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Press Release – ASB Bank New Zealands labour shortage has intensified and is likely to last years. Inflation is likely to spike to 4% the highest its been since GST was increased in 2010 and then settle around 2.5%. ASB expects the OCR to reach 1.5% … New Zealand’s labour shortage has intensified and is likely to last years. Inflation is likely to spike to 4% – the highest it’s been since GST was increased in 2010 – and then settle around 2.5%. ASB expects the OCR to reach 1.5% which will flow through into interest rates. There are positives and negatives in the latest ASB Quarterly Economic Forecast as New Zealand continues to bounce back strongly from COVID-19. The closed border is putting additional strain on the country’s labour market with ASB warning the impacts could last several years. ....
Infometrics economist Brad Olsen said it was likely pay increases would continue, they would not cover every sector. The public sector is still facing a pay freeze. “There is pressure across the wider labour market now for wage rises.” He said there were now four industries paying more than an average $40 an hour – financial and insurance services; electricity, gas, water and waste services, info media and telecoms, and public administration and safety. Six industries paid below the average, and two had noticeably lower wages. Accommodation and food services workers earned the least of all industries, with $24.22/hour on average – just 70 per cent of the economy-wide average. Retail trade workers earned $25.62/hour (74 per cent of the economy-wide average), before a considerable jump up to the third-lowest industry (arts, recreation, and other services, at 91 per cent of the economy-wide average). ....
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Reserve Bank to end money printing programme, OCR remains unchanged (Photo / NZ Herald) Wed, 14 Jul 2021, 2:20PM The Reserve Bank has kept the official cash rate on hold but says it will reduce economic stimulus by winding up its programme of bond buying - sometimes described as printing money. The Monetary Policy Committee agreed to reduce the current stimulatory level of monetary settings in order to meet its consumer price and employment objectives over the medium-term, the RBNZ said today in a statement. The Reserve Bank will halt additional asset purchases under the Large Scale Asset Purchase (LSAP) programme by 23 July 2021, it said. ....
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