijing same meetings will make make this happen like were going to get it together well get it done but then as they talk about it the closer they seem to get the more they kind of up the terms of what they was trying to keep saying well we want even more tariffs often brother to try and keep say threatening the higher tariffs if we dont get it done so even granting hong kong as well yet those out get leverage and as a pawn in the entire thing theyre saying that if you. Dont sign phase one then we will sign the hong kong bill into law yes so its one threat kind of to another well i guess well see what happens or no this relation discontinuous thats right back to march 2009. Sun trust in b. B. And t. Received approval from regulators to form americas 6 Largest Commercial Bank this is the biggest bank merger since 2000 a crisis and the combined company will serve 10000000 consumer households with 3 130000000000. 00 in deposits b. B. And t. Taker b. V. T. And sun trust taker s. T. I. Will phase out their brands over the next 2 years as the combined entity will be known as truest once the deal closes true us will begin trading on the n. Y. S. E. Undertaker t f c the merger faced criticism from senator Elizabeth Warren and Maxine Waters who have been supporting for the breakup a big banks and big tech however regulators voted in favor of the merger citing that recent regulations have reduced the risk of a mega bank failure of the likes of citibank and indy mac. In 08. The consolidation and mergers are the state of play these days with Companies Getting hitched left and right in order to cut hefty cap ex costs exploit synergies and process optimizations companies are doing all they can to drive efficiencies now in the face of a slowing economy and the trade war headwinds so on the latest bring in t. V. Watkins director of stocks at Simpler Trading so we all remember what happened in 08 when giants like citi group they were required an epic bailout to save them so with the creation of this giant are there concerns of a potential risk to Financial Stability and in the event of a failure who would be big enough to acquire them. Well you know what i really Pay Attention to is that history doesnt repeat itself but it sure and so Something Like this if there is going to be a problem in the future its not going to be like 2008 where was the financial mortgage subprime housing loan issue its going to be Something Different thats what were going to have to Pay Attention to we dont know where its going to be if theres. Going to be Something Like that as far as with this merger you know we hope that its going to be good for everyone involved to expand the community to bring Better Services to them and really if we start seeing them fail i dont think the question should be you know who is big enough to acquire them or bail them out i think as a free market country we should be saying hey if they ran their business poorly and it got to this point to where they cant sustain it or they read the current wrong or they just arent doing it right then we let the free market do what it does and if they fail so im off like a yard sale and pick up the pieces and usually when that happens they come back stronger and better and no more of those too big to fail stuff if you fail then thats on you also speaking of monster consolidations or mergers Charles Schwab in talks to buy t. D. Ameritrade for a total of 5 trillion dollars thats trillion with a t. In combined assets this is in the face of the mounting threat on 2 fronts really right block crypto currencies and disruptor such as robin hood betterment and wealth they all have 0 commissions so give us your take on this 25000000000. 00 deal and do you think that any of the other guys in this space are also looking to kind of merging create these monster companies. Well kind of like we were talking about earlier with the streamlining and trying to make bigger efficiencies through Bigger Companies i wouldnt be surprised if we see some other mergers especially coming from those disruptors maybe some of the bigger names actually want to bring those disrupters on and say hey lets bring your new age your New Territory of people and subscribers on board and personally as me as a trader i really like t. D. Ameritrade i like their Trading Platform and to have them come together with charles will schwab it sounds actually like a pretty good situation you know and what were looking at when i called Charles Schwab after they announced this i called and spoke to one of their representatives and they said you know we really dont make a lot of our money from commissions and so they said you know if were having troubles if our bottom line isnt doing very well from a lack of commissions were doing something wrong and so not having any commissions in this race to the bottom as everybody is talking about i dont think its really that big of a deal their money is made elsewhere and really how many people does this affect of the traders but i think to the standard most people its you know 4 or 5. 00 that they dont have to pay now every once in a while and real quick if theyre not making the money on commissions where are they making it from. Where they have a whole lot of other fees they have Management Fees they have assets under management and then similar to how a bank how they take your money and they actually loan it out and then they make money off of your money thats sitting in the bank thats how robinhood thats how betterment thats how Charles Schwab they make money from your money on deposit theres some something similar to you know we have our banking and our transactions that are for free well its because any money that we have on deposit there theyre using elsewhere to make interest off of and so they give us the benefit of having transactions for free and all that works great when youre in a bull market come one come one day fall and theyre in serious trouble now over and we tell another struggling sector ellaby it may just still parceling to close to finance and its made. Now to 16000000000. 00 from its early a bit at 14500000000. 00 so tiffany plans to continue to negotiate a better offer offering arguing that it is still being undervalued the current offer now raises the price tag to 130. 00 per share so where do you think this would end up and whats your baseline of the fair value given that tiffanys is a classic brand equity and you have tremendous name recognition there. Well coming from just the charts in the stock you look at that tiffany would would be well poised to actually take that offer louve aton stock has been doing great for a long time and tiffany is had a high of 140. 00 and with this offer it now brings up 230. 00 so you know just looking from that with the numbers it seems to make sense and i dont know how much higher they could go as far as the offer now what it comes down to i think is more of the intangible where were looking at what is the name recognition of tiffany its been around for a long time its a solid solid name a lot of people know of it has a good reputation and i think it comes down to is luva tahn do they really want that name and do they want that kind of clientele that comes with it and they might just have to pay more to have that kind of name recognition for such a long time and bring it on board and that way the 2. 00 of them actually maybe are Better Together in the big picture in the long run. And then finally we have this other dying segment we got to talk about here printing and paper business ulit packard just rejected as iraqs offer saying that it undervalued the business and that given the weak Balance Sheet as iraqs potential synergies will be difficult to extract h. P. Is already in the middle of a massive restructuring and well lets face it theyre struggling to stay relevant here so with the combination you think of 2 failing businesses results in a win or one now big or failing business. Yeah thats got a fight ahead you look at it and this was interesting when i was looking at it you know xeroxs market cap is about one 3rd of h. P. s so in a way this looks like its david trying to buy it and not only that david is looking pretty aggressive like that theres been talks of hostile takeovers. Through just purchasing up all the stock in shares and so this is kind of an interesting thing it is he said kind of a 2 old businesses that are trying to stay relevant are duking it out with each other you know h. P. Is really trying to revamp itself it is trying to restructure they are trying to cut costs and theyre in the middle of this process for that and i think that maybe coming from a very side of the table to thinking hey were trying to figure this out you know we we want to go through this 1st and how do you come in here and try and take us over when were in the middle of trying to better ourselves and so its a little bit confusing and it should be interesting to watch as these kind of fireworks happen between the 2 stocks the 2 companies yeah its kind of like watching a slow motion dinosaur fight a walk and specter of stocks driving thanks so much. Thank you. It is the end of an era Hedge Fund Legend lewis bacon has decided to shutter more capital after several years of poor returns at his various funds hes returning capital to investors after 30 years and converting into Family Office the end of more capital now is a significant mark on the entire Hedge Fund Industry bacon is known as one of the best traders of his generation alongside Paul Tudor Jones George Soros John paulson and bill ackman he rose to fame with his macro bets in the 1990 s. When he correctly called the collapse of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and when Saddam Hussein would invade kuwait about that yielded his fund 86 percent return through last year more capital had made 18300000000. 00 for investors since inception making it the 15th most profitable hedge fund of all time but the Hedge Fund Industry has been facing increasingly challenging markets thanks to persistently low Interest Rates and the takeover of quantum bots running the show allocation has been difficult as long shorts struggle to raise capital amid mediocre performance. So i know that youre all about this so let you take the floor because youre listing off this list of names here like Paul Tudor Jones george soros. They were speaking. It sounds like doom is what it comes off like but in terms of the Hedge Fund Operations on the technical side take the moral side out of it go ahead but also right now the Hedge Fund Industry is facing tremendous pressure because right now i feel like theres this entire flow into the private market and thats all were really seeing allocation has been so difficult for all of these long shores because of the fact that simply there is no there is no beta in the market everything is correlated to each other theres absolutely no data to be extracted from it absolutely no alpha to be extracted excuse me and every single longs for is presently chasing the same trades over and over again and so theres this tremendous reallocation over into the private market into the v. C. S. And thats also partially why were seeing Companies Stay private longer and then when youre when youre talking about the business side of it and you remove the emotional side out of it theyve had Great Success but when youre talking about people who have made Great Success betting on the war betting on the destruction of people groups betting on the collapse of Financial Systems which leaves people in poverty and watches their savings go away just feels kind of kind of gross to call that successful but again. It does not it does but it is but it is just a business like like all business as it is why you do you are not the instigating anything its marcel youre trying to make a call youre trying to actually make a prediction and for the and for those hedge funds not only are they making a prediction correctly in the market but they forecast but theyre also giving people warning theyre warning the market of what could potentially happen what are the repercussions if we do go to what are the repercussions if we do lets say start a trade war with china again like this is what the market does its an indicator of future events if we continue down the same path. Lets leave it there time now for a quick break but hang in there because on the other side of this break big coin is following that as we approach the end of the year so heres the thing is there time for it to turn around or are we going to go back into this bearish cycle that really lets face it nobody wants for the Worlds Largest group of currency and as we go to break here are the numbers at the close. Of. The tense situation in venezuela is still a little over the news the problem in venezuela is not that socialism has been poorly implemented but that socialism has been only. Inside venezuela things are different were going to sanctions against the truly is the venezuela so she. Famously. And it is. The. Story is a new nixon. Henry kissinger to tell him that it would not be tolerated that in latin america. An alternative economic and social system could take hold and therefore the policy would be to make the chilean economy scream so wants and making the economy of venezuela screed. Over the last 3 decades the European Union has seen its enlargement as a way of hoping its eastern neighbors democracy as well keeping them firmly with it spiotta political as the e. U. s mantra of the bigger the better proving to be the case. Good food descriptions sound up to tell using even for the owners so how to choose his pet Food Industry is telling us what to feed our pets really more based on what they want to sell us then was necessarily good for the pet turns out may not be. People believe we have animals that have you know diabetes in arthritis they have auto immune disorders allergies we are actually creating these problems its a huge epidemic of toms all of them i believe can be linked to very simple problem of diet and some dog owners so heartbreaking stories about their pets street to larger corporations are not very interested in proving or disproving the value of their food because theyre already making it a 1000000000. 00 on it and theres no reason to do that research. While we have had a dramatic moment for big support for the leading crypto currency has dropped to a 4 week low and is now below 8000 and dropping this is significant because the question really is about whether because it continues in this bearish market or it breaks out into a bull run coming into the end of this year it is worth mentioning that the slide at that point is in right now when i wrote the script it said below 7975. 100 big oil has erased 80 percent of the rally in the 2nd half of october which carry big going from around 7200 to over 10000 as of today because of the most all coins are weighed in the red so as we head into the new year what is the outlook joining this just as your dog cochief Investment Officer. In terror capital thanks for being here so if we look back over recent history because it is done pretty well in november and 6 of the last 8 years right from 2012 to 2017 november was a month of gains but in november of 2018 obviously that was the outlier because. Very hard it is that leaving some investors worried the big board is going to repeat that kind of a november going into the end of this year im sure some people are worried about it you know i think personally i dont think were going to go much lower this november and its kind of amazing that such a volatile asset really just basically back where we were a few weeks ago back in october. So now what do you think accounted for this entire dramatic sell off. Well its hard to say you know if you look at that point in particular recently the past few days theres been news coming out of china just this morning supposedly peace and shanghai there are reports that they raided one of the finance offices there and so theres kind of been a bit of. Chinas been very hot and cold on bitcoin you know one minute theyre very positive about about the tech and the next minute theyre kind of taking a step back so i think thats for the lead to some of these market gyrations now stay with the Historical Data one also usually picks up a strong bit 6 months ahead of the minus award having a supply cut scheduled for may have 2020 and yet were not seeing this rally associated with that here. Yes i say we will eventually see it im not sure necessarily going to see it in the next few weeks because right now sort of below its moving average the 90 Day Moving Average of that coin is around you know 9200. 00 and of course declines just under 7600. 00 as of today so i think were going to get that before we start to see sort of a rally anticipation of the supply decrease coming next year you know you mentioned what just happened in china with the reading of one of those offices over there but i want to go back to the statement you made about how china has been so hot and cold on big point because we saw a few weeks ago you know all of a sudden the state run newspapers there and the state run media were essentially praising big calling for the very 1st time really bringing it out into the public and talking about it is china do you think going to become a nation that really i mean obviously the black markets there its happening under the table but is it going to become a legitimate player in this big coin space and would that certainly set prices back where theyre supposed to be. Thats a great question saying if you look at china you know theyre definitely becoming a major player in the block chain space theyre basically planning to create you know digitized version of their currency you know on some sort of large Chain Network but you know what that translates to big coin or not is a separate question i think in china right now you know you can buy the coin using whats called the sort of peer to peer over the counter markets so you cant really deposit you know into an exchange but you can use your local currency and basically buy in a peer to peer fashion and i think as long as the government continues to allow that i think thats definitely a lot of positive pressure for bit coin son now obviously a big points price is only a small indicator of whats actually happening with crypto currency and big moves are now being made so in fact by now had made moves into india potentially a huge Capital Market with the acquisition of the y z a x exchange now theres a ban on Banking Services for krypton india by nance potentially found a way around that correct yeah thats right so what theyve done is basically taken the same idea for these over the counter markets the appears to work pretty well in china and theyre trying to apply that to the indian market you know whether the Indian Government continues to allow the sort of an open question but it seems to be working at the moment the company they acquired is basically doing a very similar model. But with currencies and india as opposed to the chinese the us now as were going into 2020 pentair a couple has always been known for being at the forefront of investing in new blocking technologies so how has your thesis changed now as we get towards the end of 21000. 00 and what are your new things as for the coming year. Yes so for 2019 we basically thought that there was going to be a huge sort of infrastructure build out. Where not a whole lot would happen public facing but a lot of Tech Infrastructure built and thats basically happened and so in 2020 a lot of that infrastructure is going to release so were seeing lots of new projects going live in 2020 you know things like a 0 x. Version 3 maker version to version 2 and then also new block chains being created as well that have you know much higher throughput and much higher scale ability numbers so if you look at it here and it does about tensions actions per 2nd with some of these new technologies even things that are like based on top of the 3 m you could do hundreds or even thousands per 2nd and how does that translate into kind of real World Industries and products that the public might know so for instance you know e. O. s is launching voice which is their social media platform right which we built on on their block chain what are you seeing in terms of the development of kind of real world products based upon these technologies that youre talking about. Yeah so i think the biggest area and the reason why scalability is important is a lot of these interesting use cases are whats called de fire finance and the idea is that you sort of have more peer to peer Financial System its inherently much more global things are much lower fees and you can sort of do really large transactions and the cost of experimentation is much lower and so to make that kind of more concrete you know one example of this is make it out where people are basically creating loans in a sort of peer to peer fashion where you can get a loan of 247 any time you want and pay back whenever you want as well so you kind of have these interesting use cases that are kind of and the financial space and right now this sort of looks like toys are not that exciting like make sure youre basically borrowing against your ether and you know getting effectively dollars out its not like revolutionary but i think it will lead to revolutionary use cases as he will start to apply the same tech to more things all right well it should be an interesting last about 5 weeks or so of the early krug cochief Investment Officer up at their capital thanks so much for your time. Thank you. Did here is no baby and diamond unit is in talks with the government to extend its tax breaks beyond 2023 now diamond mining is the largest taxpayer in the Land Base Operations could end in 2023 as the beers says it can no longer economically continue mining under the current tax regime land operations were down 37 percent the 1st 6 months of 21000. 00 from the same period of 2018 as they currently are a 10 percent royalty on sales plus a 55 percent Corporate Tax on profits de beers is hopeful the government will grant the company a waiver as they play a crucial role in the libyan economy in particular the number of jobs that would be affected if they were to shutter its operations did beer will continue its marine diamond operation off the coast of namibia as marine diamond recovery is now producing more in annual volumes and the countrys land base mining. A little bit of a setback just a little bit for space x. Is the companys next generation rocket partially burst apart during ground tests in texas on the winds day by the way we would show you the video of the guy who shot it kind of geeky now didnt share it with us so i just like the sound effects thats what essentially the tests were being conducted in a place called boca chica texas space x. s new ship named starship that appears to have happened with pressure tests were being conducted. It is kind of cool video if you get a chance to look it up later you can find it on twitter by the way say 6 said that nobody was injured starship by the way the spacecraft but the company is working on a transport cargo and even people to deep space destinations like the moon and to mars in september c. E. O. Elon musk showed off starship to reporters saying that the rocket could be doing flights at low altitude in a few months and that starship could reach earths orbit in 6 months as long as it can do so without exploding blowing up now this is the 2nd time yeah this is i think how different this is a different base ship from space x. Thats blown up a different one blew up the last time but then again also given elon musk and his nature how when he says a deadline we should really trust that line thats very true and unless the government is subsidizing the for him its never going to vote anyway so. To say well thats it for this time you can catch the must on directv channel 321 dish network out to 80. 7 on their t. V. The free t. V. After 979 or as always you can hit us up at youtube dot com slash boom bust r t nobody subsidizes us the next time. Theres a viable. To start. At all this is a. Good repatriations look at the rest 70 years. Military thats crazy. Live. Leg. Length. Legs live. Live live. Live. Live. Live. Oh. Please. Live. Live. Live. And very well might continue watching on since last. And. Dont think that suit. Itself. Plus weve got to go through hard not to think in the distal for this. And i dont mean to start then if. This is the only thing that we do is music because everybody fights his way. To. The floor you can defeat this bill frist would have given a lot of. What i think is this is the found that is all come from. A new report by Amnesty International accuses tech giants google and facebook of violating human rights by employing surveillance abased of business models. Benyamin netanyahu is charged with bribery fraud and breach of trust is the 1st time in israeli history that a sitting Prime Minister has faced indictment in criminal investigations. Theres a backlash from the Jewish Community in germany after nazi memorabilia is sold at auction for thousands of euros. But other times it has nothing to do that is not. Completely to be destroyed