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Bundestagswahl 2021: Was Umfragen über Wahlergebnisse aussagen können

Bundestagswahl 2021: Was Umfragen über Wahlergebnisse aussagen können
Bundestagswahl 2021
:
Was Umfragen über Wahlergebnisse aussagen können
in Mann telefoniert vor einer fiktiven Wahlumfragegrafik (Symbolbild).
Foto: dpa/Lino Mirgeler
Berlin Wie ist die Stimmung? Wer vor einer Wahl der Bevölkerung den politischen Puls messen will, setzt hierzulande hauptsächlich auf Umfragen. Auch vor der Bundestagswahl am 26. September vergeht kaum eine Woche ohne. Doch wie aussagekräftig sind sie eigentlich?
Drucken
Sie seien schlechter geworden, hieß es vor fünf Jahren, als Umfragen weder beim Brexit noch beim Wahlsieg von Donald Trump richtig lagen. Sind Berechnungen mittlerweile unberechenbar geworden?
„Zunächst muss man feststellen, dass Umfragen niemals Prognosen sein können“, sagt Matthias Jung, Vorstand der Mannheimer Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. Methodisch sauber könnten Umfragen immer nur die Stimmungslage zum Zeitpunkt der Erhebung aufze ....

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Bundestagswahl: Was Umfragen über Wahlergebnisse aussagen

Die sogenannte Sonntagsfrage zur Bundestagswahl werden zunehmend schwierig. Einer der Gründe dafür liege in einer schwindenden Bindung zu einer einzigen Partei: „Für viele Menschen sind heutzutage mehr Parteien als früher wählbar.“ ....

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Von Wahlversprechen und Gummistiefeln

Von Wahlversprechen und Gummistiefeln
heise.de - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from heise.de Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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अयोध्या से नये समीकरणों की दस्तक

उमेश चतुर्वेदी
पिछली सदी के नब्बे के दशक में बहुजन समाज पार्टी की नेता ने एक इंटरव्यू में महात्मा गांधी पर ऐसी टिप्पणी की थी, जिसे यहां दोहराना कतई उचित नहीं होगा। उस वक्त बहुजन समाज पार्टी के निशाने पर तिलक-तराजू और तलवार थे। लेकिन अब वही बहुजन समाज पार्टी उस तिलक को माथे की शोभा बढ़ाने की तैयारी में है, जिसे वह खुलेआम निशाने पर लेने की वकालत करती रही है।
अयोध्या में 23 जुलाई को ....

Uttar Pradesh , Umesh Chaturvedi , Deputy Dinesh Sharma , Mahatma Gandhi , Mayawatia Ayodhya , Allama Iqbal , Bharatiya Janata Partya Core Voters , Bahujan Samaj Party , Muslim Community , Brahman Community , Samajwadi Party , Bharatiya Janata Party , Brahminsa Bahujan Samaj Party , Congressa North India , Bahujan Samaj Partya Tilak , Bharatiya Janata Party No , Bahujan Samaj Partya Brahman , Bahujan Samaj Partya Brahmins , Brahman Communitya Bharatiya Janata Party , Brahman Communitya His , Mayawati Brahman , Core Voters , North India , Country Or Her Province , Kshatriya State , Brahman Anti ,

Revanche im Rentenkrieg? | Unsere Zeit

Revanche im Rentenkrieg? | Unsere Zeit
unsere-zeit.de - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from unsere-zeit.de Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

United States , West German , Norbert Blum , Gerhard Schroeder , Fritz Schaffer , Free Health Care , Free German Federation , Wage Development , Organization Of Retirement , German Parliament , Pension Fund , Nuclear Dots Of Debate , Hours Time , Federal Republic Germany , Frankfurt General Paper , Pension Reform , Minister Of Economics Ludwig , Finance Minister Fritz Schaffer , Chancellor Konrad Washington , Names Prince , Page Insurance , Capital Stock , Pension Payments , Catholic Social Teaching , Catholic Contractor , Her Basic Structure ,