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If you want to understand why Bitcoin has held up so well in its current bull trend, you need look no further than the difference between the public expression of the Bitcoin views held by JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) in 2017 versus its perspective on Bitcoin in 2021.
In 2017, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon went on record to say that he would fire any trader that buys or sells Bitcoin “in a second”. It was publicly regarded as dirty, scammy, illegitimate. The domain of criminals and drug dealers and bubble-running greater fools with no sense or sophistication when it comes to financial markets.
For many investors, the sticky nature of the Bitcoin boom is finally starting to kick in. To call it a bubble is to basically directly state that “most people” are overly leveraged to its current price level. For the true believers, that’s a laughable idea at this point.
“Most people” have heard of Bitcoin, but don’t have any exposure to its upside potential. Furthermore, Gold – it’s supposed asset class competitor and proxy as a ‘store of value’ – is still worth over six times as much as bitcoin on a global market cap basis, implying upside potential to somewhere over the $300k level.
As we have noted, the argument for or against Bitcoin comes down to future prospects for legitimacy as a currency system. The “store of value”, “speculative asset”, and “diversification” arguments are all second-order pathways contingent upon its ability to establish itself as a legitimate, mainstream medium of exchange with widespread network-effect legitimacy.
But, ironically, that legitimacy may ultimately depend on its acceptance in financial asset terms.
Hence, the future is looking pretty bright today as the odds of that acceptance appear to be back on an upward trajectory as the CBOE Global Markets Inc. disclosed this week that it is seeking approval to list and trade shares of what could be the first Bitcoin exchange-traded fund in the U.S., according to a regulatory filing that hit on Monday.
Cathie Wood and Elon Musk. The current bull market in stocks can be seen as an homage to these two names. Wood is the hottest portfolio manager in the world, with her ARK Investment Management LLC leading the universe over the past year. The “Toast of Wall Street”.
Elon Musk is the world’s richest man and a guy who says he won’t sell his Tesla shares because he needs to ramp their worth high enough to self-fund human colonization of other planets.
So, big thinkers. And two of the most successful future prognosticators in the world today, as a matter of objective data-driven analysis. She has been the best at picking disruptive star investments. He has been the best at predicting the future course of industry as an entrepreneur and executive, at PayPal, Tesla, and SpaceX.