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The Vaccine Project Newsletter: A midsummer nightmare?
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“COVID’s US toll expected to drop sharply by end of July” was the headline following a CDC “weather” report on the future course of the pandemic. That is entirely plausible and possible, but read the full story and we discover that shifting patterns could make the difference between sunny skies or storm clouds ahead.
Teams of researchers used statistical modeling to create and analyze four COVID-19 scenarios from April through September:
· High vaccination rate with moderate use of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as masking and distancing
· High vaccine uptake with low use of NPIs
· Low vaccine uptake with moderate use of NPIs
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The CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices meets today to review the data that have led, “out of an abundance of caution,” to a recommended pause in the use of J&J’s COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. The focus is on six cases of what appears to be a very rare but severe type of blood clot, all occurring in women ages 18 to 48, with symptoms developing six to 13 days after vaccination. One woman died and another is hospitalized in critical condition.
Nearly 7 million doses of the single-dose J&J vaccine have been given in this country. The concern is a clot known as cerebral venous sinus thrombosis, occurring in combination with low blood platelets. Traditional treatments for clots, such as heparin, may actually be dangerous in this situation. The CDC and FDA are advising that anyone who has received the J&J vaccine and develops severe headache, abdominal pain, leg pain or shortness of breath within three weeks of being vaccinated should contact
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Mid-April doesn’t exactly have the happiest reputation among times of the year. The Titanic sank in the early hours of April 15, 1912 off the coast of Newfoundland, claiming the lives of more than 1,500 passengers and crew. President Lincoln died of his gunshot wounds in the early morning hours of April 15, 1865.
The litany of bad stuff happening mid-April is downright unsettling if not eerie: San Francisco earthquake (April 18, 1906); Oklahoma City bombing (April 19, 1995); Virginia Tech shooting (April 16, 2007); Boston Marathon bombing (April 15, 2013); the fire at Notre Dame cathedral in Paris (April 15, 2019).
And then, of course, income taxes are due April 15 except that they aren’t. The IRS pandemic-extended deadline for filing returns is now May 17.
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