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Louisiana closed or closing early. we have meteorologist pedram javaheri joining us live in the cnn weather center with the latest. p.j., what s in store? this system is going over warm waters over the next 12 hours. we think strengthening is possible. it is not very organized or impressive system. thunderstorms on the western periphery of florida. 65 miles per hour. 5:00 a.m. update talks about the storm system at 65. no changes made to the update. you notice 17-mile-an-hour winds to the north/northwest. that is the area we are watching. that is a rapidly moving system which gives it little time to intensify beyond category one if it makes it there at landfall. when you talk about slow moving systems. harvey was five miles per hour. it produced 30 inches of rainfall in cases. when you speed the system up, chances of rainfall drop dramatically. that is the case with gordon with the rainfall amounts on the ....
Low-lying beaches. when you talk about 20 feet, much of the structure is much like you saw in barbuda would be entirely moved off their foundation. significant implications in store by this afternoon in turks and caicos and beyond that into the bahamas. notice the model still bringing that right turn in. a lot of the cone shifting to the east including florida, points to the east of florida, model-by-model breakdown. look at the high concentration of this. even potentially dodging cuba in its entirety. that was one main player we initially thought could in fact weaken the storm, alter its track. few models want to take it to cuba with the right hard turn as it approaches the bahamas. that would in fact bring it in somewhere around miami if it keeps the western periphery of the track. around miami early sunday, say 7:00, 8:00 a.m. at this point. a lot of models want to keep it off shore of miami early sunday, potentially taking it up toward the carolinas. the breakdown of the european a ....
Conducive to keep the storm very healthy. the atmospheric environment also very little wind shear to shred the storm apart. that is the most concerning part of this feature here approaching early this weekend. the models have good agreement on where this will head. we think it will shift further south into cuba or go south of the bahamas into the florida straits. the steering environment begins saturday into sunday. that s why we think the storm could turn right to the areas toward florida. at this point favoring the western periphery of florida. the national hurricane center says between four and five days out, there s a 150 to 200-mile variance in area. it could end up on the eastern side of florida, as well. still following that carefully the next few days. thank you very much for the latest on irma. coming up, chaos at a labor day block party in south philadelphia. a car crashes into a crowd striking eight people. several had to be hospitalized including a pregnant woman. ....
Orange on the western periphery of the eye wall, that circle right in the center of the storm? that s where i believe the strongest winds are located. and guess what. those winds are traveling towards the shoreline. and you can imagine, too, what this is doing as it pushes up against the sea or the ocean surface. it is building that storm surge is what we call it. and that will bring that in for this particular region, perhaps seven to 11 feet, especially from melbourne northward into the space coast area and then we have the outer rain bands still impacting the central parts of the state. we can t forget about orlando. walt disney world is closed at least through friday because of the effects of this system. where is it going from here? let s time things out for you. we have our tropical storm force if not hurricane force winds already reaching the shoreline. ....
Coast, scraping the coast but has not made landfall. what are you see something. we re analyzing this with a team of meteorologists, and behind the scenes miguel and christine, a few important things to point out. here s the eye wall. you can see that is really about, let s say, 30 miles give-or-take five miles offshore, so the western periphery of the center of the storm, still offshore. see the cape canaveral and the space coast region how that jets out from the florida peninsula? will the outer rain bands. eyewall make its way across the area? very likely. we could see some of the stronger areas inland, where we start to see the drop off considerably from hurricane matthew, but still strong gusty winds like places in orlando, registering 45-miles-per-hour within the past 45 minutes. this is what we know. this is the latest information about hurricane matthew. sustained winds of ....