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Iran nuclear deal may be just what hard-line president-elect needs
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Raisi to clarify, but also complicate West s dealings with Iran
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Raisi s rise signals more monolithic, but more hardline, power structure in Iran
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To: President Elect Biden and the Biden administration
As experts on Iran, international relations and nonproliferation, we write to fully support the incoming Biden administration in its commitment to make a clean break from the Trump Administration’s failed Iran policy and maximum pressure campaign and return the U.S. to the diplomatic path and full compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), or Iran nuclear deal.
In 2017, President Trump inherited an enviable position on Iran. Iran’s nuclear program was no longer a source of major security concern, while there was a prospect to broaden diplomatic negotiations to address pressing security concerns in Syria and Yemen. Instead, Trump unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA over the objections of close allies while Iran was still compliant with the accord. This self-inflicted wound set the U.S. on a destructive path with no easy offramp. The U.S. and Iran moved to the precipice of war twice, Iran expanded its
Kelsey Davenport
Alireza Eshraghi
Ellie Geranmayeh
Bijan Khajehpour
President Biden’s window for negotiations with Iran could close if he fails to return to the Iran nuclear deal and instead seeks to extract new concessions with Trump’s sanctions. The Biden administration only has until next June before the Iranian presidential election potentially changes the diplomatic calculus. This assessment was shared by several experts at the National Iranian American Council’s recent panel, entitled, “Jumpstarting U.S.-Iran Diplomacy in the Biden era.”
The panel discussion focused on the impact of the maximum pressure campaign on Iran’s social and political landscape, as well as the opportunities and pitfalls for future engagement with the country. It featured Ellie Geranmayeh of the European Council on Foreign Relations; Kelsey Davenport, Director for Nonproliferation Policy at the Arms Control Association; Alireza Eshraghi, Visiting Scholar at the Center for Middle East