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What AI Can and Cannot Do for the Intelligence Community A realistic appraisal of artificial intelligence shows limits but real promise. A seasoned intelligence professional can be forgiven for raising her eyebrows about artificial intelligence, a nascent and booming field in which it can be hard to sort real potential from hype. Addressing that raised eyebrow and helping senior leaders understand how to invest precious time and money will take more than vague generalities and myopic case studies. We therefore offer a hypothesis for debate: AI, specifically machine learning, can help with tasks related to collection, processing, and analysis half of the Steps in the Intelligence Cycle but will struggle with tasks related to intelligence planning, dissemination, and evaluation. ....