To be able to agree on how it would work. No more all night parties in berlin the german capital imposes further restrictions to stop the spread of virus. This is the business im Kate Ferguson thanks for joining me. We begin in china where the latest trade figures suggest the economy may be returning to pre pandemic levels of strength imports and exports both rose significantly in that september car sales to have been preventing the biggest come as the country appears to be bringing that corona virus under control thanks largely to white specks testing. These people are among 3000000 Authorities Say they have tested for corona virus in the city of qingdao in the last few days alone. It took just 12 confirmed cases to prompt the Massive Campaign that helps explain why new chinese infections remain extremely low and why its economy is powering into the post pandemic period quicker than most. From whom china had major strategic achievements fighting the epidemic its production was the 1st in the world to be restarted and has successfully filled the Global Supply shortage of one surprising reason for cheers the countrys car sector car sales in september jumped 13 percent from this time last year the pandemic badly hit the worlds biggest car market but its reign of recovery is accelerating for german car makers looking to sell their eveys in china figures from the countrys electric market are especially bright for much of the past year that sector has been struggling but new data shows sales jumped by almost 70 percent last month with government keen on promoting vehicles that combat air pollution news of chinas resurgent car market chimes well with impressive new trade figures both imports and exports surged last month to levels higher than those seen before the pandemic lets talk if you dont please financial correspondent Chelsea Delaney in frankfurt now i shall say this all signs quite promising but is it really that rosy. This data does confirm that china is much farther ahead in terms of the economic recovery from the crown a virus than basically any other developed economy right now and thats really important not just for china but really for all of its trading partners and particular the imports is really beneficial to countries like germany to the e. U. To the u. S. To these countries that really depend on chinese consumers Chinese Companies to be buying up their products but at the same time there were some one off temporary boost to imports in particular in this quarter or in this month including stockpiling by chinese tech firms ahead of a ban from the u. S. On the supply of semiconductors so its likely that we will see the pace of imports and trade in general moderate Going Forward for china ok chelsea lately thanks so much. Thats take a look at some of the other business stories making news in argentina people have taken to the streets of the capital one is aries to voice their opposition to the governments handling of the pundit mic protesters say it has compounded problems for an economy that was already in serious trouble argentina owes more than 300000000000. 00 to its creditors. Disney has reorganized its operations in order to put a higher priority on streaming services one of the Worlds LargestMedia Companies disney is seeking to take on the likes of netflix by making more original productions its shares rose by 5 percent on the news the organization for Economic Cooperation and development has unveiled a proposal to impose a Global Digital tax on Big Companies like apple. The group says such attacks could bring at 100000000000. 00 a year worldwide the idea of course comes as countries around the world struggle with the Economic Impact of the punt on that but not everyone has been suffering sales on profits at Major Tech Companies have surged both apple and amazon have seen their stock rise over 50 percent so far this year at the same time the e. U. Has complained that aapl pays less than one percent tax on its european it made profits in the us paid just 1. 2 percent tax on its profits last year thats up from 0 the year before so far 137. 00 countries have agreed to a digital tax framework but they cant agree on how to go about it meaning a final decision wont come until next year for more on this im joined by dr cos hes head of International Cooperation on Tax Administration at the o. E. C. D. Dr prospered morning to you could you tell us in simple terms of how this digital tax would actually work. Yes i try that in simple terms the digital tax is actually 2 parts one part stabilizes the system and it basically says look youre going to be taxed not just in the place where you have a physical presence because that doesnt make any sense in the Digital World youre also going to be taxed are you participating significantly guilt in a digital age because determine taxation purely by reference to physical presence and the 2nd part says theres been a vehicle minimum tax so were going to make sure you gonna pay to have the right things and were going to make sure you pay at all and when you put these 2. 00 pieces together its complicated which is why face time with a 137. 00 countries you got to make sure that all of the people pay a fair amount of tracks and they pay it in the right countries and thats whats changing with digital you can be present in many places where you know you may not have people and were going to change that the old to get a change to everybody that makes money at least a minimum level of care. Well that finds like a really good idea why then is it so difficult to get these 137 countries to agree on high to go about it. Absolutely whenever he sees things theres 137 countries that have very very different interest you have developing countries you have developing countries that dont look much like developing countries you have countries that have a big Digital Industry you have advanced countries so theres a lot of different interests we havent done this in a 100 years or so minutes things its hard so you want to get it right youve got to be fast to political pressure is the system needs to be stabilized so that it will work and its a question of where does the Digital Economy go theres no point in covering 3 companies and makes your digital moves on its 100 companies and the whole economy is going to juggle so we need to have a response to sustainable today and tomorrow and that takes a little time so were close to everybody agrees we have a base everybody agrees its a Solid Foundation we hope to be able to get the deal done in another 6 months but we will need probably another couple of months into 2021 to get it right i dont if you dont want to if theres no agreement on a deal. If there is no agreement on the deal and basically the pressure is on the system is such that then countries or regions such as europe will probably act on their own the risk here of course is if you do it on your own or if its really difficult to do it on that basis so you will be taxing probably on a gross basis even if there is no profit so there is a risk overall to economy of the people who go on gross taxation there is a risk that there will be treat sanctions and theres a risk that there will be going to school aiding traits engines so if we want to start out of the crisis into growth i think you much better off to find a Global Solution that continues to behave tax on net avoids double taxation its more susceptible for for growth which i guess eventually will need it were going to get out of the crisis and i think were going to need some money to pay for all of this with a minimum tax probably fits right there. You know very closely dr adam profit this. Year thank you very much for having me. Here in berlin the government has imposed curbs on nightlife from 11 pm to 6 am in a bid to control the spread of the coronavirus the new measure is a blow to bars and restaurants which have already been struggling many of the citys clubs also say they are find that facing a financial ruin. Sent us this for force. 3 hours and then the curfew kicks in and the bar has to close for the night 11 oclock thats usually when this place would fill up now while the dogs have to close it before people start to pour in compulsory mosques social distancing and now the calf you never have had to face so many restrictions in the cost of capital. Money on them all off when i have to social distance in a room where previously 50 people would sit and now its only 10 to 20 and it becomes very difficult from an economic point of view its merely a question of time until you run out of money youre practically bleeding yes i am i guess that was good as a man who wanted somebody else as a business the new measures up pushing him to the brink of what economically viable for him but as a family father foggers can sympathize. To talk to my mothers daughter who is at high risk she has a heart defect and was hospitalized 5 times and his 1st 3 years on this im going to see your child suffer like that and then see how the situation is getting really dangerous you know really dont want anyone to go through that process gets them because the fairly throughout the semester monument her somewhat normal nightclubs have been struggling with brown about are so strict shes from months with alternative events like these they try to keep their heads above water but small concerts often all the profitable clubs have been shot from months many of them face financial ruin dance cadaver dog this means that tens of thousands of employees an artist are currently without one and so far have no prospect of continued employment i mean while the costs for running clubs on just coming to a stop. Even. The same goes for restaurants this evening 3 guests have already cancelled their reservations at the order camilla the hall stick plan that is worried that it could get even worse. There are investors for your forms for and told us those would do completely knocked down them and also have to say that next year around a quarter of restaurants wont exist in berlin local in germany anymore and which long to get in from barely any clubs bars and restaurants from berlin a bitter pill for the german Party Capital to swallow. And finally ever fancied owning your own real life dinosaur the fossilized skeleton of an allosaurus thats an ancestor of the t. Rex is going under the hammer out a paris auction highs the remains of the 115000000 year old dinosaur from the upper Jurassic Period were found at a ranch in wyoming in 2016 its 10 meters long and 3. 5 meters high and is estimated to fetch between one and 1200000 euros. No bones about the price thanks so much for watching. Combating the corona pandemic. Where does research stand. What are scientists learning. Background information and news of. Our corona update. On the vid 19 special next on d w imagine how many push. Ups turn out in the book right now Climate Change me to fend off the story. Faces much less the way for just one week. How much work can really get you. We still have time to ask im going. To subscribe and more news like this. 1000000 deaths a grim milestone for a pandemic thats not even a year old in 10 months more people have died from coven 1000 than from hiv malaria the flu and cholera combined hefty body counts for a microscopic pathogen and some experts think its an undercount. The pandemic isnt done yet cases are spiking in india and europe complacency and frustration are growing. Before how to fear of the corona virus in march and april but they dont any more some are also leaving their homes because they have to go to work. They dont have any money and they dont have any other options. As the numbers continue to rise how long before the next milestone. This is the 1900 and welcome to the show im Stephen Beardsley ember lead one millions in 10 months what began as a mysterious respiratory disease and china has now spread around the world. Leaving a significant body count in its wake and showing little sign of abating in the near future is a look at how we reached this point. The 1st Death Outside of china was reported in the philippines on february 2nd just 12 days later france confirmed the 1st victim in europe. At the end of february the United States reported its 1st death. On june 28th the global death toll hit half a 1000000 and just 3 months later the millionth victim was confirmed. The us has the highest death toll so far it also has the highest number of cases followed by india and brazil. Spain has the most confirmed infections in the European Union with cases surging across the world experts expect the global death toll to climb rapidly in the coming months. Now one of the countrys worst hit by the pandemic wasnt on that last list prue which is topped 800000 infections has had one of the worlds highest mortality rates and its economy has shrunk by a whopping 30 percent but new cases are slowing and thats prompted the government to begin easing restrictions many fear that theyre acting too soon. Finally able to be by her husbands side this doesnt somehow tarion northern peru is the final resting place for local coronavirus victims now that restrictions have been eased relatives are allowed into visit even though it isnt at the spot ana maria and her husband had planned for. When i went to town to make burial arrangements they told me i couldnt bury him in the plot we had chosen. I was told that an order had been issued that everyone who died from cold it had to be buried in this cemetery. Others are still fighting for their lives perus president says the countrys Health Care System is stronger now than it was at the beginning of the pandemic. And the government is expanding testing including in low income areas of the capital lima. So with the rate of new infections on the decline the government is pushing ahead with plans to reopen more of the economy. And even start letting in International Flights starting with neighboring countries but some Health Experts are warning against reopening to tast. And eating the nasty reopening gyms bars discos and other forms of entertainment will be terrible say at. 3 so yes it could bring about a 2nd wave quicker awareness the window and. I think we definitely need to reconsider these steps have nothing. To fear is that peru could repeat the pattern of other countries seeing a rise in cases followed by a new wave of mass burials. Im joined now by an epidemiologist and professor at the university of melbourne which is where he joins me from professor its good to have you on the show youve said that this death count could actually be a vast undercounts by how much. Is probably likely to be so many between 30 and 60 percent of an undercount us were number of factors why is that what are those factors. Oh its full principal focus stephen that i think youre driving the numbers down one is that doctors are still learning how to apply the w. H. O. Rules to certify coke addicts in this getting used to that until they get used to it properly delfi undercounting this secondly good 19th. It kills people in ways that were still learning about in other words if they magnifies out the background risks if you go to hypertension if youre a smoker if youre overweight if youve got chronic lung disease then its likely that code 19 is going to be more serious for you and will kill many of the people with those conditions those comorbidities certainly credit 19 is having a big impact on Health Services so in developing countries were seeing programs essential programs like h i v control t v all area are all being affected and so many of the people who need services are not getting them and are probably dying as a result and even in rich countries we see people not turning up to Cancer Screening when they should be and finally and perhaps most importantly many many deaths in the world go one count to develop one 3rd of deaths go on registered each year and even many of those that are registered dont get a proper current cause of death so its likely that covered 19 suffers from or was conditions as well you mentioned the comorbidities can we say if theres a profile to the average coronavirus death from what we know about the death count so far well the main thing that drives that to find 19 deaths is a past majority of people who die from code of 19 about the age of 70 and sex ratio between the countries where we can count it reliably suggests that about for every female who dies theres about 3 miles so we got a fairly clear idea of the age and 6 composition of mortality are we slowing down the death rate since weve been going at this for about 10 months now have we learned enough to slow it down. The answer is no we have not slowed it down i dont know whether weve learnt enough to do that but we certainly havent applied it death rates are rising were seeing 2nd wave several countries in europe weve seen those in my country and australia deaths are rising theyre rising steadily and theyre going to rise a lot further. When should we expect the next milestone say 2w3w do you have a prediction. So difficult to predict but my prediction is that by the end of this year by december 31st with probably see at least 2000000 possibly as high as 2 and a half 1000019 deaths worldwide professor are deaths the best way to understand the impact of this disease in the pandemic. I dont think so i think the actual numbers of this is frightening as they are and as troubling as theyre going to be dont tell the full story covered 19 kills people primarily at older ages and in terms of Preventative Priorities that Public Health need to be concerned about we talk about the number of years of life lost on average from pro each day and in terms of code 19 most of those who died going to hold ranges and so they tend to lose much less years of life than for example a comparable number of deaths road traffic accidents for example kills 1200000 people every year vast majority of those are a lot younger than the code did some say you could argue that road traffic accidents or to be getting at least as much Public Health attention or prevention as code 19 all right lopez professor and epidemiologist from the university of melbourne thank you very much thank you. Well our science correspondent Eric Williams has been busy looking into your questions about the pandemic over now to derek. Many of the social controls put in place are passed on its symptomatic transmission what evidence is there for such a phenomenon. Do people who are asymptomatic transmit source code to to others and if so then how infectious are they this has been one of those issues thats proven there a difficult to come to grips with in the course of this pandemic for for a couple of reasons 1st of all because we only really recently began to detect asymptomatic people on a wide scale 2nd because todays asymptomatic patient can turn out to be only present and not and start showing symptoms tomorrow and were pretty sure that priest symptomatic carriers can be highly infectious 3rd because the viral load and asymptomatic patient carries is usually very similar to that of someone showing symptoms so so what evidence is there that people who test positive for covert 19 but dont ever develop symptoms how likely is it that they can infect others. A preprint paper set for publication soon shows how tricky it can be to prove but but the researchers think they did it on a flight from italy to south korea carrying nearly 300 passengers who at the time displayed no 19 symptoms before boarding all of them were given and 95 masks and most wore then throughout the flight except at meal times and when they went to the bathroom when the passengers arrived in seoul they were quarantined straight away for 2 weeks and all of them were tested on the 1st day and the last day of that quarantine 6 people tested positive for covert 19 that 1st day of quarantine but they never developed symptoms they were confirmed asymptomatic carriers but one woman who tested negative on the 1st day of quarantine developed symptoms on day 8 of it she had set a few rows away from an asymptomatic patient and used the same bathroom as them because of the timing and what we know about the viruses in cube ation period the researchers concluded that she was very likely infected by one of the asymptomatic passengers on board the plane. Sounds kind of like a Sherlock Holmes mystery doesnt it it just goes to show you though how difficult it is to acquire and interpret this kind of evidence many studies have tried but so far none of them has been clear cut enough really for big Health Authorities like the w. H. O. Or the c. D. C. A to take a stand on the issue. Our science expert Eric Williams there and that is it for this edition of covert 1000 special you can find more coverage of the pandemic on our website www dot com to check us out on facebook and twitter as well im stephen bears in berlin as always thanks for watching. Finally the communist east germany was pleading to neighbor to neighbor. To move. The dogs. It was a great opportunity for the fleas to shoot. In the soon to be in germany. Confrontation between china and taiwan the superpower is threatening to invade its neighbor. How serious is it how is china justifying its claims. Richard walker analyzes the causes and dangers of the conflict in taiwan chinas next target close. In 90 minutes on d w. Every 2 seconds a person does forced to flee their homes nearly 71000000 people have been forcibly displaced the consequences come into sisters our documentary series displaced depicts dramatic humanitarian crises around the world you know. Forget the little bit and i didnt go to university to kill people. Or to have my boss come to me and tell me to kill someone and i got mad if i dont theyll kill me. People feel for their lives and their future so they seek refuge abroad but what will become of the person who stray behind and simply our capital my husband went to peru because of the crisis that obama did that if he hadnt gone there we would have died of hunger manana down pat. Display starts october 16th. This is the news live from berlin back on the campaign trail donald trump on fighting for. Through it now they say im from you i can feel i feel so powerful i think the battleground state of florida doctors say trump is now tested negative for covert 90 and democratic challenger joe biden is also on the at