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MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content See the latest Australian dollar analysis here: The Australian dollar lifted a little on the pretense that China is stimulating which is isn’t: Gold was stable but oil weak: Base metals too: EM junk spreads gave way. That’s an air raid siren going off: Bonds are unequivocal. There’s deflation dead ahead: Not even tech could get a bounce as duration collapsed: Westpac has the wrap: Event Wrap US ISM manufacturing survey fell from 60.6 to 59.5 (vs 61.0 expected), breaking a five-month streak of strong prints, although it’s still in expansionary territory. Most of the survey components fell from elevated levels. ....
RBA Preview: Forecasts from seven major banks, dovish stance to put AUD under pressure fxstreet.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from fxstreet.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.
MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content By Gareth Aird, head of Australian economics at CBA Key Points: The July Board Minutes note that the decision to taper bond purchases from mid‑September was underpinned by the assessment that, “economic outcomes had been materially better than earlier expected and the outlook had improved.” The near term economic outlook has since deteriorated due to extended lockdowns in large parts of the country. We now expect the RBA Board to reverse the decision to taper the bond buying program from mid‑September if Greater Sydney and/or Victoria are still in lockdown at the time of the August Board meeting (3 August). ....
MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content By Gareth Aird, head of Australian economics at CBA Key Points The RBA will take a more flexible approach to bond buying (QE) from early September when bond purchases will be at the reduced rate of $A4bn a week until at least mid‑November (as compared with the current pace of $A5bn per week). The RBA Board will next review the rate of bond purchases at the November Board meeting. We expect the RBA to announce a further taper at the November Board meeting and have pencilled in a rate of bond buying of $A3bn a week from mid‑November 2021 until mid‑February 2022. ....
Top of the Obelisk THE CITY-For nearly a decade, Heather Holt (photo above) had been in charge of the Los Angeles City Ethics Commission, which serves as a watchdog over LA’s politicians, lobbyists, and others. And she helped with the install of a new timer, presumably from TASER, that sounds like 50,000 volts to alert a speaker that their time has expired. Innovative and scary. Critics who question whether the power dynamic of Heather seeking a raise from her bosses, undermines the agency’s role as a watchdog should find the clip of Herb Wesson lathering up the Ethics director during the budget hearings one year, Hi, Heather! It s priceless alongside Paul Krekorian, who has had ethical issues but reminded this year, at the truncated to nothing Budget Hearings, that he s approved every Ethics Commission budget request he s ever seen. ....