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MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content Nordea with the note. I can only agree: The Fed spent most of the June meeting debating a stand repo facility for both domestic and Foreign International Monetary Authorities (FIMAs). Such a facility will be designed to safe-guard the cap of the rates corridor, which is currently NOT what the Fed is struggling with. The debate is hence a reminiscence of the September-2019 liquidity scarcity scenario, while the current response to the liquidity abundancy scenario is much more urgent. The recent short-squeeze in bonds is not just driven by the transitionistas winning the market narrative, but also by liquidity technicalities and convexity hedging. When the Fed hints of an upcoming taper decision, it leads to weaker anticipated nominal growth down the line and accordingly weaker inflation expectations. When this is paired with the surging usage of the reverse repos (both the ON RRP and the FIMA RRP), it risks creating a neg ....
MacroBusiness Access Subscriber Only Content See the latest Australian dollar analysis here: Goldman with the note: 1. The minutes to the June FOMC meeting reported that “various participants” pulled forward their expectations for the appropriate timing of tapering “in light of incoming data” presumably a reference to higher inflation given the labor market disappointments of the second quarter. “Participants” also viewed being “well positioned” to taper as “important” for “prudent planning.” At the same time, the“substantial further progress” hurdle was “generally” not seen as reached, and“many participants” noted the economy was “far” from its employment goals. Coupled with the “elevated” uncertainty around the path of the labor market and inflation, the minutes implied no firm consensus on the appropriate timing of tapering. While not ruling out a September tapering announcement, the Committee’sagreement to “begin ....
Central Banking Reserve manager of the year: Bank Indonesia The Asian central bank stabilised the rupiah’s fall during the Covid-19 pandemic in large part due to its new macro-factor strategic asset allocation framework Photo: Christopher Jeffery Bank Indonesia has not only weathered the Covid-19 crisis, but done so while boosting its foreign exchange reserves to a new record high of $138 billion as of January 2021. The portfolio now represents around 12.5% of GDP, and could finance 10 months of imports – well above the international three-month minimum adequacy standard. While reserves fell in the first quarter of 2020, they remained relatively stable on an annual basis, growing as part of a long-term gradual upward trend. ....
Date 01/03/2021 It has now been one year since the devastating effects of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic hit our shores, a year marked by heartbreak and hardship.1 We look forward to a brighter time ahead, when vaccinations are widespread, the recovery is broad based and inclusive, and the economy fully springs back to life. But we should not miss the opportunity to distill lessons from the COVID shock and institute reforms so our system is more resilient and better able to withstand a variety of possible shocks in the future, including those emanating from outside the financial system. ....
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