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Inflation: Bogeyman or Legit Threat?

Inflation: Bogeyman or Legit Threat?
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Inflation: Official Statistics Misrepresent Real Rates

(Andrzej Rostek/Getty Images)
Setting the record straight on Purchasing Power Parity.
The year 2020 ended with an inflation bang in the 14 countries listed on Hanke’s Inflation Dashboard. To qualify for entry, a country had to end the year with an annual inflation rate of 25 percent or more. I made the measurements of each country’s inflation by using high-frequency, free-market exchange-rate data in combination with Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory. For countries with elevated inflation rates, the PPP method has proven very accurate and reliable.
It is important to stress that my PPP inflation measures diverge from the last recorded official measures for each country (see the table below). For example, the accurate PPP inflation rate for Argentina on December 31, 2020, was 120 percent per year, whereas the last officially reported inflation rate, for November 2020, was 35.8 percent per year. Why was there such a huge gap between my PPP measuremen ....

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Hanke's Inflation Dashboard: Official Statistics Misrepresent Real Inflation Rates

Hanke’s Inflation Dashboard: Official Statistics Misrepresent Real Inflation Rates
Steve H. Hanke
© Andrzej Rostek/Getty Images
The year 2020 ended with an inflation bang in the 14 countries listed on Hanke’s Inflation Dashboard. To qualify for entry, a country had to end the year with an annual inflation rate of 25 percent or more. I made the measurements of each country’s inflation by using high-frequency, free-market exchange-rate data in combination with Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory. For countries with elevated inflation rates, the PPP method has proven very accurate and reliable.
It is important to stress that my PPP inflation measures diverge from the last recorded official measures for each country (see the table below). For example, the accurate PPP inflation rate for Argentina on December 31, 2020, was 120 percent per year, whereas the last officially reported inflation rate, for November 2020, was 35.8 percent per year. Wh ....

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Venezuela's Hyperinflation Continues to Ravage Its Economy

(Marco Bello/Reuters)
Plus, some thoughts on equities and inflation.
Venezuela remains at the summit of my monthly list of the world’s top inflators those countries in which I measure the annual rates of inflation to exceed 25 percent per year. The country is still firmly in the grip of hyperinflation, with an annual inflation rate of 2,436 percent by my measure. That sky-high rate shows little sign of abating. Indeed, from November 12 until December 17, Venezuela registered 34 consecutive days in which the monthly inflation rate exceeded 50 percent.
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Faced with hyperinflation, Venezuelans prefer the greenback over the bolívar. As a result, I estimate that 80 percent of all transactions in Venezuela take place in U.S. dollars. Since the country has spontaneously “dollarized,” President Nicolás Maduro has begun to seriously consider official dollarization, something I recommended way back in 1995 when I was President Rafael Caldera ....

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Hanke's Inflation Dashboard: Venezuela Still Leads

Hanke’s Inflation Dashboard: Venezuela Still Leads
Steve H. Hanke
© Marco Bello/Reuters
A man counts Venezuelan bolivar notes in downtown Caracas, Venezuela, January 9, 2018.
Venezuela remains at the summit of my monthly list of the world’s top inflators those countries in which I measure the annual rates of inflation to exceed 25 percent per year. The country is still firmly in the grip of hyperinflation, with an annual inflation rate of 2,436 percent by my measure. That sky-high rate shows little sign of abating. Indeed, from November 12 until December 17, Venezuela registered 34 consecutive days in which the monthly inflation rate exceeded 50 percent. ....

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