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Opening schools. i think it s going to be really challenging to open schools in this kind of virus blizzard, this virus firestorm. i have advised places like washington, d.c. and new york if you can hold it off a couple of weeks, recognizing that that s really difficult given all the schools that kids have missed, maybe make it up on the pack end or shortened vacations in the summer, that might be one way to go. i think it s going to be really challenging when you have a virus agent that s looking like it s as transmissible as measles, which is a historically been the most transmissible virus agent. yeah, that s saying something if you are comparing it to measles. now, the johnson & johnson announces its booster shot 85% effective against hospitalization in south africa. the cdc, though, has already said people shouldn t get j&j if an mrna vaccine is available. pfizer and moderna. what does this mean? are mrna vaccines still preferred, do you think? certainly in the united states t ....
How much worse do you fear it could get? well, you know, i think the way this is going to work, joe, is we re seeing this kind of regionalization of this big wave, this big firestorm, what my friend mike osterholm calls this virus blizzard. it s starting first in the northeast, washington, d.c. is just unbelievable level of transmission, new york city. this is going to continue probably for a couple of more weeks, then you are now seeing it pick up in pennsylvania, ohio, indiana, illinois. and then it s going to go over the rest of the country and then we will starting to down in new york and washington, d.c. where there is a good possibility. i think what you re going to see whether you want to call it a movable feast or a moving wave, i think that may be the pattern that we ve seen. and we ve seen things like this before where it picks up in one part of the country first and then it kind of sweeps along and i think that may be the pattern. dr. hotez, we know when it comes to help ....
So it doesn t take a lot of increase in hospitalizations because that kind of disruption and breakdown. and that leads us to schools. schools across the country are reopening five days from now. many are opening on january 3rd. and you don t like this idea. so what s wrong with it? well, you know, first of all, you know, i understand the importance of bringing back kids to school. i was, i m a parent of now they re four adult kids, but when they were little, we understood the importance as well as anyone of that. we just had a pretty serious report from the surgeon general about the mental health aspects of children on this pandemic. it s just what i call screaming level of transmission, but what friend calls a virus blizzard, it s going to be pretty tough to get, to do this over the next couple of weeks. and so if we had a crystal ball and we knew that the level of transmission was going to go way ....
Projection, a tidal wave? well, i don t know if it s going to be a tidal wave but certainly a lot of pediatric hospitalizations. more than we ve ever seen. and it s not because the virus is selectively targeting kids. what we ve seen in south africa and the uk is when you have this firestorm or what my friend mike osterholme calls virus blizzard. there will be pediatric hospitalizations. and the other tough piece, keeping the schools open because of this high transmissible. you start seeing absences of teachers, bus drivers, cafeteria staff. that s all going to feed into this. the bottom line is we have to explain to americans that this is going to be a difficult time. be patient. yeah, at our children s school, they are now mandating a pcr test before the kids can go back, right? not even not just a rapid test, a pcr test. ....
reporter: others fear the return to school next week could be even worse. i think what we re going to see is once children go back to school, within a week or two of schools opening, is when we see the highest numbers. reporter: amid the winter weather, the pandemic is roaring across the country, with 250,000 new cases diagnosed daily, that s a record. this variant is a game-changer in terms of its high, high transmissability. it s like a virus blizzard. reporter: hospitalizations are half of what they were last winter. but some are seeing peaks there, too. and more vaccinated medical workers are experiencing breakthrough cases and being sent home just when demand for their expertise is soaring. that s an impossible strain on an already-strained health care system. i understand the pressure to get workers back earlier. reporter: the virus is spreading so fast, the impact is going beyond the widely recorded holiday travel problems. ....