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Lup a gallup and who makes it through their likely voter stream and they don t do a good job of figuring out how to account for early voters. let me ask you really quickly, as you continue making that argument reporter: it s not an argument, i think it s a fact. but the nbc news poll is a perfect example. like, for instance, iowa may be skewed a bit in the president you said to yourself, you were surprised this morning. but take virginia. a state that is not as heavy dependent on early voting. you guys actually were the first to have mitt romney move ahead in virginia. reporter: that s right. so you can t even look at individual polls. it s these early states that seem to be giving everybody fits on both sides. reporter: well, that s what i mean. i really believe it s the states that have a huge chunk of early voters. and it s that issue because so, for instance, when you re doing a likely voter screen, if somebody says they ve already voted, that s not a likely voter a ....