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Weather | Global Economic Intersection

An economics based website. Global Economic Intersection (econintersect.com) focuses on the economic effects on finance, investing, social interactions, and politics / public policy. It features original economic commentary, debate, and economic analysis of economic indicators. ....

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Weather | Global Economic Intersection


Written by Sig Silber
Edited at Noon MDT on July 21, 2021 to correct the deadline for submittal to 11:59 pm MST on July 23 not July 24. Sorry about that.
The deadline for submitting your forecasts for the University of Arizona Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecast is July 23. If you did not enter last month, you can still enter now. Details follow. Notice that Arizona is on Standard Time not Daylight Saving Time. My advice for many reasons is not to wait to the last minute. There is probably not much to be gained by cutting it real close and computers being what they are and communications networks being what they are, it is better to be a bit early than one minute late. ....

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Weather | Global Economic Intersection


Written by Sig Silber
At the end of every month, NOAA issues an update of their Early Outlook for the following month which, as usual, was issued on the Third Thursday of the month. Today, fifteen days later, NOAA has issued their Updated Outlook for May. We are seeing the transition from La Nina to ENSO Neutral but the transition is taking place slowly. The changes from the Early Outlook forecast issued on April 15, 2021, are less significant than we might have expected given that the Early Outlook for May was issued fifteen days ago. The drought continues.
Some housekeeping: On April 15, 2021, we published Part I of our analysis of the NOAA and JAMSTEC Three -to Four -Season Outlook and that can be accessed here. In that report, the May 2021 Early Outlook was issued. This article presents the NOAA update of their Early temperature and precipitation outlooks for May and the most recent Drought Forecast update for the month of May. ....

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