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Trading the Next Black Swan, War in Eastern Europe


Trading the Next Black Swan, War in Eastern Europe
2021-06-01 21:30:00
Sage Anderson,
Spring has arrived in the Northern Hemisphere, but warming temperatures have done little to thaw ice-cold tensions on the shared border between Russia and Ukraine.
In fact, the arrival of spring appears to have heralded an escalation in this now long-running conflict. Both countries have bulked up their military presence on the border in recent weeks, and regional observers have suggested the situation may soon transform into a full-scale war.
Investors and traders may therefore want to start monitoring the situation in Eastern Europe extremely closely, because if the United States gets sucked into what’s widely known as the “Russo-Ukrainian War,” there may be serious ramifications for the global financial markets. ....

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Is Russia Set On a Large-Scale Invasion of Ukraine?


By  
Apr 17, 2021 01:05 AM EDT
(Photo : Getty Images/Sergey Guneev - Host Photo Agency)
MOSCOW, RUSSIA - JUNE 24: President of Russia and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces Vladimir Putin makes a speech in Red Square during a Victory Day military parade marking the 75th anniversary of the victory in World War II, on June 24, 2020 in Moscow, Russia. The 75th-anniversary marks the end of the Great Patriotic War when the Nazi s capitulated to the then Soviet Union.
Kyiv has voiced its concern over Russia s largest military build-up along Ukraine s border since 2014. This was the year Crimea was annexed, as speculation increased over whether Moscow intends on a similar push into Ukraine s territory. ....

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While You Were Sleeping: 5 stories you might have missed, April 16


The Straits Times
Video of US slaps sanctions on Russia over election meddling
VIDEO: REUTERS
https://str.sg/JyXB
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U.S. general says low to medium risk of Russian invasion of Ukraine


16 Apr in 11:20
There is a low to medium risk that Russia will invade Ukraine over the next few weeks, the top U.S. general in Europe said on Thursday, in the first such military assessment amid mounting concern about Russian troop movements toward Ukraine s borders.
Air Force General Tod Wolters declined to explain the intelligence driving his assessment, which does not suggest that the U.S. military expects a Russian invasion at this point, but he is not ruling one out or playing down the risk.
But, in testimony before a House of Representatives committee he later suggested his view about the risks in the coming weeks and months was at least partly based on the disposition of Russian forces. ....

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