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High inflation and Covid-19 are forcing the poor in India to dip deeper into their savings


High inflation and Covid-19 are forcing the poor in India to dip deeper into their savings
Economists warn that rising prices may hamper future economic recovery because households would have no money to spend.
Punit Paranjpe/AFP
Gaurav Kumar Sharma is a heartbroken man. After the lockdown upended his livelihood for more than two months, he was relieved when things slowly returned to normal: shops and markets reopened, and people began stepping out of their homes. But as food inflation spiked due to supply chain disruptions caused by the lockdown, Sharma, 43, who drives an autorickshaw in New Delhi, said that all his hope has turned into gloom. ....

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Job affliction preceded Covid


Joblessness among urban youths was over 19 per cent or nearly three times the 2012 level even before Covid-19 hit India, official survey reports have shown.
The findings buttress the view that the Narendra Modi government’s economic decisions, including the 2016 demonetisation, had led to widespread unemployment.
Labour economist Santosh Mehrotra said the situation would be much worse now, after the lockdown.
He warned that the job scene would further deteriorate for educated youths in the next 10 years because of poor employment creation in a stressed economy where the entry of new job seekers was accelerating.
According to a paper published last year by Mehrotra and researcher Jajati Parida, titled “India’s Employment Crisis: Rising Education Levels and Falling non-Agricultural Job Growth”, the unemployment rate among youths (aged 15 to 29) was 6.1 per cent in 2012.  ....

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