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good deal. see you later. j good evening. i m bret baier we are coming to you live from frigid iowa. for the 2024 presidential cycle. thousands of iowans gathering in homes, schools, churches to make their voices heard in meetings known as caucuses. they are doing this in spite of incredibly cold temperatures, hostile weather conditions throughout the state. we have fox team coverage. some of them are out there, including the latest information from our fox voter analysis just in. bill melugin is at the ron desantis headquarters in west des moines. asha has my is at the des moines headquarters nikki haley. we begin with senior national correspondent rich edson at the bales of operations for former president donald trump. good evening, rich. rich: good evening, bret. former trump says locked in tonight and campaign has every precinct in the state covered. is he going to visit one of those caucus sites tonight before coming here to watch party in des moines. trump, fo ....
Bounce . It is important. We look back to 1984, and the democratic caucus, Water Mondale ahead in the polls, 49 in the last iowa poll. 48. 9 . There is a surprise number, too. Gary hart at 17 . He was polling at 3. 3 points in the last iowa poll, and shows up less than a week later at 17, for the next 8 days thats all we talk about. He then knocks mondale off in new hampshire, and the contest for the democratic nomination in 1984 finally settled on June 5th final set of primaries when hardt takes south dakota, new mexico. Mondale takes New Jersey and West Virginia and clinches the with 22 delegates to spare. This is important. Bret thats no monkey business. That was four years later. Bret i know. Thank you, guys. Here are other headlines tonight. One woman is dead. More than a ....
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the conventional wisdom cannot guide you into elections because it misses the real dynamic, which is, elections are not about issues. in fact, if you predicted elections by issues, you would have predicted water mondale would have beaten reagan in 1984, because most of the issues favored the democrats. elections are referendum on the party in power and, of course, the president when he is running. the only way you are going to change the dynamic is through an impeachment inquiry, at which, by the way, is also right constitutionally and morally. right. now, i m telling you, it s right politically. if you take the conventional wisdom and you read the polls, you re going to be you re going to have the same problem you had in 2016. i m pleading with you not to do that. all right. we re hearing you. ....
Significant effects on the economy. i think people largely agree if you look at the polling. but i would also make another point about the nature of debt ceiling fights versus shutdown fights. there were about ten shutdowns over the course of the carter and reagan administrations. they lasted about a week to ten days. there was one significant debt ceiling fight. actually came after water gate when ted kennedy and water mondale had a debate in the wake of watergate. i would compare that very much to what we re seeing now. one party that views this as a threat, an issue that has to be handled right now and another party who says we ve got to move on. here s the way it s not comparable. ted kennedy and mondale were in a similar position. you re also talking about a mixed political party, period. ....