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What Are Economists Good For? -- The Capital Note

On the menu today: a defense of macroeconomics, inflation expectations rising, tech-stock tumbling, and a look at Paul Romer’s paper on technological progress. ....

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Boom, then Bust?

Boom, then Bust?
February 20, 2021, 8:22 AM·36 min read
Well, the S&P may not have done much this week, but there were clear signs and signals that the conditions fueling the current bubble(s) are going to continue and that the bubble(s) themselves are still bubbling away.
Elon Musk, in some ways the man of the bubble (I do hope that comment doesn’t disqualify me from some space tourism), got to the point.
Billionaire Elon Musk defended Tesla Inc.’s $1.5 billion Bitcoin investment on Twitter, calling the cryptocurrency a “less dumb” version of cash.
“When fiat currency has negative real interest, only a fool wouldn’t look elsewhere,” Musk said in a reference to the sub-zero returns on cash caused by negative-yielding debt. The comments pushed Bitcoin to a record on Friday, with prices climbing above $53,000. ....

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Retail Spending Grows 5.3 Percent, Clobbering Expectations

Retail Spending Grows 5.3 Percent, Clobbering Expectations
yahoo.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from yahoo.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Retail Spending Grows 5.3 Percent, Clobbering Expectations

Retail Spending Grows 5.3 Percent, Clobbering Expectations
msn.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from msn.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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The Green Bubble

The Green Bubble
February 13, 2021, 8:24 AM·36 min read
Yes, I am going to talk about bubbles again, but once again about one specific bubble: the bubble in anything (supposedly) green, particularly if it can be tied to the war against climate change.
Like many of the asset-price bubbles of our current moment, this one is not entirely irrational. Not only are green assets being “revalued” (to use a term that implies rather more calculation than is really the case) in the light of the general mispricing of risk that is the product of today’s artificially low interest rates, but, as I have noted before, buying green is supported by some arguments that have little to do with value, but a great deal to do with price. ....

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