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Random Thoughts From The Frontline 20January 2021


Random Thoughts From The Frontline 20January 2021
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Let’s jump in.
What Is Fair Value?
Many analysts contend that current stock valuations resemble the dot-com era. You can see it visually at Current Market Valuation. Here are just a few of the many charts on the website.
Let’s start with the classic “Buffett Indicator. It certainly seems to be in nosebleed territory. Notice that the valuations in 1966, the beginning of a long-term bear market, were also high.
Source:
Source:
This next one is unusual: valuation as measured by mean reversion. Mean reversion is the fairly unsophisticated concept that what goes up must come down. ....

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Bitcoin ETF approval more likely under new SEC leadership, says Ark Invest CEO


Bitcoin ETF approval more likely under new SEC leadership, says Ark Invest CEO
“I think the probability of an ETF has gone up,” said Cathie Wood.
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Ark Investment Management founder and CEO Cathie Wood said the likelihood that U.S. regulators will approve a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund has gone up under the Biden administration.
In an interview with CNBC’s Bob Pisani today, Wood said there were two signs that the Securities and Exchange Commission might be more open to greenlighting a Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund, or ETF. Under previous administrations, the regulatory body did not approve any Bitcoin ETFs, to the industry’s chagrin. ....

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