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Commodity traders harvest billions while prices rise for everyone else


MONEYWEB
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The Bloomberg Commodities Spot Index is nearing 2008/11 peak.
By Javier Blas, Bloomberg
3 Jul 2021 
00:50 
Image: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg
Doug King set up his hedge fund in the early days of the commodity super-cycle in 2004. It was perfectly timed: voracious Chinese demand lifted the price of everything from oil to copper to record highs. Investors flooded the commodities sector. At the peak, King’s Merchant Commodity Fund was managing about $2 billion.
But the boom ended abruptly after the 2008 global financial crisis and the onset of the US shale revolution. Prices plunged, big institutional money got out and many specialist hedge funds closed. ....

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A new commodities boom beckons when pent-up demand unleashed


SYDNEY (Feb 8): The eventual end of the coronavirus pandemic is likely to herald a consumption boom, piling pressure on precarious supply chains and boosting raw material prices, according to the Merchant Commodity Fund.
“There’s a huge amount of pent-up demand in the consumer pocket,” said Doug King, head of the RCMA Capital-managed fund, which has assets of US$170 million and returned 19.4% last year.
“You could see a real surge in the market across all aspects of travel and consumption. I quite like the backdrop.”
Commodities have been on a tear since March, and have surged to the highest level in more than six years, with rallies in everything from iron ore to soybeans, copper and corn. ....

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OPEC+ Emerges From 2020 Chaos to Face Delicate Balancin...


The alliance of producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia must decide whether it can continue to restore crude supplies without capsizing the price recovery they spent most of 2020 working to achieve.
Moscow believes that the group which slashed output during the pandemic can revive another 500,000 barrels a day of idle capacity in February, on top of an increase scheduled for this month. Riyadh, which has favored greater caution, is keeping its own views under wraps.
“The outlook for the first half of 2021 is very mixed,” OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said at a preparatory meeting on Sunday. “There are still many downside risks to juggle.” ....

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