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INSTANT VIEW 2-India's retail inflation rises to 5.03% in February

By Reuters Staff
7 Min Read
March 12 (Reuters) - India’s retail inflation accelerated to a three-month high in February on higher fuel prices, which could challenge the central bank’s accommodative stance and record-low key policy rates adopted to boost the pandemic-hit economy.
Annual retail inflation rose 5.03% in February, up from 4.06% in January, data released by the Ministry of Statistics showed on Friday. Analysts in a Reuters poll had predicted annual inflation of 4.83% for February.
COMMENTARY
RADHIKA RAO, ECONOMIST, DBS BANK, SINGAPORE
“Improving growth expectations and firm crude prices are complicating monetary policy expectations. The one-year implied rate has risen this year, as have 5-year overnight index swaps, as markets build policy tightening risks. ....

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January 2021 Consumer Credit Now In Contraction Year-over-Year

Headline consumer credit contracted in January and was extremely below expectations. Our analysis of the unadjusted data shows annual growth is now in contraction year-over-year.
Analyst Opinion of the Consumer Credit Situation
Student loan year-over-year growth rate declined and remains in an overall slowing trend.
Not only does this data set suffer from backward revision (at times moderate to significant enough to change trends -, but the use of compounding (projecting monthly change as annual change) by the Federal Reserve to determine consumer credit growth rates exaggerates the volatility in this data.
that the amount of consumer credit outstanding relative to consumer expenditures is at 21st-century highs. ....

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UK house price growth picks up unexpectedly in February: Nationwide

British house price growth picked up unexpectedly last month, mortgage lender Nationwide said on Tuesday, defying expectations of a slowdown as finance minister Rishi Sunak readies new budget measures to boost the market. ....

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UK February factory output grows at slowest pace since May: PMI

British manufacturers reported their slowest output growth since May last month, hit by Brexit and COVID-19-related delays, and consumers cut back heavily on borrowing in January as they returned to lockdown. ....

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UK factory output grows at slowest since May, consumer lending slides

3 Min Read
LONDON (Reuters) - British manufacturers reported their slowest output growth since May last month, hit by Brexit and COVID-19-related delays, and consumers cut back heavily on borrowing in January as they returned to lockdown.
FILE PHOTO: Workers assemble cars at the plant for the Mini range of cars in Cowley, near Oxford, Britain June 20, 2016. REUTERS/Leon Neal/Pool/File Photo
Britain’s economy is set to shrink sharply in early 2021 though manufacturers are upbeat about prospects later in the year, when they expect lockdown restrictions to end.
The speed of the recovery for households will also be critical. Bank of England data showed consumer borrowing in January suffered its biggest annual decline since records began in 1994, sliding 8.9%. ....

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