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The Wrap: Retail, BNPL, Oz Dividends


-Snap lockdowns to undermine discretionary retail earnings/share prices
-Proposed EU-based consumer credit regulations may affect growth for Afterpay/Zip Co
-Major rebound in buybacks, special dividends, and return to normal dividend payout ratios on the cards
By Mark Story
Discretionary retail: Lockdowns tarnish second half earnings
Despite the accelerated vaccine roll-out nationally, Jarden sees the real risk of Australia remaining closed for longer, which will likely delay the reopening trade.
To reflect snap lockdowns in NSW and Victoria, partial lockdowns in QLD, WA and the NT, plus a growing cost of doing business pressures (CODB), Jarden has cut FY21 earning per share (EPS) forecasts by an average -5% across a handful of discretionary retailers. ....

Michael Hill , South Australia , Nick Scali , Lynch Group , Afterpay Zip Co , Super Retail Group , Dominos Pizza Enterprises , Flight Centre Travel , Michael Hill International , Accent Group , Lovisa Holdings , Weekly Reports , Broker Wrap , Harvey Norman , Premier Investments , Reject Shop , Beacon Lighting , Baby Bunting , City Chic Collective , City Chic , European Unions , Buy Now , Pay Later , Zip Cos , Martin Currie Australia , மைக்கேல் மலை ,

Rudi's View: Time For Quality To Shine


And Australia s Favourite Sector Is..?
What if I asked you which sector is the long term favourite among institutional investors in Australia?
Banks? Healthcare? Bulk commodities producers?
The answer will surprise you, as it is Consumer Discretionary.
Analysts at JPMorgan, who run a monthly survey among domestic fund managers and thus have access to a wealth of data, reported last week the Consumer Discretionary sector has been the most persistent Overweight in institutional portfolios in Australia.
Further adding to the sector s favourite status among institutions is the observation the average large Overweight positioning (relative to the actual index weighting) is well, well above the number two, which at present is the Materials sector. ....

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Rudi's View: CSL, The Answers


By Rudi Filapek-Vandyck, Editor FNArena
Since listing in June 1994, the performance of CSL ((CSL)) has been nothing but spectacular, with the stock ultimately growing into the ASX200 s largest constituent, beating the far more familiar household names of CommBank and BHP Billiton.
It took the better part of the past 2.5 decades, but Australian investors eventually warmed to Australia s largest and most successful biotech company, even though it never offered a genuine yield to get excited about and the valuation never looked cheap .
But CSL performed when others couldn t, and it kept on simply doing that, until the global pandemic and calendar year 2020 arrived. ....

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