Transcripts For CSPAN3 Washington Ideas Forum - Part 1 20171018

So is the trump tax plan help or hurt you . It probably helps me more than it needs to. Im missing that part where nobody on the high end was going to benefit and this was going to benefit middle class folks. So thats fake news. That would not fall into the fact checkable news. Lets get down to the serious things that you have been investigating. Some of the platforms that many in the audience and even myself love, facebook, twitter, using Search Engines like google are now all wrapped up into your committee, Intelligence Committee coming in. Do you feel that these platforms are undermining our democracy . First of all, i know this feels like its a story that never ends. Lets look at what we do know. What 99. 9 of everyone in washington believes, democrat or republican, with the exception of one individual. We know that russia using its services massively intervened in our election by hacking into both Political Parties and releasing information that helped one candidate at the detriment of hillary clinton. Second thing we know is is russia intervened and attacked, didnt fully break into voter files, but literally attacked 21 states Electoral Systems. That hearing when you raise ed that hearing, you had a representative from dhs that you were hammering on this months and months ago and you were pretty fe roers. Have taken all this time for dhs to do this. I have sources that tell me the chief of staff john kelly, then secretary of homeland security, wasnt pleased with you. We had a frank and candid exchange. It just seemed to me that dhs would say we cant tell the states because the state secretary of state or other top Election Officials didnt have a high enough clearance level to be told. That made no sense. Come last friday, they did reveal to the 21 states. This is part of the challenge that the president doesnt acknowledge this problem so we have no whole of government approach on how we procollude this from happening the next election cycle. In my state, we have elections this year. Our board took out one of the machines and desert if ied it because we were concerned about the ability of russians and or others to hack into it. Hacking into the machine itself. Hacking into the ability that was a conference in las vegas a number of months back where they brought in a lot of Voting Machines and e showed how quickly hackers could penetrate the machines. We have no evidence they penetrated in 2016. But they were rattling the door and we need to be careful going forward. Third thing we know is we have seen and again ive been in the technology field, the social Media Companies. Facebook, twitter, were asking google as well. At first were dismissive of the fact that their platforms were used both as vehicles for paid advertising, but also as places where russians were able to create fake accounts and those fake accounts put like certain groups and stories and that would drive those stories higher on your news feeds. And that would mean their propaganda so in chaos i think had a pretty dramatic effect. When we get to the social media platforms in a moment, heres what i worry about at times. It you take if russias goal was to sew chaos, to show how our system sometimes dont function, and help mr. Trump, they had a pretty good rate of return. If if you add up what russia spent in american elections, if you add up what they spent in the French Election where is they took down 50,000 accounts, if you add up what they spent in the dutch elections where the dutch hand counted the ballots and double that, youre still talking about less than half the cost of one new f35. From a macrostandpoint, i think what we may have seen is the first not shots fired, but the first tools of 21st century disinformation and i worry as a big advocate for our military, we may have an america the best 20th century military that money can buy, but were increasingly in a world where fiber vulnerability, misinformation and disinformation may be the tools of conflict. How forthcoming are the platforms right now . Facebook denied having had any russian ads bought and overnight were learning more and more about more accounts. Now we see the news about twitter. The Million Dollar question is how do they know where to deploy these ads. There was a period of time there was just nothing that had come forward. Does facebook have a lot of accounts . Lets put it this way. I think facebook in many ways knows more about each of us than the United States government. And the notion that somehow they werent aware of what was happening on their platforms strains my credibility. You think they were lying . Im not saying that. I want to see the materials. They came and showed the staff, they took the materials back. Not a good thing to do to a senate committee. Now they are coming forth. They promised us the information this week. We want to get it out to the public because at the end of the day, americans should have the right to know at least a couple things. One, if youre reading a political ad on facebook or any of the platforms, you ought to know the source of that ad whether its foreign based or not. If a story is being driven to the top of your news feed because thousands of individuals have liked it, we ought to know whether those individuals who are liking it are actually individuals who are represented. In many cases, they say its Steven Clemmons from washington, d. C. , when it might have been someone from moscow. What facebook has said is they have identified one of the troll farms in st. Petersburg. They havent identified the rest. One of the reasons ien dont believe they have actually done a thorough examination is the only accounts they identified were those ads that were paid for in rubles. I think the Russian Services know how to use dollars, euros, so we have a lot more questions. My hope is i talked to Mark Zuckerberg last week. Hes built an extraordinary Iconic Company, but i think that Iconic Company that more than half of americans look to every day is based upon a level of trust. I think they need to be extremely forthcoming. Were going to add twitter in today and ask goog toll testify as well. They need to come forward. This is important in terms of americas confidence in the information we receive. So much of this story is behind classified. You mentioned the 21 states that are just now telling their citizens they had been penetrated by the russians because they had been informed formally by the department of homeland security. You were on this months ago. What is the gap between what we all know publicly and what you know because you get classified information. This seems to e me to be right at the core of democracy. I would love to tell you, but is it a big gap or a little gap . This story keeps going on. I have been amazed that theres not a week that goes by that a new name or threat doesnt appear. And we both have challenges here. Theres democrats that think everybody is guilty from day one. Theres republicans that want it to go away. Our job is to get the truth out. Our job is to figure out whether there was collaboration or collusion, but more important, how to prevent this from happening going forward. The fact that the white house, everybody in the intel community, most of the president s appointees have acknowledged this. The fact that theres no single point of contact in the white house that says, hey, my job is to make sure that our Electoral Systems that are information that we are protected from foreign entities in a way that has a whole of government approach is a real challenge. It means its more incumbent upon us that we get the truth out. I want to talk to you in the r runway. But what you see as high crimes. We now see your comments about evidence of kcollusion. We have seen intent to collude. So of these things that we keep reading about the creation of the document for eric trump jr. , all of these things have come out. So which of this drama constitutes high crimes . I have not reached any conclusion. My job is not to reach that conclusion until e we get to the end. Which way are you tilting . Towards the truth. I think there are series of interactions. Michael cohen who wanted to pull a fast one. Were going to have him come back. Hes been so there are those kind of questions about was there shared information. Clearly the russians were trying to offer, you know, information that was hurtful to hillary clinton. You know, did the trump people accept it or not, we dont know the answer to that. The other piece that i think is one of them, the big unanswered questions, and i really hope the social Media Companies will be very forthcoming, the trump social media operation was much, much better than democrats realized. And weve seen lots of use of facebook. Weve seen some level it appears of coordination with some of the altright groups. The question i have is i know the russians have the technical ability to plant fake news, to create fake accounts. But their level it appears of geotargeting on a demographic basis in certain key areas where even the democrats were too asleep at the switch, how do they figure that out to that level . Maybe it was just the theres been some evidence that the Trump Campaign put a lot of their data bases in effect out and some of their targets out for public and then people who wanted to, you know, not directly work with could use that information. But i still think one of the milliondollar questions is this was a level of sophistication that i think was unprecedented, and we have got to figure out what happened. Have you read josh greens book on steve bannon . No. Might be interesting. Might be interesting. Hes on a little bit of a high this week. Yeah. Let me just shift gears for a minute. I interviewed senator chris coons yesterday and we were talking a bit about health care. I asked him in terms of bipartisan, constructive, working together, how many United States senators did you think would be open to the notion of a vehicle that came on this, solves a lot of problems of the Affordable Care act that came in, and chris said 50, which is a disappointing number. Im interested in just you and richard burr have a deep relationship and a good effective relationship. Does that go on is there a chance that were going to be able to tilt from this period of extremism in both parties being unable to kind of work yes. The truth is there is a lot more interpersonal working relationships in the senate than you guys in the press represent. Do you guys hide them from us . No, we dont there are plenty of secret spots where we have a glass of wine and share ideas. And i think health care give me a call. There was a path, and i think patty murray and lamar alexander, theres a way we can do some shortterm market stabilization as well as taking on some of the options, a reinsurance pool. You know, ive been open for a long time the idea of cheaper plans to get younger people in. I call them the popper plans. Theres a lot of agreement. We just need the runway to play that out and i think youll see that happen in health care. I worry you know, ive spent years as a former business guy and some of the audience may recall i was part of the socalled gang of six. I again think its a little weird i work in the only place in america where being in a gang is a good thing. Im part of every gang there is. But im fascinated with our debt every deficit issues, macroeconomic trends. I think i could add some value to a tax reform debate, but if the operating premise is that the republicans are going to try to do this with their team only and get 50 or 51 out of 52 votes i actually think that would be harder in tax reform than to get 65 or 70 votes out of 100. And my hope would be they will learn as the democrats should have learned before, if you try to do major policy with one party only, youre never going to get it to the point because youre never going to get it 100 right. Youre never going to get it to the point where the American People accept that policy as being in effect vetted by both teams. You have written, senator, about your worry that our incentives in the economy are designed the wrong way. That the average worker is screwed in the Current Situation because were seeing less and less investment in the economy, less and less longterm orientation. What are the two or three things you think need to be done to change the course of the economy so its more in a healthy way, more sustainable than it is today . In 1 43, ill give you a whole new economic theory. Heres my feeling. I did extraordinary well and very blessed to d well by our Free Enterprise system. I worry that modern american capitalism is not working for enough people. I believe that that is driven by the fact that longterm Value Creation is too often trumped by shorttermism. And let me cite three examples that i think that dont fall neatly into democrat and republican. The whole notion of traditional social contract around work has changed. People no longer work like my dad did for the same company for 38 years. A third of the workforce in America Today is in some form of contingent work, parttime, temp, independent contractors, the gig workers. Those folks, even if theyre doing well, they have no social insurance. So we have to experiment with a portable benefit system. The same corollary of that nonlongterm employment means theres really no business reason for a company to invest in upscaling low and modern income people. The government does a pretty crummy job on that. A tax reform plan ought to include major tax credits for companies who train up low and moderate income workers and i would offer a lower repatriated tax rate for those company who is put in place that kind of meaningful training. And third, i think we really need to have and this would be a debate that would be fulsome a question whether the Capital Markets are so focused on short termism that the longterm great post world war ii companies could even be created today. We do point to the facebooks and the amazons and the others, but those are companies where the founders still control an unusually large block of stock. How can we move away so that companies no longer, you know, 30 years ago 50 of Company Profits were reinvested in companies, now 95 of corporate profits are spent on share buybacks and dividends. Thats not the kind of capital ism thats going to grow and make everybody have a feeling of inclusiveness. Thank you. [ applause ] finally, i just want to ask you a question about the Trump Administration and President Trump. Given everything we know, given the concerns that youve laid out, how willing are you, given everything youve seen, to go and become engaged with President Trump and to work with him on these issues . I want the president to succeed. Can he succeed . Listen, i a little less tweetage, a little more policy might help. I want him to succeed. Hes our president. But hes got to recognize that the role of the president , the role of any leader i was a governor in a state where it was 21 republican the role of a leader is to actually get folks to find some Common Ground and not to try to find every issue and simply reinforce your base. Our country has done best and its policy has done best when you actually build policy out from the center rather than driving it from the extremes. Ladies and gentlemen, senator mark warner. [ applause ] please welcome the ceo of aetna, Mark Bertolini and the atlantics executive editor, matt thompson. Good morning. How are you . Im good, thanks. How about yourself . I was a little worried because i hear you never express any opinions on health care. You have a reputation of playing it very close to the vest. Very close to the vest, yeah. Got my talking points right here. And theres nothing happening on health care right now. No. Apparently the latest lastditch effort to replace, repeal and replace obamacare, the Affordable Care act, is seemingly dead. Yes. Although theres two more days. Anything could happen. Is it really dead . Yes. Yes. [ applause ] how do you feel about the demise of the various efforts . And Graham Cassidy in particular. I think senator warner, who i have a great degree of respect for, he and i have talked a lot about this and conscious capitalism. And i think as we think about what gets done in this country of any major social import, its always done bipartisan. Because no sooner is the bill passed and put into place than it needs to be fixed. Yeah. Medicare gets tweaked every year. Social security gets tweaked every year. Medicaid gets tweaked every year. And you have to have a bipartisan agreement that we need to fix these things as they go along because nothings perfect out of the box. Thats what real innovation is. But it would seem from the number of plans that have been floated and failed over the past couple of months, it would seem that theres actually a wide area of give on health care. What has been and there have been bipartisan plans hanging out there for since the nixon era, right . So if you took the politics out of the situation, wed have a bipartisan solution already. Okay. This is about election promises and an 18 election. And if we really want to fix the thing, there are very simple straightforward things we can do to fit it. The Affordable Care act. Which by the way touches really, you know, 18 Million People out of 330 Million People. So if we want to fix it we can. We just need to get people in a room that can do it. There are people who have been in the room do it. We just need to get it to the forefront and have it done. And i think once we get past, you know, the bewitching hour of september 30th, i think we have an opportunity to actually do something in a bipartisan way and that would be a great start to get tax reform done in a bipartisan way and to get infrastructure done in a bipartisan way, which would invigorate our economy. Lets talk about the Affordable Care act for a second. Yep. Your company, aetna, was has pulled out of the exchanges it has pulled out of the exchanges for 2018. Which do you think has been a bigger problem for this Affordable Care act this year . Has it been structural issues in the bills design or has it been administrative wavering from President Trumps administration over actual reimbursement . So its uncertainty. So for those of us im not an actuary but i play one on tv. And as actuaries, we price these products 18 months in advance of the actual due date. And so if the rules are constantly changing and the funding is constantly at risk, you dont know how to price the product. Thats insurance. And so if you want to deal with stabilizing the markets, you need to have a stable footprint. Even under the Obama Administration there was instability in the exchanges every year because the rules had to be made up in regulation, because congress couldnt Work Together to change the law and legislation. Had they got added if we hadnt touched medicare, social security, or medicaid for seven years, they too would fall apart. So, you know, because we couldnt do it in legislation, hhs tried to do it in regulation and that is a very difficult thing to do with any kind of predictability. Did your own decision to pull out have anything to do with the governments blocking the merger with humana . No. Were still here. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. We thought it was a good idea. We thought it could really be powerful. Its not the end of the world. We have a Great Organization and great people and well be fine. Outside policy youve got some strange ideas about health care, i have to say. You come to washington, which they say new york is the city that never sleeps, washington is the city with people that never sleep. And you sleep 7 1 2 hours a night. Totally. How is that possible . Try it, youll like it. Youre the ceo of a major company. How do you sleep 7 1 2 hours at night . Your amount of time you spend on your work and thinking about your work is not directly related to the success of your work. Think about that. [ applause ] its too complex an idea for me. People who count cars in garages at workplaces after 7 00 are really got it all wrong. And so you do need 7 1 2 hours of sleep, and what we do is we pay our employees to do it 20 nights in a row because if you do it 20 nights in a row you will want to keep doing it because its so powerful. So blue light in the morning for an hour without any glass or shield over your face, outdoors, creates melatonin that gets stored for later in the evening, then in the evening you should have yellow light or amber glasses that will allow you to ramp down as we used to around fires a long time ago, so you can sleep. Those two things. Just try it. And do it 20 nights in a row and you will feel completely different. How did you come by these wacky outthere ideas . Well, first of all, i had an accident, so i was one of those sleepdeprived people. I had a skiing accident, broke my neck in five places, coma for a week, loss the use of my left arm, all those sorts of things. Chronic neuropathy. When you have that moment, you have to say how can i put all those back together . Sleep was one of the big ones. I used to sleep from 11 00 to 1 00 work from 1 00 to 3 00 scare everybody with emails, back to bed from 3 00 to 5 00 and go to the gym, four hours of sleep every night. Chronically sleep deprived, not making good decisions. How does this factor into aetnas work . Do you do interventions with the companies that sign up with you . We do. I came to work one day and said we should do yoga and mindfulness together as an organization. The team groaned and sent the chief medical officer to me because he said i was talking about voodoo medicine. And we took our employees and put 790 of them through mindfulness and yoga for 12 weeks, measured stress level base cortisol levels and by heart rate variability and we saw a dramatic drops, people at the highest level of stress, 2,500 a year more in health care costs. Are you covering, like, supplements, acupuncture . All that stuff is covered in your hsa or hra, if you work for an employer that thats where you can get that done. Some employers offer yoga. We now have a program called the healthy cities and counties challenge across america. We have 50 cities competing. We Just Launched a site today, healthycities. Org to track them over the years working on violence in cities like kansas city, urban farming in places like new york. Started 5,539 urban farms in the last two years in communities where there are food deserts. Meals on wheels found this week their 2 million volunteers will give us feedback on the homes of seniors they go to if the seniors attitudes rain shower circumstances have changed so we can intervene at the home to help them because Food Insecurity and isolation leads to higher dementia, higher depression, higher diabetes and higher incidents of alzheimers. Were crowdsourcing social determinants of health. Put 2g Million People into homes, give us the information and well act on it. I know a lot of folks who would be i might say concerned if they heard their insurer was sending 2 Million People in their homes to gather all sorts of information about their lives. Why should we trust you . Youre spies. Because its not us doing it. These 2 Million People are people that see these people every day. So we often all of you have seen a doctor atsome point in the near past. You get 15 minutes. Do they talk to you about how things are going at home . Hows the diet going . Exercise . Are you feeling well . Anything troubling you . You get 15 minutes. And even if they did ask you that, we lie 75 of the time. Working out 30 minutes a day, doc. Im doing great. Eating only vegetables and fruits. Im really doing good. And i dont drink at all. I just have a couple glasses. Theyre tumblers but just a couple glasses. And so this idea of getting away from the exam table and to the Kitchen Table and actually understanding whats going on in the home. So aetna cant knock on the door and say, hey, wed like to come for dinner because thats where you learn everything about the family. To get to the Kitchen Table, you have to have the people they trust. The people who deliver food to them every day are people they trust. And those people can make honest assessments of whats going on from daytoday. And thats what we want to hear. Its not that we want to intervene if their home, but if theyre isolated, not getting enough food, if they have a problem, you know, with travel and getting their meds, we want to know about it because its cheaper for us to pay for uber, to pay for a ramp in front of the house, to pay for fuel assistance, to pay for meals on wheels. If we can, indeed, know that thats there. Its cheaper for doing that than for them to show up for oneyear visits. This the points youre making dont tie back, obviously, to our Big Conversation about the Affordable Care act and health care. We spend a lot of time talking about preexisting conditions. Right. Although they wont be mandated for coverage. How do we create a federal system that would pay for my uber, for example . So what we need to do is we need to liberalize the definition of benefits so every state categorizes what benefits should be covered under health care reform. And instead what we should say is a healthy person is productive. A productive person is viable, socially, spiritually, economically, physically, and viable people are happy. And if we need to provide a service that can allow us to do that, we should do that. We should intervene. And so when you look at the total spent on health and social determinants across the oecd nations, the United States when you add the two together is now 11th, our value for Services Rendered across that spectrum is 34 out of 34th. Our Life Expectancy has gone down for the first time. And when you look at the split between health care and social determinants, the United States is the only country that spends more than 40 on health care. We spend 64 . So weve got it wrong and its showing up in our emergency rooms, its showing up with opioid addiction and overdoses which will be 70,000 overdoses this year. More than automobile accidents, gunshot wounds, and suicides put together. We have a pandemic. Its bigger than diabetes. Because people have lost hope and its because of where they live. When you say liberalize the definition of health, though, part of what i hear is lets not mandate a definition of what constitutes a health condition. Is that what you are saying . Personalized medicine dictates that we understand what for you, what does your health do to get in the way of the life you want to lead. And we need to make that work for you. Because thats the only way were going to engage you. If i Start Talking about neuropathy for diabetics and you could with prediabetes be a type 2 diabetic in seven years, youll go, oh, thats what you tell your doctor right . Thanks, doc. I appreciate it. Ill work hard on it. But if you have it and we say well get your feet better and you can go for a walk to the Senior Center or you can take your children, grandchildren for a walk in the park like you used to, youve got my attention. Because now youve eliminated a barrier for me. People think of their health as a barrier to the life they want to lead. Not the condition they have. Lets talk about who pays for who actually pays for my uber in this case for a moment. Ive heard mixed things. Bernie sanders has pushed, senator sanders has pushed for a single Parent Health care, medicare for all. What did you what do you actually feel about that idea and the idea of single parent . I think the idea of financing a broken system is like financing a bad car. No matter how you finance a bad car, you get a bad car. Right . So if you pay for it with cash or you took a loan, you think about it, nobody goes to General Motors Acceptance Corporation to buy a car. And Insurance Companies are the gmac of health care. We finance health care. Nobody can go to General Motors and knock on their front door and get a car. You have to go to a dealership and you have to talk about your ambitions for transportation. When you understand that investment, then you finance it. And so what were talking about with the Affordable Care act and one of the reason its hasnt reduced costs, why we talk about single payer like we talk about graham lindsey, all of it is focused on Financing Health care. None of it is focused on the underlying costs of health care. When a bunch of doctors Institute Health care, 30 of the 3 trillion spent on health care, 900,000 billion is wasted, theres your financing. Theres your financing. Lets go get that. Lets do the right thing. But when you if Graham Cassidy were to have succeeded it would have created 50 Different Health care systems all over the country and it would be very difficult to get from that system to one where the ideas that you put in place are accessible to all americans. Well, if you look at canada, canada has a federal financing of each province and territory the budget for their health care delivery. That was Graham Cassidy in a lot of ways. So the canadian theyre responsible for delivery. People point at it and go we cant do that. Well, thats what theyre doing north of the border. All right. Simple question. Youve got one minute. I want you to redesign the u. S. Health care system from ground up. What does it look like . So what we would do, and this is what were trying to do with the healthiest cities and counties challenge, is what we would do is understand the disease burden, social and economic patterns of community. We would say okay, what does the system need to be like to support that. Central kentucky has some of the highest opioid addiction in america. So if we understand that disease burden, then we can design a system that works for that community and we can deliver that to the community in the most efficient way possible. Thats the investment. Understand the investment and then finance it. Well save money. And so if you think about that from the context of, you know, how we revolutionize the system, right now our governance model on health care at a federal level and a state level is not big enough and not robust enough to manage the economy of health care. Which is now 17 bigger number, 18 of the gdp of this country. So when we run into issues where our governance models in our companies, in our governments, in our economies are not sufficient to govern properly, then you have people saying we need a new world order. I would argue its the exact opposite. You have to go back to community. You have to go back local. You have to be in the community, in the neighborhoods talking to people about what matters and do it for them, not because we have some idea of the idealistic version of health and how it all ought to work from the national level. It doesnt work that way. What are you watching next . What do you think is the next move we should be paying attention to right now . In health care . Yes. I think theres bipartisan work going on. I know that for a fact. Ive spent time with senators who are working on it. I think that will be the next step. I think we just to continue to support a bipartisan solution because they can be touched every year and they can be fixed and they can be tweaked because its a joint effort for the American People. When its not bipartisan, thats when things blowup. All right. Mark, thank you very much. [ applause ] please welcome the mayor of washington, d. C. , muriel bowser. Thank you. I want to thank you for the invitation to be with you today. I am so happy every time we have a collection of the nations most prestigious innovators and thought leaders and business politics and media and that you choose to meet in our fair city. I know that you wouldnt be here at this conference if you were not also committed to the things that we champion in our city and thats innovation, inclusion and solutions. And we share this commitment with you. Since my first days as mayor of d. C. , i have committed our city to these big ideas as well. Part of what i want you to take with you today, to your towns and cities and the work that you do is who exactly we are and what we near washington, d. C. I tell people this all the time. We are not your grandfathers washington. We are more than a government town. In fact, we are a Business Capital that is experiencing unprecedented growth. Its one of the Fastest Growing and most exciting local economies anywhere in this country. We are a leading city for industries in the professional services, for nonprofits, hospitality companies, technology, and retail. We are moving Big Development projects in all areas of our city. On october the 12th we are going to reinvigorate the potomac waterfront with the opening of the wharf. Projects like walter reed and st. Elizabeth are moving forward and we are attracting wonderful innovative tenants and we are a Thriving Community thats Getting Better and growing stronger every day. Every month we attract about 1,000 new residents to add to our 680,000 people in washington, d. C. We have big goals for inclusion in our city as well. Over half of the d. C. s work force is head up of women and over half of its work force is made up of people of color. We still have a long way to go in celebrating and growing our inclusion, but we know that women make up just 37 of checks tech jobs that people of color only 28 . And we know that this is a niche in washington, d. C. That we want to grow. Some big projects that have been announced, for example in tech, yelp announced it would open its first east coast office. Apple recently announced plans to revive the carnegie library. D. C based fiscal note confirmed plans to stay in washington, d. C. Amazon Just Announced that it will open its Second Headquarters in washington, d. C. [ applause ] that was i want wanting to see if you were awake. Because while it hasnt been announced yet, we are competing and we are competing hard. So you go back and tell them, why d. C. And you will say its obviously d. C. Obviously d. C. Have a great day. [ applause ] ladies and gentlemen, please welcome spencer, and jillian white. Good morning. I want to start with a bigger question. I want to talk about the culture of housing and the culture of real estate. I would say about 50 to 60 of the cab rides i have and some some of the why is housing and real estate at the center of so much of American Culture . Well, its primal for starters. Shelter is something everybody has a need for. So it starts with the emotional attachment that people have to where they live, but then it quickly shifts into the economic as well. Its a huge part of the economy. For most people its their most valuable asset. So its the combination of those two. That actually that dichotomy or that combination is where we got our thing. Zillow plays on that. Zillions of pillows. And that reflects the two sides of real estate. The right brain, where you rest your head at night, can i see my kids growing up in this house and zillions is the left brain. Its the data and the combination of those two things that is real estate and why its so important to our society. Ive already learned something today. Mission accomplished. So we spent the better part 69 past decade kind of worrying about the Housing Market, stressing out about it, putting lots of negative adjectives in front of it. What is the health of Housing Market in your opinion right now . Its on fire. Let me give you stats. Home values are up 7 . More than half of the country is past peak value. More than half of the homes in the u. S. Are worth more than they were at the end of 2007ish peak. That having been said, home sales are actually slowing because theres not enough inventory. It seems like everyone has a personal story about how limited inventory is. Limited Inventory Means home values are spiking. The reason for all that is through the downturn builders stopped building. We used to have a million or so new homes built a year. We dropped down for a couple of years. Theres a huge lack of inventory. When builders started building again a couple years ago they started building at the high end. Theres very little inventory at the low tier and mid tier and that creates a lot of local crises like Affordable Housing because of limited inventory. What are the solutions that you think could be put in place to create an incentive to accurate that at the lower or the beginning end . Well, the biggest governmental solution is more in seattle people are complaining about the lack of Affordable Housing as i understand they do in d. C. Then you look around seattle and there are all these threes everywhere. If we want more Affordable Housing youre got to cut down some of the trees to build big buildings. That would change the nature of seattle. And so more Affordable Housing starts with development and building more buildings. Credit availability is the other side of this coin and theres no question that its harder to gets mortgage than it was during the last peak. It actually is a bit of the return to the prebubble normal. So if you can document your income and you have income, you can basically get a mortgage. So our view is that overall Credit Availability isnt really that bad. Its just less available than it was during the prior bubble. Who is buying homes . So anyone who can find a home that they can afford, but millennials are buying. I think theres a common misconception that millennials, they rent music and they rent tv shows and they ride share on cars and so maybe they dont buy homes. Thats just the data doesnt support that. Millennials are the biggest cohort of home buyers. Theyve bought over 500nd 500 million of real estate. Theyre buying later so theyre buying bigger. Theyre basically skipping the starter home. Theyre renting a couple more years and when they go to buy theyre buying what would have been considered a second third home. Are they making such a large portion of first time home buyers because its so large and theyre the group that is of age and doesnt already have a home . Yes. Theyre also dual tracking. Millennials, but everyone overall is getting creative because theres to little inventory. If youre a traditional buyer, you have to be patient. Theyre submitting multiple offer. Typical buyer searches for four months. Thats longer than usual. About a third of millennials are borrowing the down payment. More than a third are exceeding their budget. Theyre buying house they cant really afford without borrowing the down payment. Then over 60 dual track. This is a phenomenon we hadnt seen. Dual tracking means people are looking at buying or renting simultaneously. And this is a really interesting cultural phenomenon because it sort of it reflects the fact that people no longer view that trees will only grow to the sky around housing. In other words, if you think home values maybe some day will be flat or even down like they were during the recession, then does it really matter if i own or rent . Im going to pay 2,000nd a month to the landlord or to the Mortgage Service or to the bank, so im going to consider dual tracking. As i say, over 60 of millennials are looking at buying or renting side by side. Do you think theres any long term danger, borrowing or i know you said you have a new report, borrowing from family members and doing a couple different things. Sometimes putting down really low down payments . When i look at the economics of a lot of millennials, some of them are out of work for quite some time. Wages have just started to tick up a little bit. A lot of them have a ton of student debt. As you said a lot are renting for longer especially in major cities where their jobs are. It doesnt really create a recipe for a ton of savings to put down on these now pretty expensive homes. Are you at all concerned with whats going to happen there . Well, let me compare this peak with the last peak. The short answer is not really. Heres why. The last peak in 2007 which again were basically at those home value levels was built on a foundation of sand. It was built on easy credit. The Home Ownership rates was in the low 60 range. The homeowner rate went up to about 70 . Those people bought homes because they were able to get mortgages they never should have gotten. Through the downturn, basically tennish Million People lost their homes because they never should have bought homes in the first place and the homeownership rate returned. This spike in home values which brought us back to the same overall level is built on lack of supply and strong demand. Its not based on easy credit. And so this recovery has a lot more just a much stronger foundation. Sure, i worry about people stretching for a down payment or borrowing for a down payment or buying homes outside their budget. Housing is so much more healthy even at the same dollar value than was in 2007. Earlier you said lack of supply. Sometimes those terms make me nervous. Are you at all worried about bubble conditions . We think it will slow down. Our forecast for next month is in the 4 to 5 so lower than 7 . Our data does not forecast a decline in home values. No, were not worried the way we were in 2007. So you guys are tracking the thoughts and kind of homeownership or home buying purchases of the next generation which i didnt even realize generation z was old enough to think about homes or renting but it turns out they are. Who do you define as generation z . Look out millennials, were already talking about generation z. 22 or 23 is kind of cutoff. People graduating from college just entering the work force. And they obviously are mostly renters are people typically are at that life stage. The research on gen z which was published in this report we just put out t really shows they have traditional views of homeownership. They aspire to own a home. They do not you know, the media tends to report on oh to over extrapolate from other parts of the economy where millennials and gen z tend to share. They believe its an important part of the american dream. Perhaps we dont really have data, but we hypothesize that they will have a higher ownership rate than millennials because they have a lot of scar tissue from the downturn. They came of age and said why would i want to buy a house, i dont want to catch a falling knife, forget it, ill just rent. It took many years for them to move out of that. Z doesnt know what the Great Recession was. They were five. They dont understand the term negative equity. So for them owning just seems like a more stable then i wont have to worry about my rent going up, i know what ill have to pay every month and i wont have to worry about getting kicked out by my landlord. I can put my pictures on the wall and not worry about damage to my rental. So we hypothesize that that do you think theyll start buying sooner . I feel like a lot of millennials didnt start buying until their mid to late 30s. If generation z is already thinking about this, when are they buying . They would like to buy sooner but theres little inventory and price points they can afford. They are already searching. Traffic on our site from that cohort is huge. They are looking. But theyre also dual tracking. A lot of the lines around ownership of assets have become blurred. This is the airbnb phenomenon. Do you think theres any validity to the fear that a lot of millennials have, they dont want to buy at the top of the market and have the slightest amount of negative equity. Do you think thats fair or do you think absolutely. Everyone when youre in a search process for four months and youve been on eight homes and youve gotten outbid eight times and youre getting read to make that ninth bid, youre absolutely worried about getting out over your skis and overbidding just to win the house. Then what . Then you overpaid for a house. Its a huge concern. Theres not much you can do because if you want to get the house you basically have to overbid in these marketings. Its totally a risk. Do you think the technology can help with this issue . I know a lot of people who are looking for houses. They spend their entire time glued to their phones. Thats great. Theyre probably looking at zillow. Thats fine. Yes. So heres how i look at t. Every other sector of the economy has been revolutionized by a smartphone. I push a button and my food gets delivered. I put a button and my podcast has been downloaded. Younger people but really all americans that have become so accustomed to that, they dont understand why the real estate transaction is so complicated. Whats escrow and whats Title Insurance and preinspection and all this is way more complicated. Even buying a car has become relatively simple thanks to the internet. We at zillow see that, obviously. Were trying to innovate on all that. Were deep into the paperless transaction. We have a service that does electronic transaction. Its deep in the real estate space. Most real estate transactions now are closed using electronic. And were pretty good up front at the search process of helping people triage the search. But theres that whole messy middle which hasnt been innovated on by the industry or disrupters like us. Imagine a world where you can actually youre looking at a home on zillow, you can look at a home and buy it. What might that do to the ownership rate. If buying a home was as simple as handling an uber, were trying. It requires this very complex process which includes financing which is highly regulated and very complex and all of it has to be torn down and rebuilt in a push button way. I imagine you would face a lot of resistance or fear. Im nervous to turn on my amazon one click settings for fear of what i have to do. Maybe well have a confirm. Are you sure you want to buy this . Their patent has expired now. So now we can have one click i suppose. Yes, we definitely have to figure that one out. Im quite sure that consumer demand for a simplified real estate process is huge. That of that complexity is good for the industry. Its good for incumbents that benefit from that confusion and complexity. Were all about innovating for the consumer and prioritizing for her. We call her beth. If you go around at our office youll see posters of beth the buyer and youll see all her demographic information. Shes who we live for beth. Thats how we do all of our product planning and strategy. Beth doesnt want to buy a house the way shes been buying a house. She wants it to be much more seamless. A few years ago there were trends we thought were going to happen. One was going to be boomers and Older Americans deciding they didnt want their big sprawling mansions in the suburbs and downsizing. The other was millennials and younger workers deciding i never want to go to the suburbs, im going to stay right here. Im wondering are you actually seeing the fulfillment of both of those trends . Yes but theyve been swamped by the lack of supply issue. So when you have three to five years of an a accumulated 500,000 home start per year deficit, youre missing two to three houses that should be there. That trend swamps any other thats limited supply. This may be a selfish question. You think a year or two out in the Housing Market, what do you think is the biggest story thats happening there . Thats a good question. A year or two from now. You know, there are a lot of companying includes us that are innovating on a quicker sale process where a seller can sell their home to an investor buyer within days. Were testing that in a couple markets and that might become something big. Thanks so much for joining me. Thank you. [ applause ] next up a session produced by our underwriter. I was on my way out of this life. When i was first diagnosed, i felt paralyzing fear. You hear these stories all the time. Back in 1988 the only thing i could think of was im going to be dead in six months. I see how scare the challenge itself is what keeps me going. Every day i think how fortunate i am. This is something i am really passionate about. My donors mom says you were meant to carry his story. It took a very long time for me to get back up. 29 years later, here i am. When those patients come to me and say you saved my life my life was saved by a two week old targeted therapy drug. Thats what really drives me to save lives. Please welcome to the stage ted johnson, bio pharmaceutical researcher for pfizer. And lori riley, executive Vice President of policy research and membership for pharma. [ applause ] good morning and thank you for being here. My name is lori riley. Im the executive Vice President for research at pharma. And im joined on the stage here today with two gentlemen who you probably recognize from the video that you just saw. To my immediate left is matt hisnay who was a patient treated with a targeted therapy for lung cancer. To his left is dr. Ted johnson, a researcher from pfizer. Welcome both of you here today. Matt, talk to us a little bit about what it felt like getting that initial diagnosis and what transpired over the weeks and months after. So it was six years ago in the summertime. I was 24 years old. I had developed this persistent dry cough around independence day. So i had my internist check it out in the month of august. A chest xray led to a ct led to a biopsy and on august 17th, 2011 i was told i had cancer. I wasnt told what type of cancer. That reveal came about a week later on august 26th when i was told that i had stage four lung cancer. So that essentially meant that from my neck to my torso was chockfull of cancer. My oncologist told me that he was going to send my tumor away for a test for a mutation that had been under a lot of research and if i had it i would qualify for a new targeted therapy drug. While waiting for the test, i had become very sick. I actually stopped breathing. I was resuscitated. I was in the intensive care unit for about 21 days. About nine days in i was told i had that mutation. The drug was overnighted and here i am today. [ applause ] thank you. Pretty remarkable coincidence that on august 26th, the day i was told i had lung cancer, that drug was fda approved. So ted, talk to us a little bit about why did you decide to become a biomedical researcher. Battling cancer is very personal to me. About 17 years ago i lost my mother to colon cancer. At the time the treatments were basically surgery after surgery, long recovery times, traditional followed by traditional chemo therapies. She was sick most of the time. Those chemotherapies were very harsh and toxic. That really drove me to want to work in the pharmaceutical industry to really help patients and make their lives better. So one of the Great Stories and obviously why you both are here today is, ted, you were part of the team that actually brought the medicine that treated matt to market. Can you talk a little bit about the process of getting a medicine from conception to actually being in a patient like matt. Sure. Soto give you an idea, i have worked at pfizer for 16 years and in that time ive worked on about ten oncology projects. Only one project has made it to phase one clinical trials. And thats with hundreds of researchers working on that project. And thats just the start of the difficult process. The difficult process is getting through the fda phase one, two, and three, and then getting approved. So its very challenging. Its very costly. Its very time consuming. But we beat the odds and that one drug that i had going to phase one is now in phase three and is treating matt. Thats great. Its often not the case that a patient actually gets to meet a person that actually helped make the product that theyre on. In your case, matt, helped save your life. I know recently you met. Today isnt the first day you met. Can you tell us what it was like when you actually got to meet each other face to face. Yeah. We met earlier this year. Its always exciting for me to meet someone that had a direct impact in my care, but being a scientist myself, being able to meet a fellow scientist who had created a molecule that without i would very likely not be speaking to you all today is quite remarkable. And so ill do then excuse me, ill do now what i did then and say ted, thank you for saving my life. [ applause ] ted, how about you . I dont get to meet patients often, if at all. So it was really interesting to see how healthy matt looked when i first met him. He showed me the pills that he was taking. I hadnt seen that before either. So i think you have to have a sense of sort of where we are today in oncology versus, say, 16 years ago. With traditional chemotherapies. Matt is taking an oral drug once a day and his quality of life is very good with very few side effects. And so to me thats very rewarding and inspirational. I agree. Okay. So lori, every day you work to sort of sculpt Public Policy to help researchers like myself and patients like matt. Can you give us an idea of what the policy environment needs to be for researchers to continue to tackle the toughest health care problems. Thats a great question. I think for me, like probably many of you in the audience, these issues are personal. Its hard not to know someone in your family or a friend who has suffered from a condition. For me it was my mom who passed away three years ago from als, a condition that today they really are hardly any treatments for. Certainly none that are curative. I think its important that there is an environment that sustains into the future. As ted mentioned, bringing a medicine to market takes a long time. Its significant risk involved. The cost is very, very significant. Somewhere in the neighborhood of 2. 5 billion to get a new medicine to market. Its important that we have an environment that allows researchers to continue doing what theyre doing. And theres lots of things that help ensure that environment. Of course we have to make sure that we have a food and Drug Administration that can review these new medicines. The science is changing rapidly, so the fda has to be able to keep up with where the science is going. We have to make sure that once the medicine actually gets approved for use in patients that patients can get access to it and that they can afford those medicines. We have to also make sure we have an intellectual property system that values innovation and allows companies to recoup that significant investment. We also have to have an adequate trade and economic agenda that ensures that the u. S. Pharmaceutical industry can compete globally. All of those things and quite honestly many more are vital to ensure that in the future researchers like ted can continue to do their work so that patients like matt have the opportunity to live for hopefully a very long time. Thats the plan. So if you can all join me in thanking both ted and matt for being here today. We appreciate it. [ applause ] next up, please welcome to the stage general David Petraeus here with cnn anchor and chief washington correspondent jake tapper. Thank you so much, everyone. Thank you, general. You got your interview, jake. Ive been trying to get an interview with him for ten years. So thanks, washington for allowing me to final get an interview with him. I want to start with an issue that is a domestic issue that i just wonder what you think of it. Which is this debate going on largely led by President Trump about players who protest during the national anthem. I ask you because obviously you have decades in military service and also youre somebody who has, when moveon. Org was attacking you back when you were leading the search in iraq you are somebody who has felt the slings and arrows the first amendment. So whats your take . Well, you know what i said back then when someone asked me at the National Press club what did you feel when you opened up the New York Times because i still read newspapers in those days, and i was getting ready for what was going to be a very, very pressure packed hearing, and i remember opening it up. I thought about it for a while. My response to the press was look, i feel very privileged to have spent at that time, i dont know what it was, 30 plus years serving in the military to defend the rights, the freedoms that we hold so dear, including the freedom of expression which includes moveon. Org to be allowed to buy a full page ad in the New York Times that attacks me personally, not just the policy. If you translate into this situation i feel the same way. I have to say im sort of disappointed that now we have politicized football. As mike wrote in a wonderful oped the other day, it was the only two hours when he would go the game and lose himself in the game. At the end of the day for the spectators, it is a game. I got it that its a profession for those on the field. But its something that brought people together. Now were seeing actions that really are dividing them. So in that sense im sort of disappointed. I hope we can turn the heat down and get back to enjoying football and people not having to make political statements at the beginning of the games. The north korean [ applause ] the north korean crisis is obviously foremost on the minds of military right now. To a lot of our friends in europe and in other parts of the world, they see this crisis as two erratic, unstable world leaders, kim jongun and President Trump, squaring off each other, against each other and theyre afraid of how its going to end. Is that a fair way to look at this crisis, and what do you think of President Trump matching in some cases the rhetoric that we have been that weve come to get used to from north korea . Well, a couple items here. First of all, to put this in context and to be fair to this administration, i think you have to acknowledge they are facing a reality that no other president has faced previously and that is this individual kim jongun impulsive at the very least, i dont think suicidal, and thats a pretty important assessment at the end of the day, but clearly given to extraordinary measures if you remember how his half brother was killed with nerve agent to the face in an airport and the maniacal way he executed his uncle. Who was his mentor and was getting too much power. He will have the capability to hold at risk a u. S. City, at least on the west coast, if not further in, with the combination of the Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles hes developing and Nuclear Device that is miniaturized, noting that the one that was exploded a couple weeks ago was at least 12 times the size of the bomb that was dropped to end world war ii in hiroshima. This is a very big deal. And i think the administration has sought to not just get his attention, because i dont think anyone is under the illusion that he is going to stop doing what hes doing because we amp up the volume. I think its really more about getting chinas attention. And making china realize this is a strategically Important Development to us and youve got to help us stop this where it is at the very least, get to some negotiations and see where we can take it in the future. Do you think President Trumps rhetoric is aimed at getting president xis attention more than president kims attention . Very much so. And this is where the mention of military options, Everybody Knows obviously there are military options. Everybody also knows theyre all very ugly to describe them. The proximity of seoul to the Demilitarized Zone is much less than it was. Its almost a 25 million person megalopolis, depending on where you draw the circle, that is pushed closer and closer north to the dmz over recent decades, and the thousands of just conventional, this is without nuclear, biological, or chemical weapons, just the sheer number of artillery rockets and missiles would be devastating in terms of losses in the korean population. Now were looking at the kind of range that could hit a u. S. City. This is about china which controls the umbilical cord that literally keeps the lights on in pyongyang and reducing that and implementing the sanctions that the u. N. Security council has approved, which are quite substantial, if implemented, china also should really keep in mind the strategic implications of this if this is not stopped where it is. When does south korea ask for its own Nuclear Weapons . Either the return of ours or its own Nuclear Program. What about japan, which is already reinterpreted its constitution to allow at least the collective selfdefense with their allies, the u. S. . What about the additional defensive measures . China doesnt like the term thad going into south korea. The newly elected leader halted that deployment at two of the six launchers. Now all four additional ones are going in. Theres going to be much more. So and then what happens again with vietnam . Do they need a Nuclear Program . So the proliferation aspects to this, the strategic implications, i think are quite stark. As one who very much wants to see proliferation limited rather than expanded because you never know ultimately some extremist is going to get his hands on even if its just dirty bomb materials. These are individuals who have shown a willingness to blow themselves up on the battle field to takes us with them. What would cause them to hesitate at all using some weapon of mass destruction or the components of it . And yet it seems as though based on chinas own government documents that they are not limiting trade with north korea to the degree that would change the behavior of kim jongun and his regime. Theyve came out. Weve just seen the trade numbers for august were the largest since december, so not the direction that we were hoping to go. So they made the calculation. Well, we dont know yet. I think this is going to play out over months. Theres going to be a lot of intense diplomacy behind the scenes. We do need a Strategic Dialogue with china about this to understand their red line, that you cant have a hostile power in pyongyang. No reunification of the korean peninsula. No millions of refugees going across the river into china. But then theyve got to understand our red lines as well and see if together we cant figure a way to get him to halt where it is that he is now. And then see if we can move forward in a more constructive manner. President trump took to twitter a few days ago after hearing a north korean official speak at the United Nations and he tweeted something that had convinced the North Koreans that he had declared war on north korea. Are you ever worried, i know you have great faith in the generals around President Trump, mcmaster, kelly and mattis, but are you ever concerned that President Trump may say or tweet something that could seriously escalate this crisis . First of all, by the way, i am very comfortable with the generals that are in the positions. I dont think as a general proposition that thats always great. These generals are really extraordinary. I served with all of them in the battlefield multiple times. John kelly was a Division Commander in Anbar Province in the surge in the marines. Hr mcmaster in the surge in afghanistan, same with his deputy, a brilliant rhodes scholar, top of his class at west point. Successful businessman, two star in the reserves. These are really good people. Obviously jim mattis and others. So very Strong National security team. Arguably as good as any in recent memory, if not better. And frankly, i think the policy process and the policy outcomes generally are quite rational. Now, there is something to the socalled its actually called the mad man logic, if you will. Before you get into a crisis, its not all that bad if the other side thinks youre a little bit edgy. And nixon had kissinger go tell the soviets hes under a lot of pressure, he has a drink after dinner. You know, be careful. Walk on eggshells around this guy, and they sort of did. You avoid getting into a crisis. The problem is if you do get into a crisis, you dont want the other side thinking that youve taken the slack out of the trigger already and youre going to do something that otherwise might be irrational because they may do it to you first. So thats where my concern is. So the rhetoric has to be modulated and some of the statements are what i necessarily would have advised. [ laughter ] Great Potential as a diplomat. It was lovely how he said that, wasnt it . We all have our own ways of saying it, i suppose. I want to ask you about the president s latest iteration of the travel ban. Which is quite different from how it was enunciated on the campaign trail and quite different from how it was introduced such as it was several months ago. I think theres logic to this, frankly. It includes some nonmuslim countries. The distinguishing feature of these countries is that we do not have the confidence in them with either the way they issue passports or biometric data or whatever it may be. So as has been announced, this list could grow. It could contract depending on how countries do in their responsibilities. I think theres a reasonable logic to this. Its not something that singles out countries because of their faith and so well see how it evolves as well. Im not sure that it is quite as significant, frankly. I dont think were taking huge number of individuals from the number of Different Countries to begin with. Again, there is some substance to this. Secretary mattis was in kabul and he was discussing troop levels in afghanistan. What would you recommend . We have over 10,000 troops in afghanistan right now, i believe. Somewhere between 10,000 and depending on your counting rules. Right. And obviously this is a big decision about what the president should do. Has the administration reached out to you to get your advice and what would you recommend . Actually, the administration has done what ive been calling for for some time publicly, and yes, i have obviously communication with folks in the administration. And that was to achieve a sustainable sustained commitment. Lets back up. We went to afghanistan for a reason and we stayed for a reason. This is where the 9 11 attacks were planned. When al qaeda it a sanctuary in eastern afghanistan when the taliban ruled the bulk of the country. We went in to make sure that was removed and stayed to ensure that it could not be reestablished. This is not about turning afghanistan into switzerland in ten years or less or anything like. Our objectives were to get to Afghan Security forces being able to secure the country to a good enough fashion to insure a sanctuary like that could not be reestablished, and to help afghan institutions get to a point where they can govern afghanistan in an afghan way to a good enough standard as well. And thats going to take time. This is a very, very challenging country. The distinguishing feature here is that we cant get to the leaders of the insurgent groups. Thats why i told congress as a Central Command commander and then in my confirmation hearing to be the commander in afghanistan that we would not be able to flip afghanistan the way we flipped iraq in the surge. We knew we could do what we did in iraq. We absolutely couldnt guarantee how long it would take. We felt if we changed the strategy, live with the people instead of consolidating, take back control instead of handing off faster and above all reconciliation with the sunni arab population that had been alienated by the central government. Give them an incentive to support the new iraq rather than oppose it. Thats what made the difference. Thats what drove violence down by over 80 over 18 months of the surge. Never had any sense that we would be able to achieve Something Like that in afghanistan. Very, very different situation. The Afghan Taliban south of the country in pakistan, and the haqqani network, taliban, the Islamic Movement ofuse beck astan, al qaeda in the heart of darkness. We want to be sure we keep them out of that sanctuary in afghanistan. We now have a policy that is sustainable in terms of blood and treasure. I strongly support what the president directed be done and it will enable a sustained commitment. Were engaged in a generational struggle here. We need to acknowledge this. This is not the fight of a decade. Much less a few years. And its a fight not just of course in afghanistan but in a number of other countries. In north africa, middle east, and central asia. And anywhere that there are ungoverned spaces there, extremists are going to exploit them. You have to do something about it. Because las vegas rules dont apply in those areas. What happens there doesnt stay there. We have to lead it. We have the unique capabilities to do that. By the way, now we are doing it in a way where were enabling others to do the fighting. Were advising, were assisting, were enabling, but were not doing the fighting in the front lines and that matters because that has to be sustainable and thats what were starting to achieve. Very quickly, when you talk about this is a generational struggle, i know you dont mean one generation. You mean several. Does that mean you think the American People and Congress Need to wrap their heads around the fact that in the same way that the u. S. Put troops in germany and korea for a decade generations long struggle against the soviet union and communist china, et cetera, that is the same way we need to think about the struggle against extremist islamic terrorism . I do. The analogies arent perfect. Obviously, those werent hot wars. These are. I see no alternative to us being engaged, advising, assisting and enabling. With these assets that we have built up during the course of the wars in iraq and afghanistan and elsewhere. I want to we should have a coalition, by the way the coalition should include muslim countries. This is more of a clash within a civilization. A fight for the heart of the islamic world than it is a clash of civilizations as sam hunting talked about. More for more muslims have been killed by islamist extremists than by those of other faiths. So this is something thats going to be enduring and we need to understand that, but thats why sustainability and a sustained commitment have to be the elements that guide our strategic thinking. You tell im bursting with questions, but we only have two more minutes. Rapid fire round. Im just going to hand it over to you for this. Youre the former director of the cia. I havent even gotten to that. Former director of the cia. What crosses your mind when you hear about the russian interference in the u. S. Election and the way that they exploited our own freedoms to influence the election . Very, very concerning. And of course we still dont really know all of it. Thats part of the investigation thats going on. Theyre now exploring what russia did so skillfully with facebook. To plant ads that were divisive. All of this is intended to divide our country rather than to enable our normal democratic processes to work, which can be somewhat partisan at times. As it is. So it is very, very concerning. Look, theres always been some of this activity thats gone on and, you know, far be it, we perhaps have engaged in some of that over the years as well, although nowhere remotely near what theyre doing, not certainly in recent decades. But this gets at the very heart of, again, the freedoms, the blessings, the system that we hold so dear and they are trying to take down that system. They see it as a threat to them. Enormous threat. And they employed very, very innovative and sdi obolically diobolically clever and very quite terrible activities to try to tear down the system that we have spent so much to build up. Ladies and gentlemen, former cia director david pa petraeus. Now, the founder and ceo of milk bar, christina tosi, here with derek thompson. Good morning. Wow. Good morning. Good morning, everyone. I am extremely excited for this interview, milk bar is one of new yorks most imporiums of dessert, and its flagship location is at 13th and second avenue, which happens to be eight blocks exactly north of my apartment, so im very excited to parlay this interview into a lifetime of free cookies. If youre not thats unethical. In case my boss is watching, im kidding. If youre not familiar with milk bars incredible lineup it includes cereal milk soft serve, corn flake chocolate chip marshmallow cookies, and the famous compost cookie, which is a Chocolate Chip Cookie that includes ingredients one might find in a compost. Coffee, chips and pretzels which happens to be my diet. How did you fall in love with baking . I was raised by an incredible family, strong women. The matriarchs in my family cooked every meal, but more importantly, they loved to bake. We have really sweet teeth in my family. Baking was sort of our love language. It was what we did for other people, for the communities we were a part of. I was the youngest so i was the lowest in the pecking order so i was always ushered into the kitchen. Sit on this stool. Hold this wooden spoon. So the spirit of baking for me is like this very warm, nurturing spirit. Its the place that makes me happy. Spending time in the kitchen. We had a couple Companies Come in yesterday, bowing, x, the research lab at alphabet. Which is next to google. Both famous for their r d labs. Their research and development. When you think of research and development, you think massive tech companies. You guys have an r d lab. You gotta have an r d lab. Tell us a little bit about what you do there. I mean, our entire kitchen at milk bar, we have a kitchen in new york city, we have an insane kitchen just around the corner here in d. C. Each of our kitchens has like an r d area. For me, the spirit of innovation and creativity is what makes me sort of tick. Im a very right brain, left brain person. Milk bar is very much an extension of me, so being creative and exercising that part of the brain is like, comes hand in hand with the business. Its something we put a lot of value in because what we do is, like, has ordinary roots. But is extraordinary, and having that thoughtful time to say like, how can we reinvent the apple pie and how can we like take chocolate cake and push it even further, is just as important to us as making you a fresh delicious compost cookie every single day. The Restaurant Industry is on fire. Its added more jobs than health care. I feel like every single city in america thinks its going through a restaurant renaissa e renaissance, indeed, most of them are. That also means theres enormous competition. Everybody can make a cookie, maybe not a good one. But anybody can make a cookie. Yes, true. Im wondering, what is your theory for what makes milk bar stand apart . You know, i opened milk bar nine years ago in new york city and my real goal was to i always had this dream of opening a bakery. I didnt want, like, a pony or to be a princess as a kid. I wanted my own bakery. I wanted a Cash Register to punch in the numbers. My mom is an accountant. So like the numbers end of it was did you have a bakery as a girl on the street . No, my mom wouldnt even like let me have an easy bake oven. Shes like, youre going to learn the work the real oven and thats all there is to it. So i have this, like, entrepreneurial spirit in me at an early age but i knew that my voice was through food. My personality, i went to Culinary School and i worked in high end fine dining restaurants. And paid my dues. But for me i knew my voice and my spirit is much more accessible than that. Im very much a food for the people. But i wanted to open a bakery that added something. Like, i could make a great Chocolate Chip Cookie. But you have already had everyone has had a great Chocolate Chip Cookie and everyone has their favorite Chocolate Chip Cookie. Rather than compete with the great chocolate cookie, it was about how do i take the spirit of that and do more to it. How do i add to the dialogue. How do you create something that doesnt exist in this world that challenges the way that we think about this world, the food in it and what a cookie can and cant be. And for me thats a very big part of the business mentality of milk bar that i have built and grown. Anyone can make a cookie but for me i am a very, very trained pastry chef that brings the spirit of home baking into milk bar. And we do it with this love and spirit and this care, and we know why were doing it. I think thats what separates us. We started like this baking rev lose nine years ago, so everyone, you know, like the bakeries that come after us, and this like insane, exciting, electric emerging food scene is something were so excited to have helped start and to continue the conversation of. And to support these great insane talented younger generations of chefs and entrepreneurs that are trying to carve out a space for themselves in the food industry. Thats great. My sort of sort of philosophical theory for why milk bar has become so popular because i lived in new york for five years, i watched it grow. You have 12 locations in new york alone, had always been the idea that when youre a kid, and youre just learning how to cook, your approach to cooking is like, whatever is in the kitchen, right . Yeah. You go into the kitchen, you want to make a cake. Youre like, i have chocolate chips, i have pretzels. I have potato chips, sure, and i have coffee grounds. Okay, fine, ill pull it all together into a thing. And the thing that you make when youre 6 years old with those ingredients are absolutely terrible. You guys make a really elegant version of it. And so in a way, you capture a beautiful, elegant version of the most familiar thing in the world to people, which is just being in your kitchen and rooting around for ingredients and trying to put them together in a new way. Yeah, i think for me its about capturing the spirit of those little moments in life that make you feel warm and safe and loved and comfortable and make life feel like a big smile. Feel a little bit lighter if its feeling heavy. We always joke at milk bar, our mission is to make life a little bit sweeter. Obviously, through the sugar in a cookie, or a slice of layer cake or a slice of crack pie. But also in our attitude towards life and customer service, where people are coming to milk bar, because theyre having a great day, and its our job to make it better or theyre coming to milk bar because theyre not having such a great day and theyre looking to us to bring that lightness and that permission for just a moment to let it all go. And we do that through our food. We joke, like, when things are getting very intense, building this insane, like, milk bar empire, that when things get really crazy, then were like, you know, what were making cookies, what we do has a lightness and a joy, and it reminds us to even take a moment to not take ourselves so seriously. And thats helpful. And we give people the permission to my goal is, i want you to come to milk bar, be inspired and say, like, why cant i go home and rummage through the pantry and feel inspired to be creative . And to take a risk and to put myself out there. I think giving people sometimes the reminder and the permission to do that is important. Food is just my vehicle in translating that message. So let me put myself in the position of an investor. Now, im looking im looking at the millennial generation, which is probably a disproportionate part of your sales, people under 35, maybe. Maybe not. Im looking at this growing cohort. And theyre thought of as being a healthy generation. Or at least trying to communicate their health. Theyre going to soul cycle, theyre going to flywheel. Theyre into the next greatest green, whether its kale or baby lettuce. Theyre obsessed with not only being healthy dont forget quinoa. I would never forget quinoa. But theyre obsessed with this idea of both being and projecting health. Yeah. How does a cereal milk soft serve company fit into that picture . Well, one, most people dont realize, but the cereal milk soft serve, an entire portion of it is 145 calories. We dont talk about it. We dont promote it like that, because its not about caloriecounting when you come into milk bar. But i think what you said, theres a few interesting things about that. I look at this millennial generation. Its about you could put it into this bucket of like its about being healthy. But i look at it more as them being a generation of, like, living their best life as opposed like, certainly health and wellbeing, acknowledging this, like, pursuit of balance in their life is important. But if you think about, like, the price to entry for, like, a 10 or 12 salad or a 30 or 40 workout class, all of those things are an indulgence. Theyre just a different indulgence than coming to get a cookie. And for me, its the work hard play hard mentality about it. You cant ride a bicycle and sweat it out for an hour a day and only eat a salad. You need this balance of your life. But all of those moments bring the participant joy, right . You go to soul cycle and you leave like, im a boss, i feel like a pro, im empowered to take on the world. You go to milk bar for your corn flake chocolate chip marshmallow cookie. You have it, it brings this lightness. You know you worked hard for it. Its a special moment you carved out in your day, and it empowers you in a same but different way, in a wellrounded way. I think its about being wellrounded. Were just seeing the more like, wow, are we that excited about salad . Yes, we are. Are we that excited about cereal milk soft . Yes, we are. Its about being mindful of moments in your life when you have the opportunity to make a decision and say, like, whats going to make me feel great about my day and great about myself. And having the power to make those decisions, i think, is what sort of is the culmination. Its about living your best life. I live seven minutes away from the nearest there was a little clap, yes. I live about seven minutes away from the closest milk bar. Ive timed it. And youre seven minutes away from living your best life. Yep. Which yeah, a mile run for me, i guess, or a mile walk. But its interesting, because i feel like even though i live so close to the nearest milk bar, i see more milk bar on instagram than i do in the neighborhood. Its just so prevalent on social media. And, you know, people take pictures of the most beautiful candy. They dont take an instagram yourself with oreos or twizzlers. I do. Im just joking. Could you imagine milk bar having the same rate of growth if it werent for instagram . Do you need instagram in order to keep up your current rate of growth . I think that instagram for us is just a really fun way for our voice to travel further and wider than before. I mean, i always laugh about it, because when i opened milk bar nine years ago, instagram wasnt an app that probably anyone in this room had downloaded on their phone. In the same way that, like, food wasnt this buzzy, exciting thing nine years ago. Its become this revolution. And for me, instagram is a really fun way to reach more people. We have stores in new york, we have a store here in d. C. In las vegas and toronto. And we ship everywhere in the United States. But instagram is like this instant connective point in someones day to, like, reach you. You cant get your hands on a confetti cookie, so you go on instagram to, like, get your fix. I mean, were visual people, right . I eat with my eyes first. Or at least thats the thing that draws me in. And its a way and a moment for me milk bar is more than the food that we serve. It is its a feeling, its an approach. Its arguably a lifestyle. And instagram for us is just an insane and incredible tool to round out, like, why you feel special when you have a slice of crack pie, when you walk the mile, or you run the mile and youre like, i earned this slice of crack pie, im going in. Its that moment where you can, like, share or celebrate or that you can learn and participate. Even if you only have a minute and youre not trying to go on a run. What do you see is the future of food . There are people who are thinking about selfdriving cars. There are lots of Companies Working on drones. Is the future of food for you can you imagine in 20 years milk bar cookies being delivered by drone and sort of selfdriving ovens, canvassing the streets of manhattan . 100 . Like, beyond manhattan. Okay. I first of all, i love where technology has taken us in the past five years, ten years. You think about, like, how quickly the world changes from daytoday, and weektoweek. As, like, the ceo of milk bar, im constntdly making my fiveyear plan, my tenyear plan, where am i taking the company, but the wild world of food changes every single day and every single time something new happens. For me, the dream of a freshly baked cookie coming from a drone out of the sky, like, nothing could be more magical and powerful. You come to our r d kitchen, you can practically go swimming in a tub of rainbow sprinkles. You can almost drown in cake batter. Bringing that magic, finding that way to bring more of that magic to people, i think, will is certainly the future of food. Experience. Like, food experiences are going to continue to be something that grows and builds in the future of food. I think people were always going to come in and out of these fads of food, whether its what green, what grain, what sugar, is it glutenfree, is it vegan, is it not. Is butter good for us or bad for us . Those things will always change. But i think bringing the emotion of food out and making it into an experience will continue to see that in the most exciting way possible. And i look at that at one of my biggest, most exciting challenges. Cristina, thank you so much. Thank you. Thank you. [ applause ] sunday night on after words. Over 90 of Sexual Harassment cases end up in settlements. And what does that mean . That means that the woman pretty much never works in her chosen career ever again. And she can never talk about it. Shes gagged. Now, how else do we solve Sexual Harassment suits . We put in arbitration clauss in Employment Contracts which make it a secret proceeding so again, nobody ever finds out about it. If you file a complaint. You can never talk about it ever. Nobody ever knows what happened to you, and in most cases, youre also terminated from the company, and the predator in many cases is left to still work in the same position in which he was harassing you. So this is the way our society has decided to resolve Sexual Harassment cases. To gag women so that we can fool everyone else out there that we have come so far in 2017. Former fox news host Gretchen Carlson talks about Sexual Harassment in her new book be fierce, stop harassment and take your power back. Shes interviewed by Washington Post columnist sally quinn. Watch after words sunday night at 9 00 eastern on cspan2s book tv. The center for strategic and International Studies hosted a discussion with scholars and Security Experts on the Current Situation in libya. They talked about how libyas past policies shape the current security and political environment. This is abou h