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No, Bonds Aren't Overvalued. They're A Warning Sign.


The basic premise is that overpaying for earnings today leads to lower rates of return in the future. Of course, given the flood of liquidity from global Central Banks, the overvaluation of markets is of no surprise.
However, while analysts develop various rationalizations to justify high valuations, none hold up under objective scrutiny. While Central Bank interventions boost asset prices in the short-term, there is an inherently negative impact on economic growth in the long term.
However, bonds are a different story.
Bonds Can’t Get Overvalued.
Unlike stocks, bonds have a finite value. At maturity, the principal gets returned to the ....

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No, Bonds Aren't Overvalued... They're A Warning Sign


the 
future return of any bond, on the date of purchase, is calculable to the 1/100th of a cent, a bond buyer will not pay a price that yields a negative return in the future. 
(This assumes a holding period until maturity. One might purchase a negative yield on a trading basis if expectations are benchmark rates will decline further.) 
As noted, since bonds are loans to borrowers, the interest rate of a bond is tied to the prevailing rate environment at the time of issuance. 
(For this discussion, we are using the 10-year Treasury rate often referred to as the “risk-free” rate.) ....

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