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Calculated Risk

Private sector employment increased by 174,000 jobs from December to January according to the January according to the December ADP National Employment Report®. . The report, which is derived from ADP’s actual payroll data, measures the change in total nonfarm private employment each month on a seasonally-adjusted basis.
“The labor market continues its slow recovery amid COVID-19 headwinds,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice
president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute. “Although job losses were previously concentrated
among small and midsized businesses, we are now seeing signs of the prolonged impact of the pandemic
on large companies as well.”
emphasis addedThis was well above the consensus forecast of 45,000 for this report. ....

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Calculated Risk: U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline 29.7% in 2020

Bankruptcy filings fell sharply for the 12-month period ending Dec. 31, 2020, despite a significant surge in unemployment related to the coronavirus (COVID-19).
Annual bankruptcy filings in calendar year 2020 totaled 544,463, compared with 774,940 cases in 2019, according to statistics released by the Administrative Office of the U.S. Courts. That is a decrease of 29.7 percent.
Only one category saw an increase in filings. Chapter 11 reorganizations rose 19.2 percent, from 6,808 in 2019 to 8,113 in 2020. Of those, 7,561 involved business reorganizations.
The number of total filings was the lowest since 1986, when 530,438 bankruptcies were filed.
Filings fell sharply in the early months of the pandemic, starting in March 2020, when many courts offered limited access to the public. In addition, bankruptcy filings can lag behind other economic indicators. Following the Great Recession, which began in 2007, new filings escalated until they peaked in 2010. ....

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