now. if democrats can flip arizona from red to blue, maybe you look at a scenario republicans keep roll of the senate and gain one seat. it's 52-48. that's not taking into account what happens in a great race in florida about rick scott. in west virginia with joe manchin. this stuff will go into the potion and the porridge over the next five weeks or so. the other thing i was looking at a moment ago talking about the house race. in the midwest we tried to break it down according to regions. the president goes to minnesota today. half the state is considered a toss-up now. we have 30 toss-up seats in the house. could be a few more or less over the next five weeks. now in minnesota the 8th district around duluth, the iron range is a toss-up. so is minnesota three west of minneapolis. southeast of st. paul and minnesota one in rochester, minnesota. half the state right now is