notice the sternt of the storm there's no thunderstorms at all. do expect the storms to be significantly weaker with a new advisory coming out shortly. the last advisory, this one as we went through 11:00, still had 60-mile-per-hour winds, probably dropping down to 50 or 45-mile-per-hour winds. again, it's all about potential. once the storm gets off of cuba, it's going to have a lot of warm water to deal with over the next 72 hours. if it does take the expected path, it's over the warm waters of the keys and florida straits, then over very, very warm water from key west to north florida and the upper level winds are favorable for development, really nothing tells us why it wouldn't strengthen at that time. that's why the next 24 hours are critical. if it stays weak, all the much of better than the folks in the northern gulf. it will still intensify but maybe it will go from a tropical storm to a category 1. if it becomes a hurricane earlier than expected before sunday afternoon or evening, then we really have to watch out in the northern gulf because it's going to intensify the next 24 hours are the key to how intense it will be by the time